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M

Macy's, Inc.
$23.60
-1.67% 2026-10-19
Consumer DiscretionaryS&P 400
-5%+8%+22%+36%+50%Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
MSPY
1W
+2.7%
1M
+7.6%
3M
+2.1%
6M
+20.3%
YTD
+10.0%
1Y
+37.1%

Grades vs sector

Momentum
81st pct in sector
A-
12-1 return: +21.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
33rd pct in sector
C-
Revenue growth (YoY): +1.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
80th pct in sector
B+
Forward E/P: 9.9% · EBITDA/EV: 13.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
39th pct in sector
C-
Profit margin: +3.3% · Return on equity: +16.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
no data
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.

Momentum Top 15
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blend
not in the current book

Key stats

Market cap$6.2B
P/E (trailing)8.6
P/E (forward)9.9
52-week range16.69 – 26.59
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+1.2%
Dividend yield3.19%
Analyst consensusHold (11)
Mean price target$23.18 (-2%)

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +4 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 93%
▲Forward P/E vs sector9.9x vs median 13.4x
▲Piotroski F-score7/9
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.6x
•Analyst target-2% (11 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$30
+26%
growth -6% · disc. 12.6% · term. 2.0%
Base
$46
+93%
growth -1% · disc. 11.6% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$64
+171%
growth 2% · disc. 10.6% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price implies shrinking cash flows: about -9% a year for 10 years.
Implied
-9%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+13%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+28%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
-4%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+5%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 1.4B, 11.6% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-08-01). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.47 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary

P/E (trailing)
sector median 17.7× · 6th pct
8.6×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 13.4× · 24th pct
9.9×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 11.3× · 0th pct
3.6×
cheaper
Price / sales
sector median 1.2× · 9th pct
0.3×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 2.8× · 24th pct
1.3×
cheaper
FCF yield
sector median 6.6% · 93rd pct
22.9%
cheaper

Forward EPS $2.38 vs trailing $2.73 (-13% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
42.5%
Operating margin
5.0%
FCF margin
6.2%
Net margin
3.3%
Return on equity
15.2%
Return on invested capital
14.3%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.6×
Current ratio
1.6×
Interest cover
8.2×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
2.3×
Piotroski F-score 7/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target
$23
-2%
Analysts
11
Hold
Range
$10–$30
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$22.6B$642.0M$1.1B
2025$23.0B$582.0M$760.0M
2024$23.9B$45.0M$674.0M
2023$25.4B$1.1B$727.0M
2022$25.4B$1.4B$2.4B
2021$17.3B$-3.9B$311.0M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -3.9%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-12-02 · before open · EPS est -0.13
24-1225-0325-0525-0925-1226-0326-0626-09-0.131.80
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-09-100.370.40+8.7%
2026-06-030.030.13+360.0%
2026-03-181.561.67+6.8%
2025-12-03-0.130.09+168.2%
2025-09-030.190.31+66.2%
2025-05-280.150.16+6.6%
2025-03-061.541.80+16.7%
2024-12-110.030.04+58.9%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-07-31$5.1B+1.2%
2026-04-30$4.9B–
2026-01-31$7.9B–
2025-10-31$4.9B–
2025-07-31$5.0B–

Analyst actions

BTIG
2026-09-11 · reit
Neutral → Neutral
UBS
2026-08-26 · main
Sell → Sell
PT $10
Citigroup
2026-08-25 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $24
TD Cowen
2026-06-22 · main
Hold → Hold
PT $25
Telsey Advisory Group
2026-06-04 · main
Market Perform → Market Perform
PT $23
Citigroup
2026-06-04 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $22

Recent dividends

2026-09-15: $0.192 · 2026-06-15: $0.192 · 2026-03-13: $0.192 · 2025-12-15: $0.182 · 2025-09-15: $0.182 · 2025-06-13: $0.182 · 2025-03-14: $0.182 · 2024-12-13: $0.174

Insider trades

None
None · None
SELL
–

News

Macy's (M) Stock Dips While Market Gains: Key Facts
Zacks · 5h ago
Macy's Shows Huge, Unusual Put Option Volume - Is M Stock Set to Drop or Is It Cheap Here?
Barchart · 9h ago
DoorDash Adds Macy’s and a New India Hub. Here’s Why the Stock Still Trades 30% Below Its High
TIKR · 12h ago
Macy's (M) Stock Could Be A Bargain Despite Legal Risk
Simply Wall St. · Oct 16
How DoorDash’s DashOS, Retail Push, AI Tools, And Drone Network At DoorDash (DASH) Has Changed Its Investment Story
Simply Wall St. · Oct 14
Tilly's, CarMax, Monro, OneWater, and Macy's Shares Plummet, What You Need To Know
StockStory · Oct 14
Brooklyn Real Estate Panels Weigh Rent Freeze, Fulton Street
CRE Daily · Oct 14
Macy’s vs. American Eagle: One Dividend Is Growing, the Other Is Standing Still
24/7 Wall St. · Oct 13
Macy's (M) Ascends While Market Falls: Some Facts to Note
Zacks · Oct 12
Macy’s eyes investment-grade rating as S&P revises outlook to positive
Investing.com · Oct 12

Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:02:09 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau
Hypothetical research for education, not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance (via yfinance, delayed), SEC EDGAR.