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ALK

Alaska Air Group
$34.36
+1.12% Oct 20 close
IndustrialsS&P 400 Compare
-30%-16%-3%+11%+24%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
ALKSPY
1W
-9.1%
1M
-15.2%
3M
-24.4%
6M
-17.1%
YTD
-31.7%
1Y
-29.2%

Live chart

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What they do

Alaska Air Group, Inc. operates airlines. It operates through three segments: Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional. The company offers scheduled air transportation services on Boeing jet aircraft for passengers and cargo; and Horizon's and other third-party carriers scheduled air transportation services.

Industrials · Airlines

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
30th percentile in sector
D+
12-1 return: -7.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
51st percentile in sector
C+
Revenue growth (YoY): +9.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
74th percentile in sector
B+
Forward E/P: 9.6% · EBITDA/EV: 7.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
6th percentile in sector
F
Profit margin: -1.2% · Return on equity: -4.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
Alaska Air: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors
Nasdaq · 15h ago
United Leads Airline Rebound Despite Tough Q3, Soaring Fuel Costs
Investor's Business Daily · 15h ago
Alaska Air (ALK) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Nasdaq · 16h ago
United Airlines Earnings Were Disappointing. The Stock Is Flying.
Barrons.com · 20h ago
ALK Q3 Earnings Beat on Strong Yields Despite Fuel Pressure
Zacks · 21h ago

Key stats

52-week range$33.98 – $60.21
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +1 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 330%
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▼Net debt / EBITDA5.7x

Discounted cash flow

CyclicalValued on average-cycle margins
Bear
$78
+128%
growth 8% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$148
+330%
growth 14% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$246
+615%
growth 17% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 4.7% average margin × current revenue = 0.7B (last 12 months: -0.4B at a -3% margin).

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Not enough data to run a reverse DCF.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Industrials

P/E (trailing)
sector median 26.4×
–
Forward P/E
sector median 17.1×
–
EV / EBITDA
sector median 14.8×
–
Price / sales
sector median 2.1×
–
Price / book
sector median 3.5×
–
FCF yield
sector median 4.5%
–

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
–
Operating margin
-1.5%
FCF margin
-2.8%
Net margin
-1.2%
Return on equity
-4.8%
Return on invested capital
-2.5%
Net debt / EBITDA
5.7×
Current ratio
0.5×
Interest cover
-0.7×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
–
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

No analyst targets available.

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$14.2B$100.0M$1.2B
2024$11.7B$395.0M$1.5B
2023$10.4B$235.0M$-444.0M
2022$9.6B$58.0M$-253.0M
2021$6.2B$478.0M$738.0M
2020$3.6B$-1.3B$-456.0M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +13.9%.

Earnings

Next report: 2027-01-21 · during market · EPS est -1.57
25-0125-0425-0725-1026-0126-0426-0726-10-1.681.78
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-10-200.28-0.31-211.0%
2026-07-21-0.99-0.92+7.2%
2026-04-20-1.59-1.68-5.8%
2026-01-220.110.43+297.2%
2025-10-231.101.05-4.7%
2025-07-231.541.78+15.7%
2025-04-23-0.77-0.77-0.1%
2025-01-220.470.97+106.7%
Insider trades
Minicucci Benito
Director, CEO AND PRESIDENT · 2026-08-20
Buy
$1.0M
Harrison Andrew R
EVP AND CCO · 2026-08-03
Sell
$263.3K
None
None · None
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Sell
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Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:10:59 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026