ADSK · Coteau

ADSK

Autodesk, Inc.

$245.58

+2.03% 2026-10-20

Information TechnologyS&P 500

1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y

ADSKSPY

+6.6%

+13.2%

+16.3%

+0.0%

YTD

-17.0%

-20.3%

Live chart

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Grades vs sector

Momentum

13th pct in sector

D-

12-1 return: -30.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Growth

50th pct in sector

C+

Revenue growth (YoY): +16.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Value

49th pct in sector

C+

Forward E/P: 5.9% · EBITDA/EV: 4.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Profitability

83rd pct in sector

A-

Profit margin: +21.1% · Return on equity: +53.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Revisions

Not enough data yet

–

EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth

not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)

Momentum Top 15

rank 444 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % -18.6

Momentum Blend

not in the current book

New Highs Growth

not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)

Conviction 20

not in the current book

News

More news

Did Cadence's Industry Carry Its Stock?

Trefis · Oct 20

1 Large-Cap Stock to Own for Decades and 2 That Underwhelm

StockStory · Oct 20

Here's Why Autodesk (ADSK) Fell More Than Broader Market

Zacks · Oct 16

Should You Buy Adobe Stock For Its Cash?

Trefis · Oct 15

Is Autodesk Still The Best Way To Own Faster Software Growth?

Trefis · Oct 15

Key stats

Market cap$51.3B

P/E (trailing)31.9

P/E (forward)17.3

52-week range185.50 – 320.00

Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+16.1%

Dividend yield0.00%

Analyst consensusNone (34)

Mean price target$307.54 (+25%)

Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line

Looks undervalued

Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +4 (DCF counts double).

▲DCF (base case)above the price by 30%

•Forward P/E vs sector17.3x vs median 16.9x

▲Piotroski F-score8/9

▲Net debt / EBITDA-0.3x

▲Analyst target+25% (34 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear

$202

-18%

growth 9% · disc. 11.9% · term. 2.0%

Base

$319

+30%

growth 15% · disc. 10.9% · term. 2.5%

Bull

$469

+91%

growth 18% · disc. 9.9% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal

Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 8% a year for 10 years.

Implied

+8%/yr

FCF, last 3 yrs

+6%/yr

FCF, last 5 yrs

+12%/yr

Revenue, last 3 yrs

+13%/yr

Revenue, last 5 yrs

+14%/yr

Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 2.8B, 10.9% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.

Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly

Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-07-31). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.33 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)

sector median 35.9× · 45th pct

31.9×
cheaper

Forward P/E

sector median 16.9× · 52nd pct

17.3×
pricier

EV / EBITDA

sector median 20.8× · 53rd pct

22.6×
pricier

Price / sales

sector median 4.6× · 64th pct

6.6×
pricier

Price / book

sector median 5.1× · 85th pct

15.2×
pricier

FCF yield

sector median 3.5% · 71st pct

5.5%
cheaper

Forward EPS $14.20 vs trailing $7.71 (+84% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO

$7.4B

as of 2026-07-31

vs a year ago

–

YoY

× TTM revenue

0.95×

coverage

20-04

20-07

20-10

21-01

22-01

23-01

26-04

26-07

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin

91.2%

Operating margin

26.2%

FCF margin

36.4%

Net margin

21.1%

Return on equity

48.5%

Return on invested capital

58.5%

Net debt / EBITDA

-0.3×

Current ratio

0.9×

Interest cover

24.6×

Cash conversion (OCF/NI)

1.8×

Piotroski F-score 8/9 · last two fiscal years

✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target

$308

+25%

Analysts

None

Range

$215–$375

low – high

● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FY	Revenue	Net income	Free cash flow
2026	$7.2B	$1.1B	$2.4B
2025	$6.1B	$1.1B	$1.6B
2024	$5.5B	$906.0M	$1.3B
2023	$5.0B	$823.0M	$2.0B
2022	$4.4B	$497.0M	$1.5B
2021	$3.8B	$1.2B	$1.3B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +12.9%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-27 · during market · EPS est 3.07

EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

Report	EPS est	Actual	Surprise
2026-08-27	3.12	3.30	+5.6%
2026-05-28	2.84	2.99	+5.2%
2026-02-26	2.64	2.85	+7.8%
2025-11-25	2.50	2.67	+6.9%
2025-08-28	2.45	2.62	+7.0%
2025-05-22	2.15	2.29	+6.7%
2025-02-27	2.14	2.29	+7.0%
2024-11-26	2.12	2.17	+2.4%

Quarterly revenue

Quarter	Revenue	YoY
2026-07-31	$2.0B	+16.1%
2026-04-30	$1.9B	–
2026-01-31	$2.0B	–
2025-10-31	$1.9B	–
2025-07-31	$1.8B	–

Analyst actions

Piper Sandler

2026-09-28 · main

Overweight → Overweight
PT $300

Guggenheim

2026-09-21 · reit

Buy → Buy
PT $283

BTIG

2026-09-18 · reit

Buy → Buy
PT $300

RBC Capital

2026-09-17 · reit

Outperform → Outperform
PT $305

Cantor Fitzgerald

2026-09-15 · init

→ Neutral
PT $215

Argus Research

2026-09-02 · reit

Buy → Buy
PT $355

Recent dividends

2005-03-22: $0.015 · 2004-12-22: $0.015 · 2004-09-22: $0.015 · 2004-06-30: $0.015 · 2004-03-31: $0.015 · 2003-12-30: $0.015 · 2003-10-01: $0.015 · 2003-07-09: $0.015

Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 18:14:10 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.

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