APG

APi Group

$40.07

-0.20% 2026-10-19

IndustrialsS&P 400

1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y

APGSPY

-0.8%

+7.2%

+1.8%

-17.8%

YTD

+4.7%

+17.0%

Grades vs sector

Momentum

46th pct in sector

12-1 return: +4.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Growth

66th pct in sector

Revenue growth (YoY): +13.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Value

33rd pct in sector

C-

Forward E/P: 5.0% · EBITDA/EV: 5.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Profitability

28th pct in sector

D+

Profit margin: +4.1% · Return on equity: +10.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Revisions

no data

–

EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.

Momentum Top 15

not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)

Quality Growth

not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)

Momentum Blend

not in the current book

Key stats

Market cap–

P/E (trailing)–

P/E (forward)–

52-week range– – –

Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)–

Dividend yield–

Analyst consensus–

Mean price target–

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line

Leans expensive

Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).

▼DCF (base case)below the price by 41%

▲Piotroski F-score8/9

▼Net debt / EBITDA4.4x

Discounted cash flow

Bear

$13

-69%

growth 1% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%

Base

$23

-41%

growth 6% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%

Bull

$38

-4%

growth 9% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal

Not enough data to run a reverse DCF.

Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly

Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Industrials

P/E (trailing)

sector median 26.4×

–

Forward P/E

sector median 17.1×

–

EV / EBITDA

sector median 14.8×

–

Price / sales

sector median 2.1×

–

Price / book

sector median 3.5×

–

FCF yield

sector median 4.5%

–

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO

$4.1B

as of 2026-06-30

vs a year ago

+7%

YoY

× TTM revenue

0.48×

coverage

24-09

24-12

25-03

25-06

25-09

25-12

26-03

26-06

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin

31.4%

Operating margin

7.2%

FCF margin

8.0%

Net margin

4.1%

Return on equity

9.8%

Return on invested capital

7.2%

Net debt / EBITDA

4.4×

Current ratio

1.4×

Interest cover

–

Cash conversion (OCF/NI)

2.3×

Piotroski F-score 8/9 · last two fiscal years

✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

No analyst targets available.

Annual history

FY	Revenue	Net income	Free cash flow
2025	$7.9B	$302.0M	$663.0M
2024	$7.0B	$250.0M	$536.0M
2023	$6.9B	$153.0M	$428.0M
2022	$6.6B	$73.0M	$191.0M
2021	$3.9B	$47.0M	$127.0M
2020	$3.6B	$-153.0M	$458.0M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +6.5%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-29 · before open · EPS est 0.47

EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

Report	EPS est	Actual	Surprise
2026-07-30	0.43	0.44	+1.3%
2026-04-30	0.30	0.32	+5.3%
2026-02-25	0.41	0.44	+6.4%
2025-10-30	0.40	0.41	+3.7%
2025-07-31	0.37	0.39	+4.2%
2025-05-01	0.24	0.25	+2.9%
2025-02-26	0.33	0.34	+2.6%
2024-10-31	0.34	0.34	+0.3%

Quarterly revenue

Quarter	Revenue	YoY
2026-06-30	$2.3B	+13.3%
2026-03-31	$2.0B	–
2025-12-31	$2.1B	–
2025-09-30	$2.1B	–
2025-06-30	$2.0B	–

Insider trades

Ashken Ian G H

Director · 2026-08-04

SELL
$3.2M

Ashken Ian G H

Director · 2026-08-04

SELL
$203.8K

Lillie James E

Director · 2026-08-03

SELL
$3.0M

Lillie James E

Director · 2026-08-03

SELL
$23.3K

Lillie James E

Director · 2026-08-03

SELL
$11.3M

Lillie James E

Director · 2026-08-03

SELL
$88.4K

Ashken Ian G H

Director · 2026-08-03

SELL
$8.6M

News

APG Federal Credit Union Goes Live with Scienaptic AI

Business Wire · 16h ago

3 Reasons We’re Fans of APi (APG)

StockStory · Oct 16

BFAM vs. APG: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

Zacks · Oct 16

APi Group Announces Date of Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release

Business Wire · Oct 15

Minnesota Technology Leaders Invited to Join Their Peers at the 12th Annual Minneapolis C-Level Technology Leadership Summit

GlobeNewswire · Oct 09

2 Stocks Under $50 to Own for Decades and 1 We Find Risky

StockStory · Oct 09

Q2 Earnings Outperformers: APi (NYSE:APG) And The Rest Of The Construction and Maintenance Services Stocks

StockStory · Oct 08

2 Volatile Stocks to Own for Decades and 1 We Brush Off

StockStory · Oct 05

Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:04:24 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.

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