NVDA
Nvidia
$217.09
+1.38% 2026-10-19
Information TechnologyS&P 500
NVDASPY
1W
-4.1%
1M
-2.3%
3M
+6.9%
6M
+7.7%
YTD
+16.7%
1Y
+18.8%
Grades vs sector
Momentum44th pct in sectorC
Momentum
44th pct in sector
12-1 return: +13.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth97th pct in sectorA+
Growth
97th pct in sector
Revenue growth (YoY): +105.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value55th pct in sectorC+
Value
55th pct in sector
Forward E/P: 7.4% · EBITDA/EV: 3.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability97th pct in sectorA+
Profitability
97th pct in sector
Profit margin: +63.7% · Return on equity: +117.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisionsno data–
Revisions
no data
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Held by 1 of 3 live models: Quality Growth.
Quality Growth
6.7% of the book · rank 3 of 360
HeldMomentum Top 15rank 188 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % 18.5
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
Key stats
Market cap–
P/E (trailing)–
P/E (forward)–
52-week range– – –
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)–
Dividend yield–
Analyst consensus–
Mean price target–
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +2 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 43%
•Piotroski F-score4/9
▲Net debt / EBITDA-0.2x
Discounted cash flow
CyclicalValued on average-cycle margins
Semiconductors profits swing with the business cycle, so one year's cash flow can be far above or below normal. Instead of the last 12 months' free cash flow (134.2B, a 44% margin), the DCF and reverse DCF use the average free-cash-flow margin over FY2017–FY2026 (10 years: 36.8%) times current revenue = 111.6B. On trailing cash flow the base case would be $373; on mid-cycle cash flow it is $310. Glossary
Bear
$136
-37%
growth 18% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$310
+43%
growth 30% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$591
+172%
growth 38% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%
Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 36.8% average margin × current revenue = 111.6B (last 12 months: 134.2B at a 44% margin). On trailing cash flow the base case would be $373.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Not enough data to run a reverse DCF.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-07-26). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Information Technology
P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.9×
–Forward P/E
sector median 16.9×
–EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.8×
–Price / sales
sector median 4.6×
–Price / book
sector median 5.1×
–FCF yield
sector median 3.5%
–Backlog (remaining performance obligations)
RPO
$3.2B
as of 2026-07-26
vs a year ago
+68%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.01×
coverage
Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
74.7%
Operating margin
65.2%
FCF margin
44.3%
Net margin
63.7%
Return on equity
84.2%
Return on invested capital
86.9%
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.2×
Current ratio
4.6×
Interest cover
425.8×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
0.7×
Piotroski F-score 4/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✗ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved
Analysts
No analyst targets available.
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $215.9B | $120.1B | $102.7B |
| 2025 | $130.5B | $72.9B | $64.1B |
| 2024 | $60.9B | $29.8B | $28.1B |
| 2023 | $27.0B | $4.4B | $5.6B |
| 2022 | $26.9B | $9.8B | $9.1B |
| 2021 | $16.7B | $4.3B | $5.8B |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +100.0%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-11-17 · during market · EPS est 2.47
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | 2.09 | 2.22 | +6.2% |
| 2026-05-20 | 1.77 | 1.87 | +5.5% |
| 2026-02-25 | 1.54 | 1.62 | +5.3% |
| 2025-11-19 | 1.26 | 1.30 | +3.5% |
| 2025-08-27 | 1.01 | 1.05 | +4.1% |
| 2025-05-28 | 0.75 | 0.81 | +8.0% |
| 2025-02-26 | 0.85 | 0.89 | +5.2% |
| 2024-11-20 | 0.75 | 0.81 | +8.5% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | $96.2B | +105.9% |
| 2026-04-30 | $81.6B | – |
| 2026-01-31 | $68.1B | – |
| 2025-10-31 | $57.0B | – |
| 2025-07-31 | $46.7B | – |
Recent dividends
2026-09-10: $0.250 · 2026-06-04: $0.250 · 2026-03-11: $0.010 · 2025-12-04: $0.010 · 2025-09-11: $0.010 · 2025-06-11: $0.010 · 2025-03-12: $0.010 · 2024-12-05: $0.010
Insider trades
Teter Timothy S.
$2.8M
EVP, General Counsel and Sec · 2026-09-21
SELL$2.8M
Teter Timothy S.
$3.0M
EVP, General Counsel and Sec · 2026-09-21
SELL$3.0M
Teter Timothy S.
$1.0M
EVP, General Counsel and Sec · 2026-09-21
SELL$1.0M
Stevens Mark A
$297.9M
Director · 2026-09-18
SELL$297.9M
Stevens Mark A
$2.2M
Director · 2026-09-18
SELL$2.2M
Kress Colette
$1.0M
EVP & Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-17
SELL$1.0M
Kress Colette
$4.5M
EVP & Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-17
SELL$4.5M
Kress Colette
$2.2M
EVP & Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-17
SELL$2.2M
Stevens Mark A
$45.4M
Director · 2026-09-04
SELL$45.4M
Stevens Mark A
$55.0M
Director · 2026-09-04
SELL$55.0M
Stevens Mark A
$42.6M
Director · 2026-09-04
SELL$42.6M
Stevens Mark A
$1.1M
Director · 2026-09-04
SELL$1.1M
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Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:03:26 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
coteau
Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.