LPX
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation
$70.69
+0.91% 2026-10-19
IndustrialsS&P 400
LPXSPY
1W
+7.2%
1M
+8.2%
3M
-0.5%
6M
-3.3%
YTD
-11.4%
1Y
-20.3%
Grades vs sector
Momentum12th pct in sectorD-
Momentum
12th pct in sector
12-1 return: -24.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth2nd pct in sectorF
Growth
2nd pct in sector
Revenue growth (YoY): -12.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value23rd pct in sectorD
Value
23rd pct in sector
Forward E/P: 4.1% · EBITDA/EV: 5.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability15th pct in sectorD-
Profitability
15th pct in sector
Profit margin: +2.2% · Return on equity: +3.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisionsno data–
Revisions
no data
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.
Momentum Top 15
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Quality Growthnot ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
Key stats
Market cap$4.9B
P/E (trailing)91.8
P/E (forward)24.7
52-week range62.18 – 100.34
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)-12.1%
Dividend yield1.71%
Analyst consensusBuy (14)
Mean price target$87.79 (+24%)
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
No cash-flow valuation
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +0 (DCF counts double).
▼Forward P/E vs sector24.7x vs median 17.1x
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▲Altman Z5.6 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.6x
▲Analyst target+24% (14 analysts)
Discounted cash flow
Trailing free cash flow is negative or missing, so a cash-flow DCF isn't meaningful by default. You can enter your own assumptions below.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Trailing free cash flow is zero or negative, so there's no growth rate to solve for. The price is betting on a turnaround to positive cash flow.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.62 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Industrials
P/E (trailing)
pricier
sector median 26.4× · 96th pct
91.8×pricier
Forward P/E
pricier
sector median 17.1× · 82nd pct
24.7×pricier
EV / EBITDA
pricier
sector median 14.8× · 89th pct
25.3×pricier
Price / sales
cheaper
sector median 2.1× · 47th pct
2.0×cheaper
Price / book
cheaper
sector median 3.5× · 37th pct
2.8×cheaper
FCF yield
pricier
sector median 4.5% · 6th pct
-0.4%pricier
Forward EPS $2.86 vs trailing $0.77 (+271% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
18.0%
Operating margin
3.0%
FCF margin
-0.9%
Net margin
2.2%
Return on equity
3.1%
Return on invested capital
2.9%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.6×
Current ratio
3.2×
Interest cover
4.2×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
4.8×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved
Altman Z-score 5.6 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.
Analysts
Mean target
$88
+24%
Analysts
14
Buy
Range
$64–$107
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2.7B | $146.0M | $91.0M |
| 2024 | $2.9B | $420.0M | $422.0M |
| 2023 | $2.6B | $178.0M | $16.0M |
| 2022 | $3.9B | $1.1B | $730.0M |
| 2021 | $3.9B | $1.4B | $1.2B |
| 2020 | $2.4B | $499.0M | $588.0M |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -11.1%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-11-03 · before open · EPS est 0.21
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | 0.57 | 0.40 | -29.7% |
| 2026-05-06 | 0.15 | 0.38 | +146.9% |
| 2026-02-17 | -0.02 | 0.03 | +279.5% |
| 2025-11-05 | 0.38 | 0.36 | -5.4% |
| 2025-08-06 | 1.03 | 0.99 | -4.3% |
| 2025-05-06 | 1.18 | 1.27 | +7.5% |
| 2025-02-19 | 0.84 | 1.03 | +23.4% |
| 2024-11-05 | 0.89 | 1.22 | +37.7% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $664.0M | -12.1% |
| 2026-03-31 | $574.0M | – |
| 2025-12-31 | $567.0M | – |
| 2025-09-30 | $663.0M | – |
| 2025-06-30 | $755.0M | – |
Analyst actions
RBC Capital
PT $84
2026-10-16 · main
Outperform → OutperformPT $84
B of A Securities
PT $85
2026-10-14 · main
Buy → BuyPT $85
Goldman Sachs
PT $64
2026-10-12 · main
Sell → SellPT $64
Barclays
PT $88
2026-10-06 · main
Overweight → OverweightPT $88
DA Davidson
PT $99
2026-09-02 · main
Buy → BuyPT $99
Truist Securities
PT $89
2026-08-06 · main
Buy → BuyPT $89
Recent dividends
2026-08-14: $0.300 · 2026-05-14: $0.300 · 2026-02-27: $0.300 · 2025-11-14: $0.280 · 2025-08-15: $0.280 · 2025-05-20: $0.280 · 2025-02-27: $0.280 · 2024-11-20: $0.260
Insider trades
None
–
None · None
SELL–
News
RBC Cuts Price Target on Louisiana-Pacific to $84 From $92, Keeps Outperform Rating
MT Newswires · Oct 16
Is Louisiana-Pacific (LPX) Undervalued After Its Zacks Downgrade?
Simply Wall St. · Oct 15
Louisiana Pacific (LPX) Stock Looks Fully Priced After A 27% Fall
Simply Wall St. · Oct 15
Weyerhaeuser, Louisiana-Pacific Face Weak Demand Amid Lumber Market Challenges, BofA Says
MT Newswires · Oct 14
BofA Securities Adjusts Louisiana-Pacific Price Target to $85 From $100, Maintains Buy Rating
MT Newswires · Oct 14
Is It Worth Investing in Louisiana-Pacific (LPX) Based on Wall Street's Bullish Views?
Zacks · Oct 14
Louisiana-Pacific (LPX) Increases Despite Market Slip: Here's What You Need to Know
Zacks · Oct 13
BCC vs. LPX: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
Zacks · Oct 13
Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:02:08 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
coteau
Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.