SIRI
Sirius XM Holdings Inc.
$26.84
-0.48% 2026-10-19
Communication ServicesS&P 400
SIRISPY
1W
+0.9%
1M
-1.7%
3M
-11.5%
6M
+0.5%
YTD
+38.5%
1Y
+31.2%
Grades vs sector
Momentum79th pct in sectorB+
Momentum
79th pct in sector
12-1 return: +24.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth29th pct in sectorD+
Growth
29th pct in sector
Revenue growth (YoY): +1.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value80th pct in sectorB+
Value
80th pct in sector
Forward E/P: 12.4% · EBITDA/EV: 13.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability47th pct in sectorC
Profitability
47th pct in sector
Profit margin: +10.2% · Return on equity: +7.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisionsno data–
Revisions
no data
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.
Momentum Top 15
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Quality Growthnot ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
Key stats
Market cap$9.0B
P/E (trailing)10.7
P/E (forward)8.0
52-week range19.77 – 32.66
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+1.0%
Dividend yield4.00%
Analyst consensusHold (13)
Mean price target$33.23 (+24%)
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
Looks undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +3 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 99%
▲Forward P/E vs sector8.0x vs median 11.0x
•Piotroski F-score4/9
▼Altman Z1.4 (distress)
▲Net debt / EBITDA1.1x
▲Analyst target+24% (13 analysts)
Discounted cash flow
Bear
$32
+18%
growth -5% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$54
+99%
growth -0% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$83
+210%
growth 3% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%
A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Today's price implies shrinking cash flows: about -8% a year for 10 years.
Implied
-8%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
-7%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
-6%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
-2%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+1%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 1.5B, 9.2% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.98 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Communication Services
P/E (trailing)
cheaper
sector median 18.8× · 21st pct
10.7×cheaper
Forward P/E
cheaper
sector median 11.0× · 20th pct
8.0×cheaper
EV / EBITDA
cheaper
sector median 12.2× · 8th pct
5.3×cheaper
Price / sales
cheaper
sector median 1.9× · 20th pct
1.1×cheaper
Price / book
cheaper
sector median 2.3× · 9th pct
0.8×cheaper
FCF yield
cheaper
sector median 8.2% · 77th pct
17.1%cheaper
Forward EPS $3.34 vs trailing $2.50 (+34% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
52.8%
Operating margin
19.1%
FCF margin
18.0%
Net margin
10.2%
Return on equity
7.4%
Return on invested capital
8.8%
Net debt / EBITDA
1.1×
Current ratio
0.5×
Interest cover
3.7×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
2.4×
Piotroski F-score 4/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved
Altman Z-score 1.4 (distress zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.
Analysts
Mean target
$33
+24%
Analysts
13
Hold
Range
$24–$46
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $8.6B | $805.0M | $1.2B |
| 2024 | $8.7B | $-1.7B | $1.0B |
| 2023 | $9.0B | $786.0M | $1.2B |
| 2022 | $9.0B | $908.0M | $1.6B |
| 2021 | $8.7B | $1.3B | $1.6B |
| 2020 | $8.0B | $131.0M | $1.7B |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -1.7%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-10-29 · before open · EPS est 0.79
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | 0.78 | 0.70 | -10.8% |
| 2026-04-30 | 0.71 | 0.74 | +4.6% |
| 2026-02-05 | 0.78 | 0.86 | +10.0% |
| 2025-10-30 | 0.78 | 0.84 | +7.9% |
| 2025-07-31 | 0.77 | 0.57 | -26.3% |
| 2025-05-01 | 0.66 | 0.59 | -10.1% |
| 2025-01-30 | 0.74 | 0.81 | +9.3% |
| 2024-10-31 | 0.74 | -8.74 | -1284.2% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $2.2B | +1.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | $2.1B | – |
| 2025-12-31 | $2.2B | – |
| 2025-09-30 | $2.2B | – |
| 2025-06-30 | $2.1B | – |
Analyst actions
Guggenheim
PT $37
2026-09-18 · main
Buy → BuyPT $37
Deutsche Bank
PT $45
2026-09-02 · up
Hold → BuyPT $45
Citigroup
PT $25
2026-07-31 · main
Sell → SellPT $25
JP Morgan
PT $34
2026-07-31 · main
Neutral → NeutralPT $34
Wells Fargo
PT $31
2026-07-31 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-WeightPT $31
Guggenheim
PT $35
2026-07-31 · main
Buy → BuyPT $35
Recent dividends
2026-08-10: $0.270 · 2026-05-11: $0.270 · 2026-02-11: $0.270 · 2025-11-05: $0.270 · 2025-08-08: $0.270 · 2025-05-09: $0.270 · 2025-02-07: $0.270 · 2024-11-05: $0.270
Insider trades
Procope Jonelle
$499.7K
Director · 2026-08-06
SELL$499.7K
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News
Weak Fundamentals Might Change The Case For Investing In SiriusXM Stock
Simply Wall St. · Oct 18
Apple bets on the same Siri AI technology with new HomeView device that led to a $250M settlement for iPhone users
Moneywise · Oct 17
Apple Hit a Record Close Ahead of Its November 2 Report. Here’s What Charging for Extra Siri AI Could Mean for the Stock
TIKR · Oct 17
3 Reasons SIRI is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead
StockStory · Oct 16
3 Profitable Stocks We’re Skeptical Of
StockStory · Oct 16
Sirius XM (SIRI) Exceeds Market Returns: Some Facts to Consider
Zacks · Oct 15
Apple Is Reportedly Bringing AI to China in December, but Not the New Siri
24/7 Wall St. · Oct 15
Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:02:02 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
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