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ASO

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.
$61.78
+3.69% Oct 22 close
Consumer DiscretionaryS&P 600 CompareTechnicals
-17%-7%+3%+14%+24%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
ASOSPY
1W
+5.7%
1M
+24.8%
3M
+31.7%
6M
+9.5%
YTD
+24.8%
1Y
+28.0%

Live chart

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What they do

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. operates as a sporting goods and outdoor recreational retailer in the United States. The company's outdoors division comprises camping products, such as coolers and drinkware, camping accessories and equipment, and watersports and equipment. Its sports and recreation division offers fitness equipment, fitness accessories, and nutrition supplies.

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
56th percentile in sector
B-
12-1 return: +1.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
44th percentile in sector
C
Revenue growth (YoY): +3.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
85th percentile in sector
A-
Forward E/P: 12.0% · EBITDA/EV: 13.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
54th percentile in sector
C+
Profit margin: +6.4% · Return on equity: +18.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Systematic Models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) Upgraded to Buy: Here's What You Should Know
Zacks · Oct 21
ASO vs. AS: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
Zacks · Oct 21
Academy Sports + Outdoors Signs On as Official Partner of HYROX North America
PR Newswire · Oct 21
Should Value Investors Buy Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) Stock?
Zacks · Oct 21
Is Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) Outperforming Other Consumer Discretionary Stocks This Year?
Zacks · Oct 21

Key stats

Market value$3.7B
P/E (last 12 months)10.0
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)8.4
52-week range$41.29 – $62.45
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+3.0%
Dividend yield1.01%
Analyst consensusBuy (18)
Average analyst price target$60.89 (-1%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +4 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 19%
▲Forward P/E vs sector8.4x vs median 13.4x
▲Piotroski F-score7/9
•Altman Z2.8 (grey)
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.3x
•Analyst target-1% (18 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$46
-26%
growth -4% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$74
+19%
growth 1% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$112
+81%
growth 4% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price implies shrinking cash flows: about -1% a year for 10 years.
Implied
-1%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
-21%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
-26%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
-2%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+1%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.3B, 9.2% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-08-01). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.98 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary

P/E (trailing)
sector median 17.7× · 14th pct
10.0×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 13.4× · 15th pct
8.4×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 11.3× · 4th pct
5.4×
cheaper
Price / sales
sector median 1.2× · 30th pct
0.6×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 2.8× · 33rd pct
1.7×
cheaper
FCF yield
sector median 6.6% · 70th pct
9.0%
cheaper

Forward EPS $7.08 vs trailing $5.96 (+19% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
35.8%
Operating margin
9.6%
FCF margin
5.4%
Net margin
6.4%
Return on equity
18.2%
Return on invested capital
19.5%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3×
Current ratio
1.7×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.4×
Piotroski F-score 7/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 2.8 (grey zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$61
-1%
Analysts
18
Buy
Range
$52–$70
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$6.1B$376.8M$222.1M
2025$5.9B$418.4M$328.5M
2024$6.2B$519.2M$328.0M
2023$6.4B$628.0M$443.7M
2022$6.8B$671.4M$597.5M
2021$5.7B$308.8M$970.3M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -1.8%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-12-08 · before open · EPS est 1.06
24-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-0626-090.002.31
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-09-092.082.31+11.1%
2026-06-090.910.93+2.6%
2026-03-172.051.97-4.0%
2025-12-091.061.14+7.5%
2025-09-022.131.94-9.1%
2025-06-100.890.76-14.7%
2025-03-201.821.96+7.6%
2024-12-101.270.98-22.9%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-07-31$1.6B+3.0%
2026-04-30$1.4B–
2026-01-31$1.7B–
2025-10-31$1.4B–
2025-07-31$1.6B–
Rating changes
Reiterated
2026-10-20 · Evercore ISI Group reiterated In-Line on ASO
Reiterated
2026-09-10 · Telsey Advisory Group reiterated Outperform on ASO
Reiterated
2026-09-10 · Wells Fargo reiterated Equal-Weight on ASO
Reiterated
2026-09-10 · Truist Securities reiterated Hold on ASO
Reiterated
2026-09-10 · UBS reiterated Neutral on ASO
Reiterated
2026-09-10 · Barclays reiterated Equal-Weight on ASO

Third-party analyst actions, not Coteau's views. All rating changes

Recent dividends

2026-09-16: $0.150 · 2026-06-18: $0.150 · 2026-03-20: $0.150 · 2025-12-18: $0.130 · 2025-09-11: $0.130 · 2025-06-18: $0.130 · 2025-03-25: $0.130 · 2024-12-18: $0.110
Insider trades
Marley Brian T
Director · 2026-09-15
Sell
$343.2K
Marley Brian T
Director · 2026-09-15
Sell
$212.3K
Johnson Samuel J
President · 2026-09-15
Sell
$1.7M
Johnson Samuel J
President · 2026-09-15
Sell
$473.0K
Johnson Samuel J
President · 2026-09-15
Sell
$1.4M
Johnson Samuel J
President · 2026-09-14
Sell
$1.4M
None
None · None
Sell
–
None
None · None
Sell
–

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:29:09 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026