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HPE

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company
$55.13
-5.97% 2026-10-16
Information TechnologyS&P 500
-20%+35%+89%+144%+199%Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
HPESPY
1W
-25.0%
1M
-2.5%
3M
+20.6%
6M
+109.6%
YTD
+132.3%
1Y
+149.4%

Grades vs sector

Momentum
93rd pct in sector
A
12-1 return: +166.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
78th pct in sector
B+
Revenue growth (YoY): +33.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
79th pct in sector
B+
Forward E/P: 8.5% · EBITDA/EV: 7.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
37th pct in sector
C-
Profit margin: +6.7% · Return on equity: +10.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
no data
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.

Momentum Top 15
rank 19 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % 116.0
Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blend
not in the current book

Key stats

Market cap$73.2B
P/E (trailing)28.4
P/E (forward)11.7
52-week range19.84 – 73.56
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+33.7%
Dividend yield1.03%
Analyst consensusBuy (21)
Mean price target$71.74 (+30%)

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +4 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 145%
▲Forward P/E vs sector11.7x vs median 16.9x
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▲Altman Z3.7 (safe)
•Net debt / EBITDA2.9x
▲Analyst target+30% (21 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$71
+28%
growth 12% · disc. 12.3% · term. 2.0%
Base
$135
+145%
growth 20% · disc. 11.3% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$220
+298%
growth 25% · disc. 10.3% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 5% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+5%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
-14%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+5%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+6%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+5%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 6.7B, 11.3% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-07-31). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.40 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.9× · 37th pct
28.4×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 16.9× · 20th pct
11.7×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.8× · 29th pct
14.9×
cheaper
Price / sales
sector median 4.6× · 20th pct
1.7×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 5.1× · 25th pct
2.8×
cheaper
FCF yield
sector median 3.5% · 88th pct
9.1%
cheaper

Forward EPS $4.71 vs trailing $1.94 (+143% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$10.9B
as of 2026-07-31
vs a year ago
+8%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.26×
coverage
24-10
25-01
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-01
26-04
26-07

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
–
Operating margin
6.2%
FCF margin
16.0%
Net margin
6.7%
Return on equity
10.5%
Return on invested capital
5.9%
Net debt / EBITDA
2.9×
Current ratio
1.1×
Interest cover
2.4×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
2.4×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 3.7 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$72
+30%
Analysts
21
Buy
Range
–
low – high

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$34.3B$57.0M$2.9B
2024$30.1B$2.6B$4.3B
2023$29.1B$2.0B$4.4B
2022$28.5B$868.0M$4.6B
2021$27.8B$3.4B$5.9B
2020$27.0B$-322.0M$2.2B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +6.4%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-12-03 · during market · EPS est 1.27
24-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-060.000.79
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-06-010.530.79+48.0%
2026-03-090.590.65+10.8%
2025-12-040.580.62+6.6%
2025-09-030.420.44+5.4%
2025-06-030.330.38+16.3%
2025-03-060.500.49-1.8%
2024-12-050.560.58+3.8%
2024-09-040.470.50+6.6%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-07-31$12.2B+33.7%
2026-04-30$10.7B–
2026-01-31$9.3B–
2025-10-31$9.7B–
2025-07-31$9.1B–

Analyst actions

Barclays
2026-10-14 · down
Overweight → Equal-Weight
PT $77
Daiwa Capital
2026-10-02 · up
Neutral → Outperform
PT $75
Citigroup
2026-10-01 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $92
Morgan Stanley
2026-10-01 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $72
Evercore ISI Group
2026-10-01 · main
In-Line → In-Line
PT $67
UBS
2026-10-01 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $66

Recent dividends

2026-09-17: $0.143 · 2026-06-16: $0.143 · 2026-03-24: $0.143 · 2025-12-19: $0.143 · 2025-09-18: $0.130 · 2025-06-18: $0.130 · 2025-03-21: $0.130 · 2024-12-20: $0.130

Insider trades

Neri Antonio F
Director, President and CEO · 2026-10-05
SELL
$3.9M
Neri Antonio F
Director, President and CEO · 2026-10-05
SELL
$13.2M
Rahim Rami
EVP, Pres GM Networking · 2026-09-29
SELL
$1.7M
Rahim Rami
EVP, Pres GM Networking · 2026-09-29
SELL
$404.1K
Reiner Gary M
Director · 2026-09-14
SELL
$967.4K
Neri Antonio F
Director, President and CEO · 2026-09-11
SELL
$15.1M
Karros Kirt P
SVP, Treasurer, Corp Dev · 2026-07-22
SELL
$1.1M
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SELL
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SELL
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SELL
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SELL
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SELL
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News

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Trefis · Oct 16

Stats refreshed 2026-10-18 22:39:30 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau
Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.