LULU
lululemon athletica inc.
$97.76
+0.68% 2026-10-19
Consumer DiscretionaryS&P 500
LULUSPY
1W
+3.3%
1M
-0.3%
3M
-16.2%
6M
-41.4%
YTD
-53.0%
1Y
-41.6%
Grades vs sector
Momentum5th pct in sectorF
Momentum
5th pct in sector
12-1 return: -43.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth15th pct in sectorD-
Growth
15th pct in sector
Revenue growth (YoY): -4.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value82nd pct in sectorA-
Value
82nd pct in sector
Forward E/P: 8.9% · EBITDA/EV: 20.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability76th pct in sectorB+
Profitability
76th pct in sector
Profit margin: +12.8% · Return on equity: +30.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisionsno data–
Revisions
no data
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.
Momentum Top 15
rank 479 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % -32.4
Quality Growthnot ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
Key stats
Market cap$11.3B
P/E (trailing)8.0
P/E (forward)11.3
52-week range90.38 – 225.98
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)-4.3%
Dividend yield0.00%
Analyst consensusHold (27)
Mean price target$104.73 (+7%)
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
Looks undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +3 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 115%
▲Forward P/E vs sector11.3x vs median 13.4x
•Piotroski F-score6/9
▲Altman Z4.9 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-0.6x
•Analyst target+7% (27 analysts)
Discounted cash flow
Bear
$136
+39%
growth -2% · disc. 9.9% · term. 2.0%
Base
$210
+115%
growth 3% · disc. 8.9% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$314
+221%
growth 6% · disc. 7.9% · term. 3.0%
A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Today's price implies shrinking cash flows: about -8% a year for 10 years.
Implied
-8%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+41%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+10%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+11%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+20%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 1.4B, 8.9% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-08-02). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.92 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary
P/E (trailing)
cheaper
sector median 17.7× · 6th pct
8.0×cheaper
Forward P/E
cheaper
sector median 13.4× · 35th pct
11.3×cheaper
EV / EBITDA
cheaper
sector median 11.3× · 0th pct
3.9×cheaper
Price / sales
cheaper
sector median 1.2× · 44th pct
1.0×cheaper
Price / book
cheaper
sector median 2.8× · 43rd pct
2.4×cheaper
FCF yield
cheaper
sector median 6.6% · 81st pct
12.0%cheaper
Forward EPS $8.63 vs trailing $12.15 (-29% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
56.1%
Operating margin
17.8%
FCF margin
12.2%
Net margin
12.8%
Return on equity
29.6%
Return on invested capital
41.1%
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.6×
Current ratio
2.2×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.4×
Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved
Altman Z-score 4.9 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.
Analysts
Mean target
$105
+7%
Analysts
27
Hold
Range
$44–$255
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $11.1B | $1.6B | $921.7M |
| 2025 | $10.6B | $1.8B | $1.6B |
| 2024 | $9.6B | $1.6B | $1.6B |
| 2023 | $8.1B | $854.8M | $327.8M |
| 2022 | $6.3B | $975.3M | $994.6M |
| 2021 | $4.4B | $588.9M | $574.1M |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +11.0%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-12-10 · during market · EPS est 2.21
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | 1.79 | 2.92 | +63.3% |
| 2026-06-04 | 1.68 | 1.69 | +0.4% |
| 2026-03-17 | 4.78 | 5.01 | +4.8% |
| 2025-12-11 | 2.21 | 2.59 | +17.1% |
| 2025-09-04 | 2.85 | 3.10 | +8.7% |
| 2025-06-05 | 2.59 | 2.60 | +0.4% |
| 2025-03-27 | 5.87 | 6.14 | +4.6% |
| 2024-12-05 | 2.72 | 2.87 | +5.5% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | $2.4B | -4.3% |
| 2026-04-30 | $2.5B | – |
| 2026-01-31 | $3.6B | – |
| 2025-10-31 | $2.6B | – |
| 2025-07-31 | $2.5B | – |
Analyst actions
Wells Fargo
PT $90
2026-10-19 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-WeightPT $90
Argus Research
2026-09-14 · reit
Hold → HoldCitigroup
PT $117
2026-09-09 · main
Neutral → NeutralPT $117
BMO Capital
PT $70
2026-09-09 · init
→ UnderperformPT $70
Telsey Advisory Group
PT $110
2026-09-04 · main
Market Perform → Market PerformPT $110
Barclays
PT $95
2026-09-04 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-WeightPT $95
Insider trades
None
–
None · None
SELL–
None
–
None · None
SELL–
News
Is Lululemon's Next Big Thing Already Here?
Trefis · 15h ago
Why Is Lululemon Stock Rising, and Is It a Buying Opportunity?
Motley Fool · 19h ago
U.S. Small Cap Portfolio (DFAS) Buys $12.3 Million More Hecla Mining on Thursday
GuruFocus.com · 21h ago
ETFs Are Buying Lululemon (LULU) on Thursday
GuruFocus.com · 21h ago
Wells Fargo Adjusts Price Target on lululemon athletica to $90 From $95
MT Newswires · 21h ago
Why Lululemon (LULU) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today
Zacks · Oct 16
TriCap asks $100M for Lincoln Road building with tenants Mila, Lululemon
The Real Deal · Oct 16
What Has The Market Missed In Lululemon Stock's Drop?
Trefis · Oct 16
Nike Walked Away From Foot Locker. It Never Got That Shelf Space Back.
24/7 Wall St. · Oct 16
What US Small Cap Value Portfolio ETF (DFSV) Bought: Dick's Leads on Wednesday
GuruFocus.com · Oct 16
Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:01:49 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
coteau
Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.