NUE
Nucor Corporation
$260.73
+1.73% 2026-10-19
MaterialsS&P 500
NUESPY
1W
+3.5%
1M
+5.2%
3M
+13.3%
6M
+29.5%
YTD
+61.2%
1Y
+100.2%
Grades vs sector
Momentum95th pct in sectorA
Momentum
95th pct in sector
12-1 return: +57.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth80th pct in sectorA-
Growth
80th pct in sector
Revenue growth (YoY): +23.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value53rd pct in sectorC+
Value
53rd pct in sector
Forward E/P: 8.2% · EBITDA/EV: 8.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability66th pct in sectorB
Profitability
66th pct in sector
Profit margin: +8.0% · Return on equity: +14.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisionsno data–
Revisions
no data
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.
Momentum Top 15
rank 31 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % 86.0
Quality Growthnot ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
Key stats
Market cap$59.2B
P/E (trailing)20.8
P/E (forward)12.4
52-week range133.78 – 280.11
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+23.0%
Dividend yield0.87%
Analyst consensusBuy (16)
Mean price target$285.00 (+9%)
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -1 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 44%
•Forward P/E vs sector12.4x vs median 12.7x
▲Piotroski F-score7/9
•Analyst target+9% (16 analysts)
Discounted cash flow
CyclicalValued on average-cycle margins
Steel profits swing with the business cycle, so one year's cash flow can be far above or below normal. Instead of the last 12 months' free cash flow (1.6B, a 4% margin), the DCF and reverse DCF use the average free-cash-flow margin over FY2016–FY2025 (10 years: 7.6%) times current revenue = 2.7B. On trailing cash flow the base case would be $81; on mid-cycle cash flow it is $145. Glossary
Bear
$98
-63%
growth 3% · disc. 14.0% · term. 2.0%
Base
$145
-44%
growth 8% · disc. 13.0% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$198
-24%
growth 11% · disc. 12.0% · term. 3.0%
Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 7.6% average margin × current revenue = 2.7B (last 12 months: 1.6B at a 4% margin). On trailing cash flow the base case would be $81.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 15% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+15%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
n/a
FCF, last 5 yrs
n/a
Revenue, last 3 yrs
-8%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+10%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: mid-cycle free cash flow 2.7B, 13.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-07-04). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.85 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Materials
P/E (trailing)
pricier
sector median 20.6× · 51st pct
20.8×pricier
Forward P/E
cheaper
sector median 12.7× · 45th pct
12.4×cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 11.1×
–Price / sales
pricier
sector median 1.4× · 59th pct
1.6×pricier
Price / book
pricier
sector median 2.3× · 59th pct
2.7×pricier
FCF yield
pricier
sector median 4.7% · 27th pct
2.7%pricier
Forward EPS $20.95 vs trailing $12.54 (+67% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
15.5%
Operating margin
–
FCF margin
4.4%
Net margin
8.0%
Return on equity
13.0%
Return on invested capital
–
Net debt / EBITDA
–
Current ratio
2.5×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.5×
Piotroski F-score 7/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved
Analysts
Mean target
$285
+9%
Analysts
16
Buy
Range
$226–$310
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $32.5B | $1.7B | $-188.0M |
| 2024 | $30.7B | $2.0B | $806.0M |
| 2023 | $34.7B | $4.5B | $4.9B |
| 2022 | $41.5B | $7.6B | $8.1B |
| 2021 | $36.5B | $6.8B | $4.6B |
| 2020 | $20.1B | $721.5M | $1.2B |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -7.8%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-10-26 · after close · EPS est 5.83
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | 4.53 | 4.84 | +6.9% |
| 2026-04-27 | 2.82 | 3.23 | +14.7% |
| 2026-01-26 | 1.81 | 1.73 | -4.4% |
| 2025-10-27 | 2.17 | 2.63 | +21.3% |
| 2025-07-28 | 2.64 | 2.65 | +0.3% |
| 2025-04-28 | 0.66 | 0.77 | +16.9% |
| 2025-01-27 | 0.62 | 1.22 | +97.0% |
| 2024-10-21 | 1.41 | 1.49 | +5.5% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $10.4B | +23.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | $9.5B | – |
| 2025-12-31 | $7.7B | – |
| 2025-09-30 | $8.5B | – |
| 2025-06-30 | $8.5B | – |
Analyst actions
Barclays
PT $306
2026-10-19 · main
Overweight → OverweightPT $306
JP Morgan
PT $296
2026-10-09 · main
Overweight → OverweightPT $296
Keybanc
PT $286
2026-10-05 · main
Overweight → OverweightPT $286
Freedom Broker
PT $285
2026-09-18 · down
Buy → HoldPT $285
Wells Fargo
PT $280
2026-09-18 · main
Overweight → OverweightPT $280
JP Morgan
PT $308
2026-09-09 · main
Overweight → OverweightPT $308
Recent dividends
2026-09-30: $0.560 · 2026-06-30: $0.560 · 2026-03-31: $0.560 · 2025-12-31: $0.560 · 2025-09-30: $0.550 · 2025-06-30: $0.550 · 2025-03-31: $0.550 · 2024-12-31: $0.550
Insider trades
Topalian Leon J
$7.0M
Chair and CEO · 2026-08-14
SELL$7.0M
Topalian Leon J
$27.5K
Chair and CEO · 2026-08-14
SELL$27.5K
Behr Allen C
$1.4M
Executive Vice President · 2026-08-14
SELL$1.4M
Behr Allen C
$716.8K
Executive Vice President · 2026-08-14
SELL$716.8K
Batterbee Thomas J.
$1.0M
Executive Vice President · 2026-08-03
SELL$1.0M
Laxton Stephen D
$1.0M
President and COO · 2026-07-30
SELL$1.0M
News
Stock Market Today, Oct. 19: Cleveland-Cliffs Surges on Stronger Q3 Results and Raised 2027 EBITDA Outlook
Motley Fool · 13h ago
Steel Dynamics (STLD) Q3 Earnings Miss Estimates
Zacks · 14h ago
Cleveland-Cliffs Jumps 10% on Strongest Quarter in Three Years; Nucor and Steel Dynamics Edge Higher
24/7 Wall St. · 21h ago
Nucor (NUE) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
Zacks · 22h ago
Is Nucor (NUE) Outperforming Other Basic Materials Stocks This Year?
Zacks · 22h ago
NUE Power Corp. Initiates Offtake Discussions for Its Southern Alberta Power Portfolio
TMX Newsfile · 22h ago
Cleveland-Cliffs Expects 2027 Will Be a Very Good Year With Help From Tariffs. Stock Jumps 14%.
Barrons.com · Oct 19
Barclays Adjusts Price Target on Nucor to $306 From $295
MT Newswires · Oct 19
Steel Dynamics Earnings Ahead: What Past Reactions Say About The Stock
Trefis · Oct 16
4 Stocks to Watch This Earnings Season Beyond Big Tech and AI
Wall Street Horizon · Oct 16
Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:02:10 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
coteau
Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.