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SCCO

SCCO

Southern Copper Corporation
$201.78
+0.63% 2026-10-19
Basic Materials
-10%+11%+32%+52%+73%Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
SCCOSPY
1W
-3.3%
1M
+3.1%
3M
+17.3%
6M
+9.3%
YTD
+47.2%
1Y
+65.0%

Grades vs sector

Momentum
no data
–

Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
no data
–

Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
no data
–

Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
no data
–

Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
no data
–

30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.

Momentum Top 15
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blend
not in the current book

Key stats

Market cap$170.4B
P/E (trailing)30.1
P/E (forward)26.7
52-week range115.74 – 220.78
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+40.6%
Dividend yield2.19%
Analyst consensusUnderperform (17)
Mean price target$177.74 (-12%)

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Roughly fairly valued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +0 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 41%
▼Piotroski F-score3/9
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.1x
▼Analyst target-12% (17 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$139
-31%
growth 15% · disc. 10.9% · term. 2.0%
Base
$285
+41%
growth 25% · disc. 9.9% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$502
+149%
growth 32% · disc. 8.9% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 15% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+15%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+23%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+9%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+10%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+11%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 5.1B, 9.9% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.12 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs sector

Forward EPS $7.56 vs trailing $6.70 (+13% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
18.5%
Operating margin
56.9%
FCF margin
32.3%
Net margin
15.7%
Return on equity
19.6%
Return on invested capital
42.2%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1×
Current ratio
5.1×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
2.7×
Piotroski F-score 3/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✗ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✗ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target
$178
-12%
Analysts
17
Underperform
Range
$139–$275
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$13.4B–$3.4B
2024$11.4B–$3.4B
2023$9.9B–$2.6B
2022$10.0B–$1.9B
2021$10.9B–$3.4B
2020$8.0B–$2.2B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +10.1%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-22 · after close · EPS est 1.97
24-1025-0225-0425-0725-1026-0126-0426-070.001.99
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-07-201.921.99+3.2%
2026-04-271.771.88+6.2%
2026-01-281.481.51+2.2%
2025-10-271.211.30+7.4%
2025-07-291.061.16+9.6%
2025-04-241.071.12+4.8%
2025-02-120.960.95-1.1%
2024-10-221.031.07+3.9%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$4.3B+40.6%
2026-03-31$4.3B–
2025-12-31$3.9B–
2025-09-30$3.4B–
2025-06-30$3.1B–

Analyst actions

Barclays
2026-10-19 · main
Underweight → Underweight
PT $168
UBS
2026-10-08 · main
Sell → Sell
PT $180
Wells Fargo
2026-10-06 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $190
Barclays
2026-07-23 · main
Underweight → Underweight
PT $166
Barclays
2026-07-16 · main
Underweight → Underweight
PT $160
Wells Fargo
2026-07-09 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $172

Recent dividends

2026-08-11: $1.087 · 2026-05-13: $0.978 · 2026-02-10: $0.971 · 2025-11-12: $0.866 · 2025-08-15: $0.763 · 2025-05-02: $0.661 · 2025-02-11: $0.657 · 2024-11-06: $0.658

Insider trades

Palomino Bonilla Luis Miguel
Director · 2026-09-24
SELL
$20.0K
Palomino Bonilla Luis Miguel
Director · 2026-09-08
SELL
$21.0K
Palomino Bonilla Luis Miguel
Director · 2026-09-04
SELL
$20.0K
Palomino Bonilla Luis Miguel
Director · 2026-08-31
SELL
$87.0K
Palomino Bonilla Luis Miguel
Director · 2026-08-05
SELL
$19.8K
Palomino Bonilla Luis Miguel
Director · 2026-08-05
SELL
$20.0K
Palomino Bonilla Luis Miguel
Director · 2026-08-04
SELL
$19.5K
Palomino Bonilla Luis Miguel
Director · 2026-07-24
SELL
$17.9K
None
None · None
SELL
–
None
None · None
SELL
–
None
None · None
SELL
–
None
None · None
SELL
–

News

Southern Copper (SCCO) Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market: What Investors Need to Know
Zacks · Oct 14
SCCO Gears Up to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?
Zacks · Oct 14
Southern Copper (SCCO) Could Be 22% Overvalued As Its Project Pipeline Gets Priced In
Simply Wall St. · Oct 10
Is Southern Copper (SCCO) Trading At A Premium On Earnings?
Simply Wall St. · Oct 10
UBS Adjusts Price Target on Southern Copper to $180 From $160, Keeps Sell Rating
MT Newswires · Oct 08
Here's Why Southern Copper (SCCO) Fell More Than Broader Market
Zacks · Oct 07
Top 3 Copper Stocks To Watch In October 2026
Simply Wall St. · Oct 07
Energy Shock Wipes $264 Billion Off the World's Top Mining Stocks
Oilprice.com · Oct 06

Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:02:39 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau
Hypothetical research for education, not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance (via yfinance, delayed), SEC EDGAR.