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PANW

Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
$346.95
+1.45% 2026-10-19
Information TechnologyS&P 500
-33%-0%+33%+65%+98%Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
PANWSPY
1W
-14.1%
1M
-4.6%
3M
-0.5%
6M
+104.6%
YTD
+88.4%
1Y
+66.9%

Grades vs sector

Momentum
76th pct in sector
B+
12-1 return: +80.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
79th pct in sector
B+
Revenue growth (YoY): +34.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
3rd pct in sector
F
Forward E/P: 1.4% · EBITDA/EV: 0.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
18th pct in sector
D
Profit margin: +2.7% · Return on equity: +1.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
no data
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.

Momentum Top 15
rank 28 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % 87.7
Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blend
not in the current book

Key stats

Market cap$283.8B
P/E (trailing)867.4
P/E (forward)71.1
52-week range139.57 – 432.33
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+34.5%
Dividend yield0.00%
Analyst consensusBuy (50)
Mean price target$398.52 (+15%)

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -1 (DCF counts double).
•DCF (base case)below the price by 5%
▼Forward P/E vs sector71.1x vs median 16.9x
•Piotroski F-score4/9
▲Altman Z8.5 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-0.7x
•Analyst target+15% (50 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$154
-56%
growth 16% · disc. 9.9% · term. 2.0%
Base
$331
-5%
growth 27% · disc. 8.9% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$616
+77%
growth 33% · disc. 7.9% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 21% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+21%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+18%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+25%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+19%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+22%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 4.6B, 8.9% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (FY to 2026-07-31). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.93 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.9× · 99th pct
867.4×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 16.9× · 98th pct
71.1×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.8× · 98th pct
182.4×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 4.6× · 94th pct
24.7×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 5.1× · 75th pct
10.3×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 3.5% · 24th pct
1.6%
pricier

Forward EPS $4.88 vs trailing $0.40 (+1120% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$21.2B
as of 2026-07-31
vs a year ago
+34%
YoY
× TTM revenue
1.85×
coverage
24-10
25-01
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-01
26-04
26-07

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
70.4%
Operating margin
6.1%
FCF margin
39.7%
Net margin
2.7%
Return on equity
1.1%
Return on invested capital
1.7%
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.7×
Current ratio
0.9×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
14.8×
Piotroski F-score 4/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 8.5 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$399
+15%
Analysts
50
Buy
Range
$190–$525
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$11.5B$307.0M$4.6B
2025$9.2B$1.1B$3.7B
2024$8.0B$2.6B$3.3B
2023$6.9B$439.7M$2.8B
2022$5.5B$-267.0M$2.0B
2021$4.3B$-498.9M$1.5B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +18.5%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-19 · during market · EPS est 0.97
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0626-090.001.03
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-09-010.981.02+4.3%
2026-06-020.800.85+6.6%
2026-02-170.941.03+9.9%
2025-11-190.890.93+4.4%
2025-08-180.890.95+7.3%
2025-05-200.770.80+3.6%
2025-02-130.780.81+3.9%
2024-11-200.740.78+5.8%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-07-31$3.4B+34.4%
2026-04-30$3.0B–
2026-01-31$2.6B–
2025-10-31$2.5B–
2025-07-31$2.5B–

Analyst actions

Citigroup
2026-10-15 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $440
Wells Fargo
2026-10-13 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $525
Amerx
2026-10-08 · init
→ Hold
TD Cowen
2026-10-02 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $440
BTIG
2026-09-28 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $425
Morgan Stanley
2026-09-21 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $410

Insider trades

Bawa Aparna
Director · 2026-10-09
SELL
$69.7K
Bawa Aparna
Director · 2026-10-09
SELL
$33.4K
Paul Josh D.
Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-10-01
SELL
$158.3K
Golechha Dipak
EVP, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-24
SELL
$349.8K
Golechha Dipak
EVP, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-24
SELL
$842.1K
Golechha Dipak
EVP, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-24
SELL
$3.7M
Golechha Dipak
EVP, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-24
SELL
$2.1M
Golechha Dipak
EVP, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-24
SELL
$2.5M
Golechha Dipak
EVP, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-24
SELL
$865.9K
Golechha Dipak
EVP, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-24
SELL
$355.5K
Golechha Dipak
EVP, Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-24
SELL
$39.6K
Bawa Aparna
Director · 2026-09-24
SELL
$102.1K

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Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:02:26 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau
Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.