VST

Vistra Corp.

$149.70

-1.53% 2026-10-19

UtilitiesS&P 500

1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y

VSTSPY

-5.3%

+6.6%

-5.1%

-5.9%

YTD

-6.8%

-25.2%

Grades vs sector

Momentum

5th pct in sector

12-1 return: -26.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Growth

7th pct in sector

Revenue growth (YoY): -5.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Value

79th pct in sector

B+

Forward E/P: 6.8% · EBITDA/EV: 9.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Profitability

66th pct in sector

Profit margin: +11.6% · Return on equity: +43.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Revisions

no data

–

EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 3 live models right now.

Momentum Top 15

rank 474 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % -29.6

Quality Growth

not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)

Momentum Blend

not in the current book

Key stats

Market cap–

P/E (trailing)–

P/E (forward)–

52-week range– – –

Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)–

Dividend yield–

Analyst consensus–

Mean price target–

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line

Looks expensive

Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -3 (DCF counts double).

▼DCF (base case)below the price by 41%

•Piotroski F-score5/9

▼Net debt / EBITDA3.5x

Discounted cash flow

Bear

$35

-77%

growth 4% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%

Base

$89

-41%

growth 9% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%

Bull

$163

+9%

growth 12% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal

Not enough data to run a reverse DCF.

Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly

Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Utilities

P/E (trailing)

sector median 20.8×

–

Forward P/E

sector median 16.9×

–

EV / EBITDA

sector median 12.8×

–

Price / sales

sector median 3.0×

–

Price / book

sector median 1.9×

–

FCF yield

sector median 0.1%

–

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO

$7.1B

as of 2026-06-30

vs a year ago

+166%

YoY

× TTM revenue

0.37×

coverage

24-09

24-12

25-03

25-06

25-09

25-12

26-03

26-06

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

18.5%

FCF margin

11.7%

Net margin

11.6%

Return on equity

40.5%

Return on invested capital

11.4%

Net debt / EBITDA

3.5×

Current ratio

1.0×

Interest cover

3.1×

Cash conversion (OCF/NI)

2.3×

Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years

✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

No analyst targets available.

Annual history

FY	Revenue	Net income	Free cash flow
2025	$17.7B	$944.0M	$1.3B
2024	$17.2B	$2.7B	$2.5B
2023	$14.8B	$1.5B	$3.8B
2022	$13.7B	$-1.2B	$-816.0M
2021	$12.1B	$-1.3B	$-1.2B
2020	$11.4B	$636.0M	$2.1B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +8.9%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-06 · before open · EPS est 2.59

EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

Report	EPS est	Actual	Surprise
2026-08-10	1.63	0.76	-53.4%
2026-05-08	1.87	2.87	+53.3%
2026-02-27	2.30	0.54	-76.5%
2025-11-07	1.40	1.38	-1.3%
2025-08-08	1.05	0.71	-32.5%
2025-05-08	0.61	-0.93	-251.7%
2025-02-28	1.45	1.14	-21.2%
2024-11-08	1.26	5.25	+317.0%

Quarterly revenue

Quarter	Revenue	YoY
2026-06-30	$4.0B	-5.5%
2026-03-31	$5.6B	–
2025-12-31	$4.6B	–
2025-09-30	$5.0B	–
2025-06-30	$4.2B	–

Recent dividends

2026-09-21: $0.230 · 2026-06-22: $0.229 · 2026-03-20: $0.228 · 2025-12-22: $0.227 · 2025-09-19: $0.226 · 2025-06-18: $0.225 · 2025-03-20: $0.224 · 2024-12-20: $0.222

Insider trades

Moldovan Kristopher E.

EVP and CFO · 2026-10-07

SELL
$3.3M

Hudson Scott A

EVP & President Vistra Retail · 2026-10-06

SELL
$3.6M

Moldovan Kristopher E.

EVP and CFO · 2026-09-08

SELL
$3.0M

Hudson Scott A

EVP & President Vistra Retail · 2026-09-08

SELL
$1.2M

Hudson Scott A

EVP & President Vistra Retail · 2026-09-08

SELL
$4.4M

Hudson Scott A

EVP & President Vistra Retail · 2026-09-08

SELL
$1.2M

Burke James A

Director, President and CEO · 2026-09-01

BUY
$603.9K

Burke James A

Director, President and CEO · 2026-08-31

BUY
$299.2K

Burke James A

Director, President and CEO · 2026-08-24

BUY
$270.0K

News

Musk: AI’s Hard Part Is “Scaling Power”: 3 Stocks Uniquely Suited to Win This New Bottleneck Trade

TIKR · 11h ago

Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 19:03:25 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.

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