AVAV
AVAV
AeroVironment, Inc.
$117.63
-0.23% 2026-10-20
IndustrialsS&P 400
AVAVSPY
1W
-7.5%
1M
-26.5%
3M
-21.0%
6M
-44.0%
YTD
-51.4%
1Y
-67.7%
Live chart
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Grades vs sector
Momentum1st pct in sectorF
Momentum
1st pct in sector
12-1 return: -61.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth31st pct in sectorD+
Growth
31st pct in sector
Revenue growth (YoY): +5.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value10th pct in sectorD-
Value
10th pct in sector
Forward E/P: 3.6% · EBITDA/EV: 3.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability4th pct in sectorF
Profitability
4th pct in sector
Profit margin: -10.1% · Return on equity: -4.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
RevisionsNot enough data yet–
Revisions
Not enough data yet
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.
Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Top 15not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
New Highs Growthnot ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Conviction 20not in the current book
News
More newsKey stats
Market cap$6.0B
P/E (trailing)–
P/E (forward)26.6
52-week range116.30 – 408.25
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+5.7%
Dividend yield0.00%
Analyst consensusBuy (22)
Mean price target$213.44 (+81%)
Valuation and fundamentals
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
No cash-flow valuation
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +0 (DCF counts double).
▼Forward P/E vs sector26.6x vs median 17.1x
▲Analyst target+81% (22 analysts)
Discounted cash flow
Trailing free cash flow is negative or missing, so a cash-flow DCF isn't meaningful by default. You can enter your own assumptions below.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Trailing free cash flow is zero or negative, so there's no growth rate to solve for. The price is betting on a turnaround to positive cash flow.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-08-01). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.36 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Industrials
P/E (trailing)
sector median 26.4×
–Forward P/E
pricier
sector median 17.1× · 87th pct
26.6×pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 14.8×
–Price / sales
pricier
sector median 2.1× · 63rd pct
3.0×pricier
Price / book
pricier
sector median 3.5× · 89th pct
10.4×pricier
FCF yield
pricier
sector median 4.5% · 6th pct
-0.4%pricier
Forward EPS $4.42 vs trailing $-4.05. Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Backlog (remaining performance obligations)
RPO
$1.5B
as of 2026-08-01
vs a year ago
+37%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.73×
coverage
Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
26.5%
Operating margin
-12.6%
FCF margin
-1.2%
Net margin
–
Return on equity
–
Return on invested capital
-27.2%
Net debt / EBITDA
–
Current ratio
4.3×
Interest cover
-10.4×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
–
Analysts
Mean target
$213
+81%
Analysts
22
Buy
Range
$149–$315
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2.0B | – | $-140.9M |
| 2025 | $820.6M | – | $-20.9M |
| 2024 | $716.7M | – | $-7.7M |
| 2023 | $540.5M | – | $-3.5M |
| 2022 | $445.7M | – | $-31.9M |
| 2021 | $394.9M | – | $75.3M |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +54.1%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-12-02 · during market · EPS est 0.39
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | 0.25 | 0.59 | +138.1% |
| 2026-06-29 | 1.47 | 1.84 | +25.0% |
| 2026-03-10 | 0.69 | 0.64 | -7.4% |
| 2025-12-09 | 0.79 | 0.44 | -44.2% |
| 2025-09-09 | 0.34 | 0.32 | -6.7% |
| 2025-06-24 | 1.39 | 1.61 | +15.7% |
| 2025-03-04 | 0.72 | 0.30 | -58.2% |
| 2024-12-04 | 0.68 | 0.47 | -30.9% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | $480.5M | +5.7% |
| 2026-04-30 | $641.6M | – |
| 2026-01-31 | $408.0M | – |
| 2025-10-31 | $472.5M | – |
| 2025-07-31 | $454.7M | – |
Analyst actions
Citizens
PT $170
2026-10-19 · main
Market Outperform → Market OutperformPT $170
Macquarie
PT $210
2026-10-16 · init
→ OutperformPT $210
Barclays
PT $237
2026-10-09 · init
→ Equal-WeightPT $237
Rothschild & Co
PT $165
2026-10-06 · init
→ NeutralPT $165
Jefferies
PT $204
2026-09-16 · main
Buy → BuyPT $204
B of A Securities
PT $185
2026-09-11 · main
Buy → BuyPT $185
Insider trades
Shackley Brian Charles
$15.2K
SVP, Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-09-15
SELL$15.2K
Page Stephen F
$38.1K
Director · 2026-09-15
SELL$38.1K
Page Stephen F
$48.0K
Director · 2026-08-17
SELL$48.0K
Shackley Brian Charles
$41.4K
SVP, Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-08-14
SELL$41.4K
None
–
None · None
SELL–
Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 18:13:35 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
coteau
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.