KDP

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

$34.46

-0.46% 2026-10-19

Consumer StaplesS&P 500

1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y

KDPSPY

+5.2%

+12.1%

+14.0%

+31.9%

YTD

+26.9%

Grades vs sector

Momentum

66th pct in sector

12-1 return: +15.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Growth

99th pct in sector

A+

Revenue growth (YoY): +75.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Value

38th pct in sector

C-

Forward E/P: 7.3% · EBITDA/EV: 5.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Profitability

43rd pct in sector

Profit margin: +7.1% · Return on equity: +5.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Revisions

no data

–

EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.

Momentum Top 15

rank 147 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % 27.9

Quality Growth

not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)

Momentum Blend

not in the current book

Key stats

Market cap$46.9B

P/E (trailing)34.8

P/E (forward)13.6

52-week range24.88 – 34.73

Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+75.6%

Dividend yield2.66%

Analyst consensusBuy (17)

Mean price target$36.21 (+5%)

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line

Leans undervalued

Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +1 (DCF counts double).

▲DCF (base case)above the price by 298%

•Forward P/E vs sector13.6x vs median 14.5x

▲Piotroski F-score7/9

▼Altman Z0.8 (distress)

▼Net debt / EBITDA6.9x

•Analyst target+5% (17 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear

$43

+26%

growth 18% · disc. 8.0% · term. 2.0%

Base

$137

+298%

growth 30% · disc. 7.0% · term. 2.5%

Bull

$331

+860%

growth 38% · disc. 6.0% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal

Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 8% a year for 10 years.

Implied

+8%/yr

FCF, last 3 yrs

-15%/yr

FCF, last 5 yrs

-5%/yr

Revenue, last 3 yrs

+6%/yr

Revenue, last 5 yrs

+7%/yr

Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 2.0B, 7.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.

Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly

Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.41 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Consumer Staples

P/E (trailing)

sector median 23.5× · 75th pct

34.8×
pricier

Forward P/E

sector median 14.5× · 39th pct

13.6×
cheaper

EV / EBITDA

sector median 11.9× · 88th pct

20.9×
pricier

Price / sales

sector median 1.1× · 70th pct

2.3×
pricier

Price / book

sector median 3.1× · 35th pct

1.9×
cheaper

FCF yield

sector median 6.5% · 29th pct

4.2%
pricier

Forward EPS $2.53 vs trailing $0.99 (+156% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin

49.4%

Operating margin

16.2%

FCF margin

9.8%

Net margin

7.1%

Return on equity

5.7%

Return on invested capital

5.1%

Net debt / EBITDA

6.9×

Current ratio

0.5×

Interest cover

6.6×

Cash conversion (OCF/NI)

1.8×

Piotroski F-score 7/9 · last two fiscal years

✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✗ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 0.8 (distress zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target

$36

+5%

Analysts

Buy

Range

$29–$42

low – high

● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FY	Revenue	Net income	Free cash flow
2025	$16.6B	$2.1B	$1.5B
2024	$15.4B	$1.4B	$1.7B
2023	$14.8B	$2.2B	$904.0M
2022	$14.1B	$1.4B	$2.5B
2021	$12.7B	$2.1B	$2.5B
2020	$11.6B	$1.3B	$2.0B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +5.7%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-03 · before open · EPS est 0.62

EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

Report	EPS est	Actual	Surprise
2026-08-06	0.54	0.57	+6.2%
2026-04-23	0.37	0.39	+4.2%
2026-02-24	0.59	0.60	+1.9%
2025-10-27	0.54	0.54	+0.4%
2025-07-24	0.49	0.49	+1.0%
2025-04-24	0.38	0.42	+9.8%
2025-02-25	0.57	0.58	+1.5%
2024-10-24	0.51	0.51	+0.8%

Quarterly revenue

Quarter	Revenue	YoY
2026-06-30	$7.3B	+75.6%
2026-03-31	$4.0B	–
2025-12-31	$4.5B	–
2025-09-30	$4.3B	–
2025-06-30	$4.2B	–

Analyst actions

Argus Research

2026-09-15 · reit

Buy → Buy
PT $36

HSBC

2026-08-13 · up

Hold → Buy
PT $40

Barclays

2026-08-10 · main

Overweight → Overweight
PT $38

UBS

2026-08-07 · main

Buy → Buy
PT $39

Evercore ISI Group

2026-08-07 · main

In-Line → In-Line
PT $32

JP Morgan

2026-07-23 · main

Overweight → Overweight
PT $38

Recent dividends

2026-09-28: $0.230 · 2026-06-26: $0.230 · 2026-03-27: $0.230 · 2026-01-02: $0.230 · 2025-09-26: $0.230 · 2025-06-27: $0.230 · 2025-03-28: $0.230 · 2025-01-03: $0.230

Insider trades

Denooyer Mary Beth

Chief Human Resources Officer · 2026-09-09

SELL
$387.6K

Denooyer Mary Beth

Chief Human Resources Officer · 2026-09-08

SELL
$390.6K

Stephens Angela A.

Senior VP & Controller · 2026-09-03

SELL
$310.6K

Alt Aaron E

Director · 2026-08-25

BUY
$250.2K

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What Is Going On With PepsiCo Stock?

Trefis · Oct 16

1 Safe-and-Steady Stock on Our Buy List and 2 We Brush Off

StockStory · Oct 16

Keurig Dr Pepper’s 2.8% Dividend Yield Raises an Interesting Question

Insider Monkey · Oct 15

Boston Beer's Q3 Earnings on Horizon: What Surprise Awaits Investors?

Zacks · Oct 15

Are Consumer Staples Stocks Lagging Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) This Year?

Zacks · Oct 15

Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:01:39 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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