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INCY

Incyte Corporation
$113.25
+0.16% 2026-10-19
Health CareS&P 500
-5%+9%+23%+37%+51%Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
INCYSPY
1W
+1.7%
1M
-9.6%
3M
-2.1%
6M
+16.8%
YTD
+14.7%
1Y
+29.3%

Grades vs sector

Momentum
64th pct in sector
B
12-1 return: +29.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
91st pct in sector
A
Revenue growth (YoY): +37.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
77th pct in sector
B+
Forward E/P: 7.7% · EBITDA/EV: 10.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
88th pct in sector
A-
Profit margin: +27.7% · Return on equity: +30.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
no data
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Held by 1 of 3 live models: Quality Growth.

Quality Growth
6.7% of the book · rank 15 of 360
Held
Momentum Top 15
rank 76 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % 45.3
Momentum Blend
not in the current book
Why it's in Quality Growth #15 of 360

Qualified on ROIC 59%, revenue +21% (TTM), growth accelerating +6.1 pts, latest quarter 2026-03-31. Ranked 15th of 360 at the 2026-09-30 rebalance.

What would knock it out: Drops out if it falls outside the top 15 at the next rebalance (Oct 30). In the latest preview (2026-10-16) it ranks 15th.

Key stats

Market cap$23.0B
P/E (trailing)14.4
P/E (forward)13.0
52-week range84.02 – 132.60
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+37.7%
Dividend yield0.00%
Analyst consensusBuy (24)
Mean price target$129.50 (+14%)

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +3 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 297%
▲Forward P/E vs sector13.0x vs median 17.6x
▲Piotroski F-score7/9
▲Altman Z10.2 (safe)
▼Net debt / EBITDA9.3x
•Analyst target+14% (24 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$157
+39%
growth 16% · disc. 8.9% · term. 2.0%
Base
$450
+297%
growth 26% · disc. 7.9% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$966
+753%
growth 33% · disc. 6.9% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 6% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+6%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+13%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
n/a
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+15%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+14%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 1.5B, 7.9% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-03-31). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.74 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Health Care

P/E (trailing)
sector median 29.9× · 11th pct
14.4×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 17.6× · 30th pct
13.0×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 15.8× · 74th pct
22.8×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 3.1× · 65th pct
4.3×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 3.5× · 57th pct
4.1×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 4.1% · 81st pct
6.6%
cheaper

Forward EPS $8.68 vs trailing $7.85 (+11% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
92.5%
Operating margin
30.0%
FCF margin
28.3%
Net margin
26.7%
Return on equity
25.5%
Return on invested capital
6.1%
Net debt / EBITDA
9.3×
Current ratio
3.7×
Interest cover
689.3×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.1×
Piotroski F-score 7/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 10.2 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$130
+14%
Analysts
24
Buy
Range
$86–$157
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$5.1B$1.3B$1.4B
2024$4.2B$32.6M$335.3M
2023$3.7B$597.6M$496.5M
2022$3.4B$340.7M$969.9M
2021$3.0B$948.6M$749.5M
2020$2.7B$-295.7M$-124.6M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +14.8%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-29 · before open · EPS est -3.84
24-1025-0225-0425-0725-1026-0226-0426-070.003.09
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-07-282.153.09+44.0%
2026-04-281.341.81+35.1%
2026-02-101.921.80-6.1%
2025-10-281.642.26+38.0%
2025-07-291.471.57+6.6%
2025-04-291.031.16+12.3%
2025-02-101.551.43-8.0%
2024-10-291.091.07-2.0%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$1.7B+37.7%
2026-03-31$1.3B–
2025-12-31$1.5B–
2025-09-30$1.4B–
2025-06-30$1.2B–

Analyst actions

Truist Securities
2026-10-14 · main
Hold → Hold
PT $115
HC Wainwright & Co.
2026-10-13 · reit
Buy → Buy
PT $152
RBC Capital
2026-10-08 · main
Sector Perform → Sector Perform
PT $114
Stifel
2026-10-05 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $157
Wells Fargo
2026-10-01 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $128
JP Morgan
2026-09-28 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $123

Insider trades

Cagnoni Pablo J
President, Global Head of R&D · 2026-10-15
SELL
$297.8K
Cagnoni Pablo J
President, Global Head of R&D · 2026-09-15
SELL
$1.1M
Cagnoni Pablo J
President, Global Head of R&D · 2026-09-15
SELL
$1.7M
Cagnoni Pablo J
President, Global Head of R&D · 2026-08-19
SELL
$1.4M
Cagnoni Pablo J
President, Global Head of R&D · 2026-08-12
SELL
$1.3M
Cagnoni Pablo J
President, Global Head of R&D · 2026-08-05
SELL
$1.3M
Mayes Patrick A
EVP & Chief Scientific Officer · 2026-08-05
SELL
$273.6K
Mayes Patrick A
EVP & Chief Scientific Officer · 2026-08-03
SELL
$729.2K
Cagnoni Pablo J
President, Global Head of R&D · 2026-07-31
SELL
$1.9M
Mayes Patrick A
EVP & Chief Scientific Officer · 2026-07-31
SELL
$1.8M
Mayes Patrick A
EVP & Chief Scientific Officer · 2026-07-31
SELL
$636.7K
Mayes Patrick A
EVP & Chief Scientific Officer · 2026-07-31
SELL
$261.3K

News

Incyte Insider Sold Shares Worth $297,780, According to a Recent SEC Filing
MT Newswires · 8h ago
Incyte to Highlight Key Oncology Data Presentations at the European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) Congress 2026
Business Wire · Oct 18
2 High-Flying Stocks with Competitive Advantages and 1 We Question
StockStory · Oct 16
Goldman Sachs Adjusts Price Target on Incyte to $117 From $118
MT Newswires · Oct 15
Truist Raises Price Target on Incyte to $115 From $105, Keeps Hold Rating
MT Newswires · Oct 14
Phanes Therapeutics to participate in Longwood Healthcare Leaders Boston CEO, November 2-3, 2026
PR Newswire · Oct 13
Is Vertex Stock Worth More Than Its Competitors?
Trefis · Oct 09
What to Expect From Incyte’s Next Quarterly Earnings Report
Barchart · Oct 09

Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 17:47:15 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.