UNP
Union Pacific Corporation
$287.01
-0.70% 2026-10-19
IndustrialsS&P 500
UNPSPY
1W
+1.9%
1M
+2.7%
3M
-2.7%
6M
+14.9%
YTD
+26.0%
1Y
+29.6%
Grades vs sector
Momentum72nd pct in sectorB
Momentum
72nd pct in sector
12-1 return: +26.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth60th pct in sectorB-
Growth
60th pct in sector
Revenue growth (YoY): +11.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value40th pct in sectorC
Value
40th pct in sector
Forward E/P: 4.9% · EBITDA/EV: 6.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability94th pct in sectorA
Profitability
94th pct in sector
Profit margin: +28.8% · Return on equity: +39.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisionsno data–
Revisions
no data
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.
Momentum Top 15
rank 139 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % 29.9
Quality Growthrank 66 of 360 · Composite (0-1) 0.7
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
Key stats
Market cap–
P/E (trailing)–
P/E (forward)–
52-week range– – –
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)–
Dividend yield–
Analyst consensus–
Mean price target–
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -1 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 69%
▲Piotroski F-score7/9
•Net debt / EBITDA3.0x
Discounted cash flow
Bear
$39
-86%
growth -5% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$90
-69%
growth -0% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$158
-45%
growth 3% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%
A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Not enough data to run a reverse DCF.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Industrials
P/E (trailing)
sector median 26.4×
–Forward P/E
sector median 17.1×
–EV / EBITDA
sector median 14.8×
–Price / sales
sector median 2.1×
–Price / book
sector median 3.5×
–FCF yield
sector median 4.5%
–Backlog (remaining performance obligations)
RPO
$157.0M
as of 2025-12-31
vs a year ago
-1%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.01×
coverage
Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
–
Operating margin
40.0%
FCF margin
25.6%
Net margin
28.8%
Return on equity
35.5%
Return on invested capital
15.4%
Net debt / EBITDA
3.0×
Current ratio
1.0×
Interest cover
7.9×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.4×
Piotroski F-score 7/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved
Analysts
No analyst targets available.
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $24.5B | $7.1B | $5.5B |
| 2024 | $24.2B | $6.7B | $5.9B |
| 2023 | $24.1B | $6.4B | $4.8B |
| 2022 | $24.9B | $7.0B | $5.7B |
| 2021 | $21.8B | $6.5B | $6.1B |
| 2020 | $19.5B | $5.3B | $5.6B |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -0.5%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-10-22 · before open · EPS est 3.47
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | 3.24 | 3.41 | +5.2% |
| 2026-04-23 | 2.86 | 2.93 | +2.4% |
| 2026-01-27 | 2.87 | 2.86 | -0.3% |
| 2025-10-23 | 3.00 | 3.08 | +2.8% |
| 2025-07-24 | 2.91 | 3.03 | +4.2% |
| 2025-04-24 | 2.73 | 2.70 | -1.1% |
| 2025-01-23 | 2.79 | 2.98 | +6.8% |
| 2024-10-24 | 2.78 | 2.75 | -1.1% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $6.9B | +11.5% |
| 2026-03-31 | $6.2B | – |
| 2025-12-31 | $6.1B | – |
| 2025-09-30 | $6.2B | – |
| 2025-06-30 | $6.2B | – |
Recent dividends
2026-08-31: $1.420 · 2026-05-29: $1.380 · 2026-02-27: $1.380 · 2025-12-05: $1.380 · 2025-08-29: $1.380 · 2025-05-30: $1.340 · 2025-02-28: $1.340 · 2024-12-09: $1.340
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News
J.B. Hunt Q3 Earnings Beat on Intermodal Growth and Strong Pricing
Zacks · Oct 16
4 Transportation Stocks Likely to Deliver an Earnings Beat This Season
Nasdaq · Oct 16
Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:04:30 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
coteau
Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.