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Scorecard

Every call graded in public, losers included.

1 day
4/4
hit · avg +0.3%
1 week
–
4 pending
1 month
–
4 pending
Deal spread10/20 13:31 ET
1 day+0.2%SPY +0.3%
1 weekPending
1 monthPending
Salesforce offer $47.50
Gapper10/20 13:31 ET
1 day+0.2%SPY +0.3%
1 weekPending
1 monthPending
Salesforce to Buy Braze for $5.66B, Expanding Real-Time AI Marketing
Unusual volume10/20 13:31 ET
1 day+0.2%SPY +0.3%
1 weekPending
1 monthPending
22.8x normal volume
Deal spread10/20 11:23 ET Entry <=45.00 · not triggered Target $47.50
1 day+0.6%SPY +0.3%
1 weekPending
1 monthPending
small; CRM $47.50 cash; downside ~30 · trade call

Hypothetical results from logged calls. Not investment advice.

How this works

What's logged. Trade calls from the call log, every catalyst alert (deal spreads, sale reports, new 13D stakes, gappers, unusual volume) and each model's frozen picks. Each gets a timestamp and the price at that moment. Nothing is removed afterwards.

Grading. 1 day, 1 week and 1 month mean 1, 5 and 21 completed trading sessions after the call, using the closing price. "Pending" means not enough sessions have passed yet. SPY is measured from its last close before the call.

What counts as a hit. Up-calls and alerts: the stock rose. Gap-downs and "avoid" calls: it fell. Model picks: they beat SPY. Results are graded from the price at the call, not from the entry trigger; the trigger, target and stop chips show whether those levels traded.

Prices: Yahoo Finance daily bars (delayed). 188 calls logged so far, last graded 10/20 17:37 ET.

coteau

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.