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APPF

APPF

AppFolio, Inc.
$217.20
-2.91% Oct 21 close
Information TechnologyS&P 400 Compare
-40%-26%-12%+3%+17%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
APPFSPY
1W
+6.9%
1M
+3.5%
3M
+33.9%
6M
+37.1%
YTD
-6.6%
1Y
-9.6%

Live chart

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What they do

AppFolio, Inc. provides cloud-based platform for the real estate industry in the United States. The company provides a cloud-based platform that assist with accounting, reporting, marketing, leasing, maintenance, workflow automation, and communication services. It offers AppFolio Property Manager Core, a platform that provides the accounting functionalities for small property management companies.

Technology · Software - Application

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
21st percentile in sector
D
12-1 return: -21.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
57th percentile in sector
B-
Revenue growth (YoY): +19.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
24th percentile in sector
D
Forward E/P: 4.0% · EBITDA/EV: 2.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
72nd percentile in sector
B
Profit margin: +15.1% · Return on equity: +32.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
Docusign Inc. (DOCU) Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue?
Zacks · 6h ago
AppFolio Stock In Focus Before Earnings Forecasts Point To Higher Service Revenue
Simply Wall St. · Oct 20
Ahead of AppFolio (APPF) Q3 Earnings: Get Ready With Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
Zacks · Oct 19
AppFolio (APPF) Dips More Than Broader Market: What You Should Know
Zacks · Oct 16
Dow Jones Futures: Tesla Flies On Roadster As Investors Question Anthropic Valuation
Investor's Business Daily · Oct 16

Key stats

Market value$7.7B
P/E (last 12 months)49.5
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)25.8
52-week range$142.56 – $265.02
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+19.3%
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Analyst consensusBuy (8)
Average analyst price target$241.29 (+11%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +1 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 81%
▼Forward P/E vs sector25.8x vs median 16.9x
•Piotroski F-score6/9
▲Altman Z41.9 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-1.2x
•Analyst target+11% (8 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$198
-9%
growth 14% · disc. 9.7% · term. 2.0%
Base
$393
+81%
growth 23% · disc. 8.7% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$702
+223%
growth 29% · disc. 7.7% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 9% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+9%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+133%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+52%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+26%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+25%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.3B, 8.7% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.89 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.9× · 72nd pct
49.5×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 16.9× · 77th pct
25.8×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.8× · 76th pct
36.7×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 4.6× · 69th pct
7.4×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 5.1× · 84th pct
14.6×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 3.5% · 50th pct
3.5%
pricier

Forward EPS $8.42 vs trailing $4.39 (+92% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$114.8M
as of 2026-06-30
vs a year ago
–
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.11×
coverage
22-12
23-03
23-06
23-09
25-12
26-03
26-06

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
86.2%
Operating margin
17.5%
FCF margin
25.9%
Net margin
15.1%
Return on equity
29.9%
Return on invested capital
53.3%
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.2×
Current ratio
3.8×
Interest cover
227.9×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.7×
Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 41.9 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$241
+11%
Analysts
8
Buy
Range
$217–$280
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$950.8M$140.9M$238.9M
2024$794.2M$204.1M$186.1M
2023$620.4M$2.7M$51.2M
2022$471.9M$-68.1M$18.8M
2021$359.4M$1.0M$27.3M
2020$310.1M$158.4M$29.3M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +26.3%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-22 · after close · EPS est 1.79
24-1025-0125-0425-0725-1026-0126-0426-070.001.71
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-07-231.691.71+1.1%
2026-04-231.471.61+9.2%
2026-01-291.251.39+10.8%
2025-10-301.451.31-9.8%
2025-07-311.281.39+8.3%
2025-04-241.221.21-1.2%
2025-01-300.940.92-2.2%
2024-10-241.031.29+24.9%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$281.1M+19.3%
2026-03-31$262.2M–
2025-12-31$248.2M–
2025-09-30$249.4M–
2025-06-30$235.6M–
Analyst actions
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2026-10-21 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $255
UBS
2026-10-07 · down
Buy → Neutral
PT $220
Keybanc
2026-09-17 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $280
Guggenheim
2026-07-23 · init
→ Buy
PT $232
Benchmark
2026-04-24 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $226
Piper Sandler
2026-04-24 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $210
Insider trades
Duca Maurice J
10% owner · 2026-08-21
SELL
$155.5K
Duca Maurice J
10% owner · 2026-08-21
SELL
$223.8K
Duca Maurice J
10% owner · 2026-08-21
SELL
$80.8K
Duca Maurice J
10% owner · 2026-08-21
SELL
$20.1K
Duca Maurice J
10% owner · 2026-08-21
SELL
$39.6K
Duca Maurice J
10% owner · 2026-08-21
SELL
$19.8K
Duca Maurice J
10% owner · 2026-08-21
SELL
$13.9K
Duca Maurice J
10% owner · 2026-08-21
SELL
$20.9K
Duca Maurice J
10% owner · 2026-08-21
SELL
$7.7K
Duca Maurice J
10% owner · 2026-08-21
SELL
$1.7K
Duca Maurice J
10% owner · 2026-08-21
SELL
$3.7K
Duca Maurice J
10% owner · 2026-08-21
SELL
$1.7K

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:29:00 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026