NRG
NRG Energy
$99.38
-4.21% 2026-10-19
UtilitiesS&P 500
NRGSPY
1W
-6.6%
1M
-4.1%
3M
-23.6%
6M
-36.4%
YTD
-37.0%
1Y
-40.4%
Grades vs sector
Momentum2nd pct in sectorF
Momentum
2nd pct in sector
12-1 return: -43.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth75th pct in sectorB+
Growth
75th pct in sector
Revenue growth (YoY): +11.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value62nd pct in sectorB-
Value
62nd pct in sector
Forward E/P: 10.7% · EBITDA/EV: 7.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability51st pct in sectorC+
Profitability
51st pct in sector
Profit margin: +2.6% · Return on equity: +23.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisionsno data–
Revisions
no data
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.
Momentum Top 15
rank 476 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % -31.2
Quality Growthnot ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
Key stats
Market cap–
P/E (trailing)–
P/E (forward)–
52-week range– – –
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)–
Dividend yield–
Analyst consensus–
Mean price target–
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
Looks expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -3 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 198%
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▼Net debt / EBITDA6.7x
Discounted cash flow
Bear
$-104
-205%
growth -6% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$-97
-198%
growth -1% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$-87
-187%
growth 2% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%
A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Not enough data to run a reverse DCF.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Utilities
P/E (trailing)
sector median 20.8×
–Forward P/E
sector median 16.9×
–EV / EBITDA
sector median 12.8×
–Price / sales
sector median 3.0×
–Price / book
sector median 1.9×
–FCF yield
sector median 0.1%
–Quality & financial health
Gross margin
59.3%
Operating margin
6.1%
FCF margin
1.1%
Net margin
2.6%
Return on equity
–
Return on invested capital
6.6%
Net debt / EBITDA
6.7×
Current ratio
1.0×
Interest cover
2.0×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.8×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved
Analysts
No analyst targets available.
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $30.7B | $864.0M | $766.0M |
| 2024 | $28.1B | $1.1B | $1.8B |
| 2023 | $28.8B | $-202.0M | $-819.0M |
| 2022 | $31.5B | $1.2B | $-7.0M |
| 2021 | $27.0B | $2.2B | $224.0M |
| 2020 | $9.1B | $510.0M | $1.6B |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -0.9%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-11-05 · before open · EPS est 2.94
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 1.74 | 1.49 | -14.4% |
| 2026-05-06 | 1.73 | 1.49 | -14.0% |
| 2026-02-24 | 0.89 | 1.04 | +16.4% |
| 2025-11-06 | 2.13 | 2.78 | +30.7% |
| 2025-08-06 | 1.65 | 1.73 | +5.0% |
| 2025-05-12 | 1.69 | 2.68 | +58.8% |
| 2025-02-26 | 0.94 | 1.52 | +61.8% |
| 2024-11-08 | 1.95 | 1.85 | -5.0% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $7.5B | +11.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | $10.3B | – |
| 2025-12-31 | $7.8B | – |
| 2025-09-30 | $7.6B | – |
| 2025-06-30 | $6.7B | – |
Recent dividends
2026-08-03: $0.475 · 2026-05-01: $0.475 · 2026-02-02: $0.475 · 2025-11-03: $0.440 · 2025-08-01: $0.440 · 2025-05-01: $0.440 · 2025-02-03: $0.440 · 2024-11-01: $0.408
Insider trades
Spencer Gerald Alfred
$191.1K
SVP & Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-09-08
SELL$191.1K
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News
NRG Stock Slides Following Price Target Cuts From Jefferies, Seaport Research – A Look At Some Key Highlights
Stocktwits · 16h ago
Stock Market Midday, Oct. 19: Tech Stocks Rebound as AI Confidence Returns
Motley Fool · 18h ago
Monday Sector Laggards: Electric Utilities, REITs
Nasdaq · 18h ago
Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:03:27 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
coteau
Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.