coteau Get the Coteau app

FFIV

F5, Inc.
$450.80
+1.98% 2026-10-19
Information TechnologyS&P 500
-24%-3%+19%+40%+62%Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
FFIVSPY
1W
-4.8%
1M
+4.3%
3M
+9.4%
6M
+43.6%
YTD
+76.6%
1Y
+49.8%

Grades vs sector

Momentum
74th pct in sector
B+
12-1 return: +75.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
36th pct in sector
C-
Revenue growth (YoY): +10.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
33rd pct in sector
C-
Forward E/P: 4.1% · EBITDA/EV: 3.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
73rd pct in sector
B+
Profit margin: +22.0% · Return on equity: +19.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
no data
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.

Momentum Top 15
rank 153 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % 26.0
Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blend
not in the current book

Key stats

Market cap$25.5B
P/E (trailing)35.9
P/E (forward)24.9
52-week range223.76 – 483.30
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+10.9%
Dividend yield0.00%
Analyst consensusHold (10)
Mean price target$437.80 (-3%)

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 18%
▼Forward P/E vs sector24.9x vs median 16.9x
▲Piotroski F-score8/9
▲Altman Z11.3 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-1.8x
•Analyst target-3% (10 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$245
-46%
growth 3% · disc. 10.4% · term. 2.0%
Base
$370
-18%
growth 8% · disc. 9.4% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$539
+20%
growth 11% · disc. 8.4% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 9% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+9%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+30%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+9%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+5%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+6%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 1.0B, 9.4% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.03 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.9× · 50th pct
35.9×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 16.9× · 76th pct
24.9×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.8× · 61st pct
26.3×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 4.6× · 70th pct
7.7×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 5.1×
–
FCF yield
sector median 3.5% · 54th pct
3.8%
cheaper

Forward EPS $18.08 vs trailing $12.55 (+44% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$2.2B
as of 2026-06-30
vs a year ago
+10%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.66×
coverage
24-09
24-12
25-03
25-06
25-09
25-12
26-03
26-06

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
81.9%
Operating margin
24.5%
FCF margin
29.3%
Net margin
22.0%
Return on equity
–
Return on invested capital
–
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.8×
Current ratio
1.7×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.4×
Piotroski F-score 8/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 11.3 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$438
-3%
Analysts
10
Hold
Range
$300–$525
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$3.1B$692.4M$906.4M
2024$2.8B$566.8M$762.0M
2023$2.8B$394.9M$599.2M
2022$2.7B$322.2M$409.0M
2021$2.6B$331.2M$614.5M
2020$2.4B$307.4M$601.0M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +4.6%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-27 · after close · EPS est 4.26
24-1025-0125-0425-0725-1026-0126-0426-070.004.73
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-07-274.004.73+18.2%
2026-04-283.463.90+12.9%
2026-01-273.654.45+21.9%
2025-10-273.974.39+10.6%
2025-07-303.494.16+19.2%
2025-04-283.093.42+10.5%
2025-01-283.383.84+13.7%
2024-10-283.453.67+6.4%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$865.1M+10.9%
2026-03-31$811.7M–
2025-12-31$822.5M–
2025-09-30$810.1M–
2025-06-30$780.4M–

Analyst actions

RBC Capital
2026-10-12 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $525
Morgan Stanley
2026-07-28 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $415
Piper Sandler
2026-07-28 · reit
Overweight → Overweight
PT $461
JP Morgan
2026-07-28 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $515
Barclays
2026-07-28 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $397
RBC Capital
2026-06-09 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $450

Insider trades

Montoya Michael F
Chief Technology Ops Officer · 2026-09-14
SELL
$526.5K
Montoya Michael F
Chief Technology Ops Officer · 2026-09-14
SELL
$98.2K
Montoya Michael F
Chief Technology Ops Officer · 2026-09-14
SELL
$113.7K
Montoya Michael F
Chief Technology Ops Officer · 2026-09-14
SELL
$482.7K
Montoya Michael F
Chief Technology Ops Officer · 2026-09-14
SELL
$379.4K
Montoya Michael F
Chief Technology Ops Officer · 2026-09-14
SELL
$181.9K
Montoya Michael F
Chief Technology Ops Officer · 2026-09-14
SELL
$33.1K
Maddison John Anthony
Chief Product Mkting Officer · 2026-09-14
SELL
$82.9K
Fountain Thomas Dean
EVP Global Services & Strategy · 2026-08-05
SELL
$500.9K
Locoh-Donou Francois
Director, President, CEO & Director · 2026-08-05
SELL
$81.9K
Locoh-Donou Francois
Director, President, CEO & Director · 2026-08-05
SELL
$452.0K
Locoh-Donou Francois
Director, President, CEO & Director · 2026-08-05
SELL
$264.4K

News

Why Did Lumentum Stock Fall?
Trefis · 15h ago
How Risky Is Lumentum Stock?
Trefis · Oct 15

Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:03:02 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau
Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.