EXP
Eagle Materials Inc.
$169.63
-0.22% 2026-10-19
MaterialsS&P 400
EXPSPY
1W
+3.7%
1M
-4.1%
3M
-15.8%
6M
-17.5%
YTD
-17.6%
1Y
-28.1%
Grades vs sector
Momentum9th pct in sectorD-
Momentum
9th pct in sector
12-1 return: -19.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth24th pct in sectorD
Growth
24th pct in sector
Revenue growth (YoY): +2.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value59th pct in sectorB-
Value
59th pct in sector
Forward E/P: 8.0% · EBITDA/EV: 10.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability89th pct in sectorA
Profitability
89th pct in sector
Profit margin: +17.3% · Return on equity: +27.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisionsno data–
Revisions
no data
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.
Momentum Top 15
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Quality Growthnot ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
Key stats
Market cap$5.2B
P/E (trailing)13.4
P/E (forward)12.7
52-week range160.02 – 245.53
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+2.6%
Dividend yield0.59%
Analyst consensusHold (10)
Mean price target$195.50 (+15%)
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -1 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 24%
•Forward P/E vs sector12.7x vs median 12.7x
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▲Altman Z3.2 (safe)
•Net debt / EBITDA1.7x
▲Analyst target+15% (10 analysts)
Discounted cash flow
CyclicalValued on average-cycle margins
Construction Materials profits swing with the business cycle, so one year's cash flow can be far above or below normal. Instead of the last 12 months' free cash flow (0.2B, a 7% margin), the DCF and reverse DCF use the average free-cash-flow margin over FY2017–FY2026 (10 years: 19.4%) times current revenue = 0.5B. On trailing cash flow the base case would be $18; on mid-cycle cash flow it is $130. Glossary
Bear
$70
-59%
growth -2% · disc. 11.9% · term. 2.0%
Base
$130
-24%
growth 3% · disc. 10.9% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$203
+19%
growth 6% · disc. 9.9% · term. 3.0%
Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 19.4% average margin × current revenue = 0.5B (last 12 months: 0.2B at a 7% margin). On trailing cash flow the base case would be $18.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 5% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+5%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
-23%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
-20%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+2%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+7%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: mid-cycle free cash flow 0.5B, 10.9% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.33 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Materials
P/E (trailing)
cheaper
sector median 20.6× · 15th pct
13.4×cheaper
Forward P/E
cheaper
sector median 12.7× · 50th pct
12.7×cheaper
EV / EBITDA
cheaper
sector median 11.1× · 16th pct
7.6×cheaper
Price / sales
pricier
sector median 1.4× · 69th pct
2.2×pricier
Price / book
pricier
sector median 2.3× · 69th pct
3.5×pricier
FCF yield
pricier
sector median 4.7% · 32nd pct
3.3%pricier
Forward EPS $13.36 vs trailing $12.69 (+5% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
27.0%
Operating margin
30.9%
FCF margin
7.3%
Net margin
17.3%
Return on equity
27.1%
Return on invested capital
18.9%
Net debt / EBITDA
1.7×
Current ratio
3.2×
Interest cover
15.1×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.6×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved
Altman Z-score 3.2 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.
Analysts
Mean target
$196
+15%
Analysts
10
Hold
Range
$165–$232
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2.3B | $423.8M | $197.4M |
| 2025 | $2.3B | $463.4M | $353.3M |
| 2024 | $2.3B | $477.6M | $443.6M |
| 2023 | $2.1B | $461.5M | $431.6M |
| 2022 | $1.9B | $374.2M | $443.1M |
| 2021 | $1.6B | $339.4M | $589.1M |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +2.4%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-10-29 · before open · EPS est 3.95
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | 3.38 | 3.29 | -2.8% |
| 2026-05-19 | 1.57 | 1.91 | +21.7% |
| 2026-01-29 | 3.36 | 3.22 | -4.1% |
| 2025-10-30 | 4.35 | 4.23 | -2.7% |
| 2025-07-29 | 3.68 | 3.76 | +2.1% |
| 2025-05-20 | 2.49 | 2.00 | -19.6% |
| 2025-01-29 | 3.93 | 3.59 | -8.7% |
| 2024-10-29 | 4.65 | 4.31 | -7.2% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $651.0M | +2.6% |
| 2026-03-31 | $479.1M | – |
| 2025-12-31 | $556.0M | – |
| 2025-09-30 | $638.9M | – |
| 2025-06-30 | $634.7M | – |
Analyst actions
JP Morgan
PT $200
2026-10-13 · main
Neutral → NeutralPT $200
RBC Capital
PT $170
2026-10-09 · main
Sector Perform → Sector PerformPT $170
Truist Securities
PT $165
2026-10-08 · main
Hold → HoldPT $165
Wells Fargo
PT $188
2026-10-05 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-WeightPT $188
Citigroup
PT $190
2026-10-02 · main
Neutral → NeutralPT $190
DA Davidson
PT $207
2026-09-14 · main
Neutral → NeutralPT $207
Recent dividends
2026-09-14: $0.250 · 2026-06-15: $0.250 · 2026-03-16: $0.250 · 2025-12-15: $0.250 · 2025-09-15: $0.250 · 2025-06-16: $0.250 · 2025-03-17: $0.250 · 2024-12-16: $0.250
Insider trades
Thompson Tony
$627.0K
Senior Vice President · 2026-08-24
SELL$627.0K
Carter Margot Lebenberg
$119.1K
Director · 2026-08-03
SELL$119.1K
Carter Margot Lebenberg
$97.5K
Director · 2026-07-31
SELL$97.5K
Carter Margot Lebenberg
$512.4K
Director · 2026-07-31
SELL$512.4K
Carter Margot Lebenberg
$339.4K
Director · 2026-07-31
SELL$339.4K
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News
RBC Cuts Price Target on Eagle Materials to $170 From $219, Keeps Sector Perform Rating
MT Newswires · Oct 09
Eagle Materials (EXP) Dropped, So What Is Driving Attention Now?
Simply Wall St. · Oct 08
eXp Realty Launches ShowGo, a New Platform for Agent-to-Agent Showing Coverage
GlobeNewswire · Oct 08
eXp Realty and Newrez Unveil Revenos Mortgage™, a New Joint Venture
GlobeNewswire · Oct 08
eXp Realty Launches eXp Ready™: Up to $50,000 to Prep a Home for Sale, Nothing Due Until It Closes
GlobeNewswire · Oct 08
eXp Realty Unveils “MCP First, AI of Choice” Connecting Agents’ Own AI Directly to the eXp Platform
GlobeNewswire · Oct 08
Truist Cuts Price Target on Eagle Materials to $165 From $210, Keeps Hold Rating
MT Newswires · Oct 08
Zacks Industry Outlook Vulcan Materials and Eagle Materials
Zacks · Oct 06
Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 17:46:52 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
coteau
Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.