coteau Get the Coteau app

ZBRA

Zebra Technologies Corporation
$375.77
+1.83% 2026-10-19
Information TechnologyS&P 500
-34%-18%-3%+13%+29%Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
ZBRASPY
1W
-3.2%
1M
+8.4%
3M
+42.0%
6M
+58.4%
YTD
+54.8%
1Y
+28.1%

Grades vs sector

Momentum
57th pct in sector
B-
12-1 return: +38.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
60th pct in sector
B-
Revenue growth (YoY): +20.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
58th pct in sector
B-
Forward E/P: 6.0% · EBITDA/EV: 5.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
48th pct in sector
C
Profit margin: +9.2% · Return on equity: +15.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
no data
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Held by 1 of 3 live models: Momentum Blend.

Momentum Blend
5.4% of the book · Leaders sleeve
Held
Momentum Top 15
rank 186 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % 19.0
Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Why it's in Momentum Blend

In the Leaders sleeve: a fast grower breaking out near its highs after an earnings-style gap.

What would knock it out: Exits if it closes below its stop of $326.18; last close $375.77, 15% above it.

Key stats

Market cap$17.8B
P/E (trailing)34.4
P/E (forward)16.9
52-week range199.05 – 390.80
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+20.4%
Dividend yield0.00%
Analyst consensusBuy (15)
Mean price target$414.85 (+10%)

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 39%
•Forward P/E vs sector16.9x vs median 16.9x
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▲Altman Z3.7 (safe)
•Net debt / EBITDA2.4x
•Analyst target+10% (15 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$139
-63%
growth 4% · disc. 13.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$230
-39%
growth 9% · disc. 12.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$337
-10%
growth 12% · disc. 11.2% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 13% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+13%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+26%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
-1%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
-2%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+4%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.9B, 12.2% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-07-04). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.58 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.9× · 48th pct
34.4×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 16.9× · 50th pct
16.9×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.8× · 46th pct
19.0×
cheaper
Price / sales
sector median 4.6× · 35th pct
3.0×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 5.1× · 51st pct
5.2×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 3.5% · 69th pct
5.1%
cheaper

Forward EPS $22.29 vs trailing $10.91 (+104% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$724.0M
as of 2019-12-31
vs a year ago
+48%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.12×
coverage
18-03
18-06
18-09
18-12
19-03
19-06
19-09
19-12

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
49.6%
Operating margin
14.7%
FCF margin
15.5%
Net margin
9.2%
Return on equity
15.7%
Return on invested capital
10.8%
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4×
Current ratio
0.5×
Interest cover
171.6×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.8×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 3.7 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$415
+10%
Analysts
15
Buy
Range
$350–$460
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$5.4B$419.0M$831.0M
2024$5.0B$528.0M$954.0M
2023$4.6B$296.0M$-91.0M
2022$5.8B$463.0M$413.0M
2021$5.6B$837.0M$1.0B
2020$4.4B$504.0M$895.0M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -2.3%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-03 · before open · EPS est 4.91
24-1025-0225-0425-0825-1026-0226-0526-080.006.35
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-08-044.386.35+45.1%
2026-05-124.254.75+11.9%
2026-02-124.334.33-0.1%
2025-10-283.753.88+3.4%
2025-08-053.333.61+8.4%
2025-04-293.634.02+10.8%
2025-02-133.944.00+1.5%
2024-10-293.223.49+8.4%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$1.6B+20.4%
2026-03-31$1.5B–
2025-12-31$1.5B–
2025-09-30$1.3B–
2025-06-30$1.3B–

Analyst actions

Citigroup
2026-10-12 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $400
Barclays
2026-10-12 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $416
Truist Securities
2026-10-05 · main
Hold → Hold
PT $378
Needham
2026-09-15 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $435
TD Cowen
2026-08-05 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $450
Citigroup
2026-08-05 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $396

Insider trades

Connly Linda
Director · 2026-08-10
SELL
$188.8K
Cho Michael
Chief Strategy Officer · 2026-08-07
SELL
$1.3M
None
None · None
SELL
–

News

The Critical Role of Zebra Technologies (ZBRA) in Enterprise Automation
Insider Monkey · 18h ago

Stats refreshed 2026-10-19 17:47:05 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau
Coteau Systematic StrategiesSystematic equity research and model portfolios.
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes research, model portfolios and tools. It does not manage money or offer investment advice. Model results are hypothetical. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed), SEC EDGAR.