GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

$344.18

+1.05% 2026-10-19

Communication ServicesS&P 500

1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y

GOOGLSPY

-2.4%

-1.5%

-2.2%

+2.1%

YTD

+10.2%

+36.2%

Grades vs sector

Momentum

77th pct in sector

B+

12-1 return: +22.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Growth

78th pct in sector

B+

Revenue growth (YoY): +24.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Value

15th pct in sector

D-

Forward E/P: 4.5% · EBITDA/EV: 4.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Profitability

93rd pct in sector

Profit margin: +54.8% · Return on equity: +48.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Revisions

no data

–

EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.

Momentum Top 15

rank 97 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % 39.9

Quality Growth

rank 60 of 360 · Composite (0-1) 0.7

Momentum Blend

not in the current book

Key stats

Market cap$4.2T

P/E (trailing)17.3

P/E (forward)22.5

52-week range244.15 – 408.61

Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+24.2%

Dividend yield0.26%

Analyst consensusStrong Buy (54)

Mean price target$430.05 (+25%)

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line

Leans expensive

Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).

▼DCF (base case)below the price by 58%

▼Forward P/E vs sector22.5x vs median 11.0x

•Piotroski F-score5/9

▲Altman Z11.0 (safe)

▲Net debt / EBITDA-1.0x

▲Analyst target+25% (54 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear

$88

-74%

growth 11% · disc. 11.3% · term. 2.0%

Base

$146

-58%

growth 18% · disc. 10.3% · term. 2.5%

Bull

$224

-35%

growth 23% · disc. 9.3% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal

Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 27% a year for 10 years.

Implied

+27%/yr

FCF, last 3 yrs

+7%/yr

FCF, last 5 yrs

+11%/yr

Revenue, last 3 yrs

+13%/yr

Revenue, last 5 yrs

+17%/yr

Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 53.3B, 10.3% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.

Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly

Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.21 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Communication Services

P/E (trailing)

sector median 18.8× · 50th pct

17.3×
cheaper

Forward P/E

sector median 11.0× · 88th pct

22.5×
pricier

EV / EBITDA

sector median 12.2× · 88th pct

27.5×
pricier

Price / sales

sector median 1.9× · 89th pct

9.4×
pricier

Price / book

sector median 2.3× · 68th pct

6.6×
pricier

FCF yield

sector median 8.2% · 14th pct

1.3%
pricier

Forward EPS $15.29 vs trailing $19.93 (-23% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO

$519.5B

as of 2026-06-30

vs a year ago

+380%

YoY

× TTM revenue

1.17×

coverage

24-09

24-12

25-03

25-06

25-09

25-12

26-03

26-06

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin

60.9%

Operating margin

33.1%

FCF margin

11.9%

Net margin

54.8%

Return on equity

38.1%

Return on invested capital

24.2%

Net debt / EBITDA

-1.0×

Current ratio

2.7×

Interest cover

65.6×

Cash conversion (OCF/NI)

0.8×

Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years

✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 11.0 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target

$430

+25%

Analysts

Strong Buy

Range

$340–$515

low – high

● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FY	Revenue	Net income	Free cash flow
2025	$402.8B	$132.2B	$73.3B
2024	$350.0B	$100.1B	$72.8B
2023	$307.4B	$73.8B	$69.5B
2022	$282.8B	$60.0B	$60.0B
2021	$257.6B	$76.0B	$67.0B
2020	$182.5B	$40.3B	$42.8B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +12.5%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-28 · after close · EPS est 3.00

EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

Report	EPS est	Actual	Surprise
2026-07-22	2.90	9.11	+214.2%
2026-04-29	2.67	5.11	+91.6%
2026-02-04	2.64	2.82	+7.0%
2025-10-29	2.26	2.87	+26.9%
2025-07-23	2.19	2.31	+5.7%
2025-04-24	2.01	2.81	+39.8%
2025-02-04	2.13	2.15	+1.2%
2024-10-29	1.85	2.12	+14.8%

Quarterly revenue

Quarter	Revenue	YoY
2026-06-30	$119.8B	+24.2%
2026-03-31	$109.9B	–
2025-12-31	$113.8B	–
2025-09-30	$102.3B	–
2025-06-30	$96.4B	–

Analyst actions

Keybanc

2026-10-19 · main

Overweight → Overweight
PT $410

JP Morgan

2026-10-15 · main

Overweight → Overweight
PT $425

UBS

2026-10-14 · main

Neutral → Neutral
PT $380

Cantor Fitzgerald

2026-10-12 · reit

Overweight → Overweight
PT $420

Needham

2026-10-08 · reit

Buy → Buy
PT $450

Wells Fargo

2026-10-06 · main

Overweight → Overweight
PT $417

Recent dividends

2026-09-04: $0.220 · 2026-06-08: $0.220 · 2026-03-09: $0.210 · 2025-12-08: $0.210 · 2025-09-08: $0.210 · 2025-06-09: $0.210 · 2025-03-10: $0.200 · 2024-12-09: $0.200

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Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:01:47 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.

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