KHC
The Kraft Heinz Company
$23.17
-2.15% 2026-10-19
Consumer StaplesS&P 500
KHCSPY
1W
+3.2%
1M
-5.2%
3M
-9.0%
6M
+7.9%
YTD
+0.5%
1Y
-3.0%
Grades vs sector
Momentum46th pct in sectorC
Momentum
46th pct in sector
12-1 return: -1.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth20th pct in sectorD
Growth
20th pct in sector
Revenue growth (YoY): -1.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value80th pct in sectorA-
Value
80th pct in sector
Forward E/P: 8.8% · EBITDA/EV: 12.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability6th pct in sectorF
Profitability
6th pct in sector
Profit margin: -13.6% · Return on equity: -8.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisionsno data–
Revisions
no data
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.
Momentum Top 15
rank 302 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % 3.7
Quality Growthnot ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
Key stats
Market cap$27.5B
P/E (trailing)–
P/E (forward)11.1
52-week range21.04 – 28.09
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)-1.4%
Dividend yield6.76%
Analyst consensusHold (18)
Mean price target$24.75 (+7%)
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +2 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 26%
▲Forward P/E vs sector11.1x vs median 14.5x
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▼Altman Z0.5 (distress)
•Analyst target+7% (18 analysts)
Discounted cash flow
Bear
$15
-33%
growth -7% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$29
+26%
growth -2% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$48
+107%
growth 1% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%
A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Today's price implies shrinking cash flows: about -3% a year for 10 years.
Implied
-3%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+33%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
-3%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
-2%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
-1%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 3.8B, 9.2% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-27). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.11 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Consumer Staples
P/E (trailing)
sector median 23.5×
–Forward P/E
cheaper
sector median 14.5× · 26th pct
11.1×cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 11.9×
–Price / sales
cheaper
sector median 1.1× · 48th pct
1.1×cheaper
Price / book
cheaper
sector median 3.1× · 4th pct
0.8×cheaper
FCF yield
cheaper
sector median 6.5% · 88th pct
13.9%cheaper
Forward EPS $2.08 vs trailing $-2.87. Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
33.4%
Operating margin
-12.8%
FCF margin
15.3%
Net margin
-13.6%
Return on equity
-9.4%
Return on invested capital
-5.3%
Net debt / EBITDA
–
Current ratio
1.1×
Interest cover
-4.7×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
–
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✗ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved
Altman Z-score 0.5 (distress zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.
Analysts
Mean target
$25
+7%
Analysts
18
Hold
Range
$19–$41
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $24.9B | $-5.8B | $3.7B |
| 2024 | $25.8B | $2.7B | $3.2B |
| 2023 | $26.6B | $2.9B | $3.0B |
| 2022 | $26.5B | $2.4B | $1.6B |
| 2021 | $26.0B | $1.0B | $4.5B |
| 2020 | $26.2B | $356.0M | $4.3B |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -2.0%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-11-04 · before open · EPS est 0.42
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | 0.53 | 0.56 | +5.6% |
| 2026-05-06 | 0.50 | 0.58 | +15.4% |
| 2026-02-11 | 0.61 | 0.67 | +9.1% |
| 2025-10-29 | 0.58 | 0.61 | +5.8% |
| 2025-07-30 | 0.64 | 0.69 | +8.4% |
| 2025-04-29 | 0.60 | 0.62 | +3.1% |
| 2025-02-12 | 0.78 | 0.84 | +7.8% |
| 2024-10-30 | 0.74 | 0.75 | +1.2% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $6.3B | -1.4% |
| 2026-03-31 | $6.0B | – |
| 2025-12-31 | $6.4B | – |
| 2025-09-30 | $6.2B | – |
| 2025-06-30 | $6.4B | – |
Analyst actions
Barclays
PT $25
2026-10-16 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-WeightPT $25
Wells Fargo
PT $23
2026-10-05 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-WeightPT $23
RBC Capital
PT $32
2026-09-24 · reit
Outperform → OutperformPT $32
TD Cowen
PT $22
2026-09-22 · reit
Hold → HoldPT $22
RBC Capital
PT $32
2026-09-17 · init
→ OutperformPT $32
Evercore ISI Group
PT $23
2026-09-14 · main
In-Line → In-LinePT $23
Recent dividends
2026-09-04: $0.400 · 2026-06-05: $0.400 · 2026-03-06: $0.400 · 2025-11-28: $0.400 · 2025-08-29: $0.400 · 2025-05-30: $0.400 · 2025-03-07: $0.400 · 2024-11-29: $0.400
News
These 5 Dividend Stocks Look Like Income Bargains. The Math Says Otherwise
24/7 Wall St. · 14h ago
Kraft Heinz (KHC) Stock Sees Modest Fair Value Cut As Analyst Targets Cluster Low
Simply Wall St. · Oct 18
Kraft Heinz (KHC) Says Angel S. Willis Has Resigned
Simply Wall St. · Oct 17
Should Tyson Foods Stock Holders Look At JM Smucker Instead?
Trefis · Oct 16
Kraft Heinz (KHC) Gains As Market Dips: What You Should Know
Zacks · Oct 16
Two Food Giants Yield Over 7%. Only One Has the Cash to Back It Up
24/7 Wall St. · Oct 16
This High-Yield Stock Pays Investors 7%+, but There’s a Catch
Insider Monkey · Oct 15
Kraft Heinz (KHC) Enters Canada Ready To Eat Soup Market
Simply Wall St. · Oct 14
Kraft Heinz (KHC) Advances While Market Declines: Some Information for Investors
Zacks · Oct 14
Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:02:00 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
coteau
Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.