FERG

Ferguson Enterprises Inc.

$226.36

-2.27% 2026-10-19

IndustrialsS&P 500

1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y

FERGSPY

+2.6%

+5.6%

-0.8%

-13.4%

YTD

+3.2%

-3.0%

Grades vs sector

Momentum

28th pct in sector

D+

12-1 return: -9.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Growth

25th pct in sector

D+

Revenue growth (YoY): +4.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Value

42nd pct in sector

Forward E/P: 5.5% · EBITDA/EV: 6.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Profitability

42nd pct in sector

Profit margin: +6.3% · Return on equity: –
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Revisions

no data

–

EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.

Momentum Top 15

rank 322 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % 1.5

Quality Growth

not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)

Momentum Blend

not in the current book

Key stats

Market cap$43.8B

P/E (trailing)22.3

P/E (forward)17.8

52-week range212.13 – 271.64

Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+4.6%

Dividend yield1.54%

Analyst consensusBuy (22)

Mean price target$283.23 (+25%)

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line

Leans expensive

Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -1 (DCF counts double).

▼DCF (base case)below the price by 43%

•Forward P/E vs sector17.8x vs median 17.1x

•Piotroski F-score6/9

▲Altman Z4.9 (safe)

▲Net debt / EBITDA1.4x

▲Analyst target+25% (22 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear

$75

-67%

growth -1% · disc. 10.9% · term. 2.0%

Base

$129

-43%

growth 4% · disc. 9.9% · term. 2.5%

Bull

$199

-12%

growth 7% · disc. 8.9% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal

Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 10% a year for 10 years.

Implied

+10%/yr

FCF, last 3 yrs

+18%/yr

FCF, last 5 yrs

n/a

Revenue, last 3 yrs

+2%/yr

Revenue, last 5 yrs

n/a

Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 2.0B, 9.9% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.

Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly

Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2025-10-31). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.12 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Industrials

P/E (trailing)

sector median 26.4× · 35th pct

22.3×
cheaper

Forward P/E

sector median 17.1× · 54th pct

17.8×
pricier

EV / EBITDA

sector median 14.8× · 55th pct

15.6×
pricier

Price / sales

sector median 2.1× · 35th pct

1.4×
cheaper

Price / book

sector median 3.5× · 77th pct

7.1×
pricier

FCF yield

sector median 4.5% · 51st pct

4.6%
cheaper

Forward EPS $12.73 vs trailing $10.16 (+25% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin

30.8%

Operating margin

8.7%

FCF margin

6.4%

Net margin

6.3%

Return on equity

31.5%

Return on invested capital

19.8%

Net debt / EBITDA

1.4×

Current ratio

1.7×

Interest cover

15.2×

Cash conversion (OCF/NI)

1.0×

Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years

✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 4.9 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target

$283

+25%

Analysts

Buy

Range

$235–$325

low – high

● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FY	Revenue	Net income	Free cash flow
2025	$30.8B	$1.9B	$1.9B
2024	$29.6B	$1.7B	$1.9B
2023	$29.7B	$1.9B	$2.7B
2022	$28.6B	$2.1B	$1.1B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +2.5%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-09 · before open · EPS est 3.29

EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

Report	EPS est	Actual	Surprise
2026-08-10	3.30	3.39	+2.8%
2026-05-05	2.19	2.28	+4.3%
2026-02-24	2.09	2.10	+0.6%
2025-06-03	2.02	2.50	+24.0%
2025-03-11	1.60	1.52	-4.8%
2024-12-10	2.61	2.45	-6.2%
2024-09-17	2.86	2.98	+4.1%
2024-06-04	2.31	2.32	+0.2%

Quarterly revenue

Quarter	Revenue	YoY
2026-06-30	$8.8B	+14.8%
2026-03-31	$7.5B	–
2025-10-31	$8.2B	–
2025-07-31	$8.5B	–
2025-04-30	$7.6B	–

Analyst actions

RBC Capital

2026-10-07 · main

Outperform → Outperform
PT $286

UBS

2026-08-11 · main

Neutral → Neutral
PT $256

Bernstein

2026-08-11 · main

Outperform → Outperform
PT $325

RBC Capital

2026-08-11 · main

Outperform → Outperform
PT $290

Barclays

2026-08-11 · main

Overweight → Overweight
PT $313

Oppenheimer

2026-08-11 · main

Outperform → Outperform
PT $288

Recent dividends

2026-08-21: $0.890 · 2026-05-15: $0.890 · 2026-03-06: $0.890 · 2026-01-02: $0.890 · 2025-09-26: $0.830 · 2025-06-20: $0.830 · 2025-03-21: $0.830 · 2024-12-20: $0.830

Insider trades

Thees William T. Jr

Chief Operating Officer · 2026-10-15

SELL
$79.2K

Stirrup Allison

Chief Human Resources Officer · 2026-10-15

SELL
$207.4K

Schlicher Jake

Chief Strategy Officer · 2026-10-15

SELL
$70.5K

Murphy Kevin Michael

Director, See Remarks · 2026-10-15

SELL
$398.7K

Graham Ian T.

See Remarks · 2026-10-15

SELL
$53.4K

Camposano Robert Anthony Jr.

Senior VP - Waterworks · 2026-10-15

SELL
$41.5K

Thees William T. Jr

Chief Operating Officer · 2026-10-14

SELL
$47.9K

Schlicher Jake

Chief Strategy Officer · 2026-10-14

SELL
$47.9K

Murphy Kevin Michael

Director, See Remarks · 2026-10-14

SELL
$151.1K

Graham Ian T.

See Remarks · 2026-10-14

SELL
$21.8K

Camposano Robert Anthony Jr.

Senior VP - Waterworks · 2026-10-14

SELL
$44.3K

Thees William T. Jr

Chief Operating Officer · 2026-10-12

SELL
$772.2K

News

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. Insider Sold Shares Worth $549,844, According to a Recent SEC Filing

MT Newswires · Oct 16

Jefferies Adjusts Price Target on Ferguson Enterprises to $292 From $295

MT Newswires · Oct 15

Ferguson Enterprises Insider Sold Shares Worth $772,200, According to a Recent SEC Filing

MT Newswires · Oct 14

Ferguson Enterprises Insider Sold Shares Worth $2,440,726, According to a Recent SEC Filing

MT Newswires · Oct 14

Ferguson Enterprises Insider Sold Shares Worth $345,609, According to a Recent SEC Filing

MT Newswires · Oct 14

Deutsche Bank Adjusts Price Target on Ferguson Enterprises to $235 From $261

MT Newswires · Oct 08

RBC Capital Adjusts PT on Ferguson Enterprises to $286 From $290, Keeps Outperform Rating

MT Newswires · Oct 07

Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 17:46:47 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.

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