STX

Seagate Technology Holdings plc

$660.81

+3.41% 2026-10-19

Information TechnologyS&P 500

1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y

STXSPY

-12.3%

-23.0%

-17.6%

+22.6%

YTD

+140.7%

+194.9%

Grades vs sector

Momentum

98th pct in sector

A+

12-1 return: +262.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Growth

90th pct in sector

Revenue growth (YoY): +48.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Value

56th pct in sector

C+

Forward E/P: 8.9% · EBITDA/EV: 3.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Profitability

92nd pct in sector

Profit margin: +26.1% · Return on equity: +371.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Revisions

no data

–

EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Held by 2 of 3 live models: Momentum Top 15, Quality Growth.

Momentum Top 15

6.7% of the book · rank 6 of 499

Held Quality Growth

6.7% of the book · rank 6 of 360

Held Momentum Blend

not in the current book

Why it's in Momentum Top 15 #6 of 499

Qualified on 12-1 momentum of +252.7% (its gain from 12 months to 1 month before 2026-09-30). Ranked 6th of 499 at the 2026-09-30 rebalance.

What would knock it out: Drops out if it falls outside the top 15 at the next rebalance (Oct 30). In the latest preview (2026-10-16) it ranks 5th.

Why it's in Quality Growth #6 of 360

Qualified on ROIC 80%, revenue +34% (TTM), growth accelerating +24.9 pts, latest quarter 2026-07-03. Ranked 6th of 360 at the 2026-09-30 rebalance.

What would knock it out: Drops out if it falls outside the top 15 at the next rebalance (Oct 30). In the latest preview (2026-10-16) it ranks 6th.

Key stats

Market cap$150.3B

P/E (trailing)47.5

P/E (forward)11.6

52-week range209.00 – 1,145.00

Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+48.5%

Dividend yield0.46%

Analyst consensusStrong Buy (24)

Mean price target$1,113.96 (+69%)

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line

Leans undervalued

Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +1 (DCF counts double).

▼DCF (base case)below the price by 21%

▲Forward P/E vs sector11.6x vs median 16.9x

▲Piotroski F-score7/9

▲Altman Z13.6 (safe)

▲Net debt / EBITDA0.3x

▲Analyst target+69% (24 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear

$250

-62%

growth 18% · disc. 14.0% · term. 2.0%

Base

$524

-21%

growth 30% · disc. 13.0% · term. 2.5%

Bull

$894

+35%

growth 38% · disc. 12.0% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal

Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 26% a year for 10 years.

Implied

+26%/yr

FCF, last 3 yrs

+71%/yr

FCF, last 5 yrs

+22%/yr

Revenue, last 3 yrs

+18%/yr

Revenue, last 5 yrs

+3%/yr

Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 3.1B, 13.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.

Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly

Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (FY to 2026-07-03). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 2.08 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)

sector median 35.9× · 71st pct

47.5×
pricier

Forward P/E

sector median 16.9× · 19th pct

11.6×
cheaper

EV / EBITDA

sector median 20.8× · 75th pct

34.7×
pricier

Price / sales

sector median 4.6× · 85th pct

12.3×
pricier

Price / book

sector median 5.1× · 98th pct

69.3×
pricier

FCF yield

sector median 3.5% · 30th pct

2.1%
pricier

Forward EPS $57.07 vs trailing $13.90 (+311% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin

45.6%

Operating margin

33.6%

FCF margin

25.5%

Net margin

26.1%

Return on equity

146.9%

Return on invested capital

97.7%

Net debt / EBITDA

0.3×

Current ratio

1.7×

Interest cover

14.4×

Cash conversion (OCF/NI)

1.2×

Piotroski F-score 7/9 · last two fiscal years

✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 13.6 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target

$1,114

+69%

Analysts

Strong Buy

Range

$700–$1,600

low – high

● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FY	Revenue	Net income	Free cash flow
2026	$12.2B	$3.2B	$3.1B
2025	$9.1B	$1.5B	$818.0M
2024	$6.6B	$335.0M	$664.0M
2023	$7.4B	$-529.0M	$626.0M
2022	$11.7B	$1.6B	$1.3B
2021	$10.7B	$1.3B	$1.1B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +18.2%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-27 · after close · EPS est 7.38

EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

Report	EPS est	Actual	Surprise
2026-07-28	5.09	5.71	+12.1%
2026-04-28	3.51	4.10	+16.8%
2026-01-27	2.84	3.11	+9.6%
2025-10-28	2.40	2.61	+8.8%
2025-07-29	2.44	2.59	+6.0%
2025-04-29	1.74	1.90	+9.2%
2025-01-21	1.88	2.03	+8.1%
2024-10-22	1.46	1.58	+8.6%

Quarterly revenue

Quarter	Revenue	YoY
2026-06-30	$3.6B	+48.5%
2026-03-31	$3.1B	–
2025-12-31	$2.8B	–
2025-09-30	$2.6B	–
2025-06-30	$2.4B	–

Analyst actions

Wells Fargo

2026-10-16 · main

Overweight → Overweight
PT $865

Argus Research

2026-07-30 · main

Buy → Buy
PT $900

Barclays

2026-07-30 · main

Overweight → Overweight
PT $1,250

Morgan Stanley

2026-07-29 · main

Overweight → Overweight
PT $1,187

JP Morgan

2026-07-29 · main

Overweight → Overweight
PT $1,240

TD Cowen

2026-07-29 · main

Buy → Buy
PT $1,000

Recent dividends

2026-09-24: $0.740 · 2026-06-24: $0.740 · 2026-03-25: $0.740 · 2025-12-24: $0.740 · 2025-09-30: $0.720 · 2025-06-25: $0.720 · 2025-03-19: $0.720 · 2024-12-13: $0.720

Insider trades

Mosley William D

Director, CEO · 2026-10-01

SELL
$334.4K

Mosley William D

Director, CEO · 2026-10-01

SELL
$795.2K

Mosley William D

Director, CEO · 2026-10-01

SELL
$1.6M

Mosley William D

Director, CEO · 2026-10-01

SELL
$1.2M

Mosley William D

Director, CEO · 2026-10-01

SELL
$784.0K

Mosley William D

Director, CEO · 2026-10-01

SELL
$768.0K

Mosley William D

Director, CEO · 2026-10-01

SELL
$598.5K

Mosley William D

Director, CEO · 2026-10-01

SELL
$710.8K

Mosley William D

Director, CEO · 2026-10-01

SELL
$542.7K

Mosley William D

Director, CEO · 2026-10-01

SELL
$600.5K

Mosley William D

Director, CEO · 2026-10-01

SELL
$676.3K

Mosley William D

Director, CEO · 2026-10-01

SELL
$75.2K

Research

Momentum Top 15: the October 2026 book, a rough start, and what the backtest says to expect2026-10-18

News

FormFactor, Teradyne, Entegris, Kulicke and Soffa, and Seagate Shares Skyrocket, What You Need To Know

StockStory · 6h ago

Is Seagate Stock Still Leading Its Industry?

Trefis · 14h ago

How Much Of NetApp Stock's Rise Did The Business Earn?

Trefis · 14h ago

Markets News, Oct. 19, 2026: Nasdaq, S&P 500 Start Week With Gains as Tech Stocks Rebound

Investopedia · 16h ago

JPMorgan Adjusts Price Target on Seagate Technology to $1,050 From $1,240

MT Newswires · 17h ago

How Did Seagate (STX) Triple Selling a Technology Everyone Buried?

Insider Monkey · Oct 18

Micron Is Down 30% From Its High and Just Lost Its $1 Trillion Status

24/7 Wall St. · Oct 17

Top 3 Growth Stocks To Watch In October 2026

Simply Wall St. · Oct 17

Seagate Stocks Fall 5.34%; Target Cut Puts Cash Generation Under Scrutiny

GuruFocus.com · Oct 16

Seagate Technology Holdings (STX) Eyes TDK HDD Head Deal As AI Storage Demand Builds

Simply Wall St. · Oct 16

Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:02:19 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau

Hypothetical research for education, not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance (via yfinance, delayed), SEC EDGAR.

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