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The Kroger Co.
$63.05
-0.91% 2026-10-19
Consumer StaplesS&P 500
-18%-9%-1%+8%+17%Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
KRSPY
1W
+0.8%
1M
+5.1%
3M
+8.8%
6M
-6.0%
YTD
+2.7%
1Y
-6.5%

Grades vs sector

Momentum
36th pct in sector
C-
12-1 return: -5.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
47th pct in sector
C
Revenue growth (YoY): +2.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
83rd pct in sector
A-
Forward E/P: 8.7% · EBITDA/EV: 13.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
33rd pct in sector
C-
Profit margin: +0.7% · Return on equity: +14.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
no data
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.

Momentum Top 15
rank 411 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % -12.7
Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blend
not in the current book

Key stats

Market cap$37.2B
P/E (trailing)35.0
P/E (forward)11.5
52-week range54.15 – 76.58
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+2.0%
Dividend yield2.45%
Analyst consensusBuy (22)
Mean price target$68.50 (+9%)

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +3 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 237%
▲Forward P/E vs sector11.5x vs median 14.5x
•Piotroski F-score6/9
▲Altman Z4.4 (safe)
•Net debt / EBITDA2.6x
•Analyst target+9% (22 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$112
+78%
growth -4% · disc. 8.0% · term. 2.0%
Base
$212
+237%
growth 1% · disc. 7.0% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$390
+519%
growth 4% · disc. 6.0% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price implies shrinking cash flows: about -11% a year for 10 years.
Implied
-11%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+18%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+1%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+0%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+2%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 6.7B, 7.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-08-15). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.35 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Consumer Staples

P/E (trailing)
sector median 23.5× · 76th pct
35.0×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 14.5× · 27th pct
11.5×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 11.9× · 32nd pct
9.6×
cheaper
Price / sales
sector median 1.1× · 6th pct
0.2×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 3.1× · 74th pct
6.4×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 6.5% · 95th pct
18.0%
cheaper

Forward EPS $5.50 vs trailing $1.80 (+206% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
51.1%
Operating margin
1.4%
FCF margin
4.5%
Net margin
0.7%
Return on equity
18.6%
Return on invested capital
8.7%
Net debt / EBITDA
2.6×
Current ratio
0.7×
Interest cover
5.2×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
6.2×
Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 4.4 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$68
+9%
Analysts
22
Buy
Range
$57–$85
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$147.6B$1.0B$7.3B
2025$147.1B$2.7B$5.8B
2024$150.0B$2.2B$6.8B
2023$148.3B$2.2B$4.5B
2022$137.9B$1.7B$6.2B
2021$132.5B$2.6B$6.8B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -0.1%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-12-03 · before open · EPS est 1.03
24-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-0626-090.001.59
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-09-111.051.09+3.6%
2026-06-181.591.58-0.8%
2026-03-051.201.28+6.5%
2025-12-041.031.05+1.7%
2025-09-111.001.04+4.2%
2025-06-201.461.49+2.2%
2025-03-061.111.14+2.5%
2024-12-050.980.98+0.2%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-07-31$34.6B+2.0%
2026-04-30$46.1B–
2026-01-31$34.7B–
2025-10-31$33.9B–
2025-07-31$33.9B–

Analyst actions

Guggenheim
2026-09-15 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $66
Telsey Advisory Group
2026-09-14 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $75
Evercore ISI Group
2026-09-14 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $70
Citigroup
2026-09-01 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $57
Evercore ISI Group
2026-08-11 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $75
Evercore ISI Group
2026-07-07 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $78

Recent dividends

2026-08-14: $0.390 · 2026-05-15: $0.350 · 2026-02-13: $0.350 · 2025-11-14: $0.350 · 2025-08-15: $0.350 · 2025-05-15: $0.320 · 2025-02-14: $0.320 · 2024-11-15: $0.320

Insider trades

Adcock Mary Ellen
Executive Vice President · 2026-09-18
SELL
$2.3M
Adcock Mary Ellen
Executive Vice President · 2026-09-18
SELL
$657.7K
Adcock Mary Ellen
Executive Vice President · 2026-09-18
SELL
$1.5M
None
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SELL
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SELL
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SELL
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SELL
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SELL
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SELL
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News

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Rise Pre-Bell Tuesday
MT Newswires · 1h ago
Kroger to focus on grocery business under new CEO as competition heats up
Investing.com · 2h ago
Why is Kroger stock climbing today?
Investing.com · 2h ago
Kroger Announces Updated Financial Framework, Reaffirms FY26 Outlook
Nasdaq · 2h ago
Kroger Targets About 3% Comparable-Sales Growth in 2029
MT Newswires · 3h ago
Kroger Outlines Plan to Build America's Favorite Grocer and Introduces New Long-Term Financial Targets
PR Newswire · 3h ago
What to expect as Albertsons and Kroger square off in court
Grocery Dive · 22h ago
Albertsons and Kroger enter breakup battle over $8 billion
TheStreet · Oct 19
Sector Update: Consumer
MT Newswires · Oct 19
Albertsons Seeks More Than $8 Billion From Kroger as Trial Over Failed Merger Begins
InvestorsHub · Oct 19

Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:02:04 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau
Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.