AUR
Aurora Innovation, Inc.
$4.91
+1.13% 2026-10-19
Consumer Cyclical
AURSPY
1W
-13.3%
1M
-22.2%
3M
-19.4%
6M
-5.9%
YTD
+27.9%
1Y
-4.1%
Grades vs sector
Momentumno data–
Momentum
no data
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growthno data–
Growth
no data
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Valueno data–
Value
no data
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitabilityno data–
Profitability
no data
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisionsno data–
Revisions
no data
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.
Momentum Top 15
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Quality Growthnot ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
Key stats
Market cap$9.8B
P/E (trailing)–
P/E (forward)-10.9
52-week range3.60 – 8.56
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+100.0%
Dividend yield0.00%
Analyst consensusBuy (12)
Mean price target$12.13 (+147%)
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
No cash-flow valuation
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +1 (DCF counts double).
•Piotroski F-score4/9
▲Altman Z23.1 (safe)
▲Analyst target+147% (12 analysts)
Discounted cash flow
Trailing free cash flow is negative or missing, so a cash-flow DCF isn't meaningful by default. You can enter your own assumptions below.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Trailing free cash flow is zero or negative, so there's no growth rate to solve for. The price is betting on a turnaround to positive cash flow.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 2.70 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs sector
Forward EPS $-0.45 vs trailing $-0.46. Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
-400.0%
Operating margin
-19400.0%
FCF margin
-15020.0%
Net margin
-18000.0%
Return on equity
-46.1%
Return on invested capital
-59.0%
Net debt / EBITDA
–
Current ratio
11.4×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
–
Piotroski F-score 4/9 · last two fiscal years
✗ Positive net income✗ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved
Altman Z-score 23.1 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.
Analysts
Mean target
$12
+147%
Analysts
12
Buy
Range
$4–$18
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $3.0M | $-816.0M | $-612.0M |
| 2024 | $0 | $-748.0M | $-645.0M |
| 2023 | $0 | $-796.0M | $-613.0M |
| 2022 | $68.0M | $-1.7B | $-523.0M |
| 2021 | $82.0M | $-755.0M | $-612.0M |
| 2020 | $0 | $-214.0M | $-199.0M |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -64.7%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-10-28 · after close · EPS est -0.12
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | -0.12 | -0.14 | -18.9% |
| 2026-05-06 | -0.12 | -0.11 | +5.7% |
| 2026-02-11 | -0.12 | -0.08 | +31.9% |
| 2025-10-28 | -0.12 | -0.08 | +33.9% |
| 2025-07-30 | -0.12 | -0.08 | +31.8% |
| 2025-05-08 | -0.11 | -0.12 | -5.9% |
| 2025-02-12 | -0.12 | -0.09 | +23.5% |
| 2024-10-30 | -0.11 | -0.13 | -18.2% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $2.0M | +100.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | $1.0M | – |
| 2025-12-31 | $1.0M | – |
| 2025-09-30 | $1.0M | – |
| 2025-06-30 | $1.0M | – |
Analyst actions
Oppenheimer
PT $16
2026-10-08 · main
Outperform → OutperformPT $16
Cantor Fitzgerald
PT $12
2026-09-25 · reit
Overweight → OverweightPT $12
Amerx
2026-09-24 · reit
Hold → HoldGoldman Sachs
PT $7
2026-09-24 · main
Neutral → NeutralPT $7
Canaccord Genuity
PT $17
2026-09-24 · main
Buy → BuyPT $17
Needham
PT $13
2026-09-24 · reit
Buy → BuyPT $13
Insider trades
Volpi Michelangelo
$19.6M
Director · 2026-08-17
SELL$19.6M
Volpi Michelangelo
$298.6K
Director · 2026-08-17
SELL$298.6K
Volpi Michelangelo
$155.3K
Director · 2026-08-13
SELL$155.3K
Volpi Michelangelo
$2.4K
Director · 2026-08-13
SELL$2.4K
Volpi Michelangelo
$102.9K
Director · 2026-08-12
SELL$102.9K
Volpi Michelangelo
$1.6K
Director · 2026-08-12
SELL$1.6K
Volpi Michelangelo
$9.9M
Director · 2026-08-11
SELL$9.9M
Volpi Michelangelo
$151.3K
Director · 2026-08-11
SELL$151.3K
Volpi Michelangelo
$239.3K
Director · 2026-08-10
SELL$239.3K
Volpi Michelangelo
$3.6K
Director · 2026-08-10
SELL$3.6K
Volpi Michelangelo
$12.9M
Director · 2026-08-07
SELL$12.9M
Volpi Michelangelo
$196.2K
Director · 2026-08-07
SELL$196.2K
News
Self-Driving Big Rigs Rack Up Miles, Just Don’t Tell Them to Back Up…Yet
The Wall Street Journal · 14h ago
Aurora Innovation (AUR) Stock Looks Overvalued Despite Recent Regulatory Progress
Simply Wall St. · Oct 17
Oppenheimer Adjusts Aurora Innovation Price Target to $16 From $15, Maintains Outperform Rating
MT Newswires · Oct 08
Update: Aurora Innovation Gets US Waiver for Self-Driving Truck Warning Devices
MT Newswires · Oct 08
Market Chatter: Aurora Innovation Gets US Waiver for Self-Driving Truck Warning Devices
MT Newswires · Oct 08
Aurora to Host Third Quarter 2026 Business Review Conference Call on October 28, 2026
Business Wire · Oct 07
Should You Trim Or Add To Your Aurora Innovation Position Now?
Trefis · Sep 29
Aurora Innovation Targets $5B Revenue as Driverless Truck Fleet Scales
MarketBeat · Sep 29
Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:03:14 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
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