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HTZ

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.
$1.84
+6.36% 2026-10-19
Industrials
-70%-38%-7%+24%+56%Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
HTZSPY
1W
-0.5%
1M
+1.1%
3M
+4.5%
6M
-76.4%
YTD
-64.2%
1Y
-64.7%

Grades vs sector

Momentum
no data
–

Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
no data
–

Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
no data
–

Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
no data
–

Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
no data
–

30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.

Momentum Top 15
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blend
not in the current book

Key stats

Market cap$655.9M
P/E (trailing)–
P/E (forward)-13.5
52-week range1.45 – 8.18
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+9.7%
Dividend yield0.00%
Analyst consensusHold (6)
Mean price target$2.13 (+16%)

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +3 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 2288%
•Piotroski F-score4/9
▲Analyst target+16% (6 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$31
+1584%
growth -0% · disc. 14.0% · term. 2.0%
Base
$44
+2288%
growth 5% · disc. 13.0% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$58
+3076%
growth 8% · disc. 12.0% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price implies cash flows shrinking by more than half, which usually means the trailing number is unusual.
Implied
-60%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
-14%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+11%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
-1%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+10%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 1.4B, 13.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-03-31). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 2.48 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs sector

Forward EPS $-0.14 vs trailing $-1.09. Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
–
Operating margin
–
FCF margin
16.0%
Net margin
-7.3%
Return on equity
–
Return on invested capital
–
Net debt / EBITDA
–
Current ratio
–
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
–
Piotroski F-score 4/9 · last two fiscal years
✗ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target
$2
+16%
Analysts
6
Hold
Range
$1–$3
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$8.5B$-747.0M$1.6B
2024$9.0B$-2.9B$2.2B
2023$9.4B$616.0M$2.5B
2022$8.7B$2.1B$2.5B
2021$7.3B$366.0M$1.8B
2020$5.3B$-1.7B$953.0M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -0.7%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-05 · before open · EPS est 0.25
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-08-1.180.12
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-08-06-0.25-0.11+55.8%
2026-05-07-0.72-0.72-0.3%
2026-02-26-0.52-0.63-22.2%
2025-11-040.070.12+83.8%
2025-08-07-0.41-0.34+17.4%
2025-05-12-0.98-1.12-14.6%
2025-02-13-0.72-1.18-63.9%
2024-11-12-0.47-0.68-43.8%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$2.4B+9.7%
2026-03-31$2.0B–
2025-12-31$2.0B–
2025-09-30$2.5B–
2025-06-30$2.2B–

Analyst actions

Morgan Stanley
2026-10-15 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $2
Morgan Stanley
2026-09-11 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $3
Susquehanna
2026-08-10 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $2
Barclays
2026-07-28 · main
Underweight → Underweight
PT $1
Goldman Sachs
2026-07-24 · main
Sell → Sell
PT $2
Morgan Stanley
2026-06-30 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $4

Insider trades

None
None · None
SELL
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None
None · None
SELL
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None
None · None
SELL
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None
None · None
SELL
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None
None · None
SELL
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None
None · None
SELL
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News

Hertz Global Expands Test Drive Program
MT Newswires · Oct 15
Hertz Car Sales Expands Three-Day Test-Drive Experience to 300+ Hertz Locations Nationwide
Business Wire · Oct 15
3 Small-Cap Stocks We Steer Clear Of
StockStory · Oct 15
Does The Fall In Avis Budget Stock Change Anything?
Trefis · Oct 14
Can This Number Push Avis Budget Stock Higher?
Trefis · Oct 13
How Risky Is Avis Budget Stock?
Trefis · Oct 08
FuelCell Energy, Novanta, FTAI Infrastructure, NN, and Hertz Shares Are Falling, What You Need To Know
StockStory · Oct 08
Social Buzz: Wallstreetbets Stocks Mostly Down Pre-Bell Thursday; Hertz, Sandisk to Fall
MT Newswires · Oct 08

Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:01:47 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau
Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.