HZO

MarineMax, Inc.

$52.01

-0.69% 2026-10-19

Consumer DiscretionaryS&P 600

1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y

HZOSPY

-0.6%

-1.0%

+53.1%

+70.2%

YTD

+114.7%

+103.8%

Grades vs sector

Momentum

99th pct in sector

A+

12-1 return: +111.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Growth

10th pct in sector

D-

Revenue growth (YoY): -7.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Value

10th pct in sector

D-

Forward E/P: 3.0% · EBITDA/EV: 5.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Profitability

10th pct in sector

D-

Profit margin: +0.2% · Return on equity: +0.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Revisions

no data

–

EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Held by 1 of 3 live models: Momentum Blend.

Momentum Blend

5.4% of the book · Leaders sleeve

Held Momentum Top 15

not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)

Quality Growth

not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)

Why it's in Momentum Blend

In the Leaders sleeve: a fast grower breaking out near its highs after an earnings-style gap.

What would knock it out: Exits if it closes below its stop of $51.35; last close $52.01, 1% above it.

Key stats

Market cap$1.1B

P/E (trailing)325.1

P/E (forward)33.0

52-week range21.42 – 52.56

Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)-7.0%

Dividend yield0.00%

Analyst consensusNone (5)

Mean price target$49.40 (-5%)

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line

Looks expensive

Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -5 (DCF counts double).

▼DCF (base case)below the price by 56%

▼Forward P/E vs sector33.0x vs median 13.4x

•Piotroski F-score5/9

•Altman Z2.1 (grey)

▼Net debt / EBITDA6.8x

▼Analyst target-5% (5 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear

-90%

growth -8% · disc. 13.8% · term. 2.0%

Base

$23

-56%

growth -3% · disc. 12.8% · term. 2.5%

Bull

$42

-18%

growth -0% · disc. 11.8% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal

Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 4% a year for 10 years.

Implied

+4%/yr

FCF, last 3 yrs

-13%/yr

FCF, last 5 yrs

-47%/yr

Revenue, last 3 yrs

+0%/yr

Revenue, last 5 yrs

+9%/yr

Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.2B, 12.8% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.

Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly

Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.70 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary

P/E (trailing)

sector median 17.7× · 98th pct

325.1×
pricier

Forward P/E

sector median 13.4× · 96th pct

33.0×
pricier

EV / EBITDA

sector median 11.3× · 79th pct

16.5×
pricier

Price / sales

sector median 1.2× · 25th pct

0.5×
cheaper

Price / book

sector median 2.8× · 22nd pct

1.2×
cheaper

FCF yield

sector median 6.6% · 88th pct

15.5%
cheaper

Forward EPS $1.57 vs trailing $0.16 (+884% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin

34.2%

Operating margin

3.0%

FCF margin

8.1%

Net margin

0.2%

Return on equity

0.4%

Return on invested capital

3.8%

Net debt / EBITDA

6.8×

Current ratio

1.2×

Interest cover

1.1×

Cash conversion (OCF/NI)

54.9×

Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years

✗ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 2.1 (grey zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target

$49

-5%

Analysts

None

Range

$35–$53

low – high

● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FY	Revenue	Net income	Free cash flow
2025	$2.3B	$-31.6M	$11.9M
2024	$2.4B	$38.1M	$-86.1M
2023	$2.4B	$109.3M	$-287.6M
2022	$2.3B	$198.0M	$18.1M
2021	$2.1B	$155.0M	$347.8M
2020	$1.5B	$74.6M	$291.9M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +0.0%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-12 · before open · EPS est 0.05

EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

Report	EPS est	Actual	Surprise
2026-07-23	0.83	0.81	-2.6%
2026-04-23	0.03	0.04	+48.9%
2026-01-29	-0.08	-0.21	-156.4%
2025-11-13	-0.12	-0.04	+65.5%
2025-07-24	1.18	0.49	-58.4%
2025-04-24	0.19	0.23	+19.3%
2025-01-23	-0.22	0.17	+178.2%
2024-10-31	0.28	0.24	-15.7%

Quarterly revenue

Quarter	Revenue	YoY
2026-06-30	$611.3M	-7.0%
2026-03-31	$527.4M	–
2025-12-31	$505.2M	–
2025-09-30	$552.2M	–
2025-06-30	$657.2M	–

Analyst actions

Citigroup

2026-10-05 · down

Buy → Neutral
PT $53

Truist Securities

2026-08-12 · down

Buy → Hold
PT $53

Loop Capital

2026-08-11 · down

Buy → Hold

Benchmark

2026-08-11 · down

Buy → Hold

B. Riley Securities

2026-07-21 · down

Buy → Neutral
PT $35

Truist Securities

2026-07-06 · main

Buy → Buy
PT $39

Insider trades

None

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SELL
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News

3 Profitable Stocks We’re Skeptical Of

StockStory · Oct 16

Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 17:47:03 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau

Hypothetical research for education, not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance (via yfinance, delayed), SEC EDGAR.

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