GPC

Genuine Parts Company

$130.18

-2.82% 2026-10-19

Consumer DiscretionaryS&P 500

1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y

GPCSPY

+0.4%

+1.6%

+7.2%

+17.8%

YTD

+8.8%

+1.4%

Grades vs sector

Momentum

60th pct in sector

B-

12-1 return: +2.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Growth

60th pct in sector

B-

Revenue growth (YoY): +6.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Value

39th pct in sector

C-

Forward E/P: 6.2% · EBITDA/EV: 8.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Profitability

10th pct in sector

D-

Profit margin: +0.1% · Return on equity: +0.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Revisions

no data

–

EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.

Momentum Top 15

rank 327 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % 0.7

Quality Growth

not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)

Momentum Blend

not in the current book

Key stats

Market cap$17.9B

P/E (trailing)520.7

P/E (forward)15.6

52-week range90.78 – 151.57

Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+6.0%

Dividend yield3.17%

Analyst consensusBuy (9)

Mean price target$140.56 (+8%)

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line

Looks expensive

Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -3 (DCF counts double).

▼DCF (base case)below the price by 29%

▼Forward P/E vs sector15.6x vs median 13.4x

•Piotroski F-score6/9

•Net debt / EBITDA2.2x

•Analyst target+8% (9 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear

$42

-68%

growth -0% · disc. 8.6% · term. 2.0%

Base

$92

-29%

growth 5% · disc. 7.6% · term. 2.5%

Bull

$174

+34%

growth 8% · disc. 6.6% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal

Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 7% a year for 10 years.

Implied

+7%/yr

FCF, last 3 yrs

-28%/yr

FCF, last 5 yrs

n/a

Revenue, last 3 yrs

+3%/yr

Revenue, last 5 yrs

+8%/yr

Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.8B, 7.6% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.

Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly

Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.68 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary

P/E (trailing)

sector median 17.7× · 99th pct

520.7×
pricier

Forward P/E

sector median 13.4× · 65th pct

15.6×
pricier

EV / EBITDA

sector median 11.3× · 48th pct

11.2×
cheaper

Price / sales

sector median 1.2× · 35th pct

0.7×
cheaper

Price / book

sector median 2.8× · 60th pct

4.0×
pricier

FCF yield

sector median 6.6% · 34th pct

4.2%
pricier

Forward EPS $8.32 vs trailing $0.25 (+3228% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin

36.9%

Operating margin

5.7%

FCF margin

3.0%

Net margin

0.1%

Return on equity

0.7%

Return on invested capital

16.0%

Net debt / EBITDA

2.2×

Current ratio

1.2×

Interest cover

8.4×

Cash conversion (OCF/NI)

36.2×

Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years

✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target

$141

+8%

Analysts

Buy

Range

$122–$170

low – high

● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FY	Revenue	Net income	Free cash flow
2025	$24.3B	$65.9M	$420.9M
2024	$23.5B	$904.1M	$683.9M
2023	$23.1B	$1.3B	$922.9M
2022	$22.1B	$1.2B	$1.1B
2021	$18.9B	$898.8M	$992.1M
2020	$16.5B	$-29.1M	–

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +3.2%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-20 · before open · EPS est 2.04

EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

Report	EPS est	Actual	Surprise
2026-07-21	2.08	2.15	+3.5%
2026-04-21	1.75	1.77	+1.3%
2026-02-17	1.82	1.55	-14.8%
2025-10-21	1.99	1.98	-0.5%
2025-07-22	2.07	2.10	+1.6%
2025-04-22	1.68	1.75	+4.2%
2025-02-18	1.55	1.61	+3.6%
2024-10-22	2.43	1.88	-22.5%

Quarterly revenue

Quarter	Revenue	YoY
2026-06-30	$6.5B	+6.0%
2026-03-31	$6.3B	–
2025-12-31	$6.0B	–
2025-09-30	$6.3B	–
2025-06-30	$6.2B	–

Analyst actions

JP Morgan

2026-10-12 · main

Overweight → Overweight
PT $137

DA Davidson

2026-08-03 · main

Buy → Buy
PT $170

Truist Securities

2026-07-22 · main

Hold → Hold
PT $126

Evercore ISI Group

2026-07-22 · main

Outperform → Outperform
PT $150

DA Davidson

2026-07-06 · main

Buy → Buy
PT $150

DA Davidson

2026-06-16 · init

→ Buy
PT $145

Recent dividends

2026-09-04: $1.063 · 2026-06-05: $1.063 · 2026-03-06: $1.063 · 2025-12-05: $1.030 · 2025-09-05: $1.030 · 2025-06-06: $1.030 · 2025-03-07: $1.030 · 2024-12-06: $1.000

Insider trades

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News

The Open Question Under Fastenal Stock's Price

Trefis · 3h ago

Genuine Parts Earnings: What To Look For From GPC

StockStory · 19h ago

KMX vs. GPC: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

Zacks · Oct 16

3 Unpopular Stocks We Steer Clear Of

StockStory · Oct 16

Gear Up for Genuine Parts (GPC) Q3 Earnings: Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics

Zacks · Oct 15

Are Retail-Wholesale Stocks Lagging Genesco (GCO) This Year?

Zacks · Oct 13

Genuine Parts' Risk/Reward Profile Remains Balanced, UBS Says

MT Newswires · Oct 07

O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY) vs. AZO and GPC: Why Auto Parts Stocks Are No Longer Safe Havens

Insider Monkey · Oct 05

Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 17:46:48 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau

Hypothetical research for education, not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance (via yfinance, delayed), SEC EDGAR.

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