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ADC

Agree Realty Corporation
$65.45
-2.43% Oct 21 close
Real EstateS&P 400 Compare
-10%-3%+3%+10%+17%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
ADCSPY
1W
-0.2%
1M
-2.8%
3M
-17.5%
6M
-12.8%
YTD
-6.2%
1Y
-8.9%

Live chart

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What they do

Agree Realty Corporation is a publicly traded real estate investment trust. The Firm is Rethinking Retail through the acquisition and development of properties net leased to industry-leading, omni-channel retail tenants. Agree Realty Corporation was incorporated in 1971 and is based in Royal Oak, United States.

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
27th percentile in sector
D+
12-1 return: -4.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
79th percentile in sector
B+
Revenue growth (YoY): +16.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
40th percentile in sector
C-
Forward E/P: 2.9% · EBITDA/EV: 5.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
53rd percentile in sector
C+
Profit margin: +28.8% · Return on equity: +3.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
Agree Realty (ADC) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Nasdaq · 11h ago
Why is Agree Realty stock climbing today?
Investing.com · Oct 20
Agree Realty (ADC) files 8-K: results
SEC 8-K · Oct 20
Roche inks $15B ADC pact with Hansoh; Veradermics scores in another baldness study
BioPharma Dive · Oct 19

Key stats

Market value$8.0B
P/E (last 12 months)34.7
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)34.0
52-week range$64.34 – $82.08
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+16.7%
Dividend yield4.85%
Analyst consensusBuy (18)
Average analyst price target$79.11 (+21%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
No cash-flow valuation
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +0 (DCF counts double).
•Forward P/E vs sector34.0x vs median 29.6x
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▼Altman Z1.4 (distress)
•Net debt / EBITDA2.7x
▲Analyst target+21% (18 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Trailing free cash flow is negative or missing, so a cash-flow DCF isn't meaningful by default. You can enter your own assumptions below.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Trailing free cash flow is zero or negative, so there's no growth rate to solve for. The price is betting on a turnaround to positive cash flow.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-09-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Real Estate

P/E (trailing)
sector median 27.6× · 68th pct
34.7×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 29.6× · 59th pct
34.0×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 17.2× · 24th pct
14.7×
cheaper
Price / sales
sector median 6.5× · 82nd pct
9.9×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 1.8× · 24th pct
1.2×
cheaper
FCF yield
sector median 6.9% · 0th pct
-3.8%
pricier

Forward EPS $1.90 vs trailing $1.86 (+2% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
–
Operating margin
48.9%
FCF margin
-37.3%
Net margin
29.8%
Return on equity
3.5%
Return on invested capital
3.6%
Net debt / EBITDA
2.7×
Current ratio
–
Interest cover
2.6×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
2.4×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 1.4 (distress zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$79
+21%
Analysts
18
Buy
Range
$72–$93
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$718.4M$204.3M$504.1M
2024$617.1M$189.2M$-442.5M
2023$537.5M$170.0M$-808.4M
2022$429.8M$152.4M$-1.2B
2021$339.3M$122.3M$-1.1B
2020$248.6M$91.4M$-1.2B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +18.7%.

Earnings

Next report: 2027-02-09 · during market · EPS est 0.47
25-0225-0425-0725-1026-0226-0426-0726-100.000.49
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-10-200.470.48+2.7%
2026-07-300.470.47-1.5%
2026-04-210.470.49+4.4%
2026-02-100.470.47-0.1%
2025-10-210.460.47+2.5%
2025-07-310.460.46-0.1%
2025-04-220.430.46+8.0%
2025-02-110.440.41-6.5%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$205.1M+16.8%
2026-03-31$200.8M–
2025-12-31$190.5M–
2025-09-30$183.2M–
2025-06-30$175.5M–
Analyst actions
BNP Paribas
2026-10-21 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $74
Stifel
2026-10-21 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $76
Baird
2026-10-21 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $76
Barclays
2026-10-20 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $76
Wells Fargo
2026-10-19 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $79
Evercore ISI Group
2026-09-21 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $85

Recent dividends

2026-09-30: $0.267 · 2026-08-31: $0.267 · 2026-07-31: $0.267 · 2026-06-30: $0.267 · 2026-05-29: $0.267 · 2026-04-30: $0.267 · 2026-03-31: $0.262 · 2026-02-27: $0.262
Insider trades
Erlich Craig
CHIEF GROWTH OFFICER · 2026-09-21
Buy
$67.5K
Agree Joey
Director, PRESIDENT & CEO · 2026-09-16
Buy
$500.9K
Rakolta John Jr
Director · 2026-09-16
Buy
$1.4M
Rakolta John Jr
Director · 2026-08-31
Buy
$724.2K
Rakolta John Jr
Director · 2026-08-28
Buy
$10.0K
Rakolta John Jr
Director · 2026-08-27
Buy
$1.5M
None
None · None
Sell
–

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:28:49 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026