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CART

Maplebear Inc.
$50.76
+1.70% Oct 20 close
Consumer StaplesS&P 400 Compare
-15%-3%+9%+21%+33%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
CARTSPY
1W
+2.2%
1M
+11.9%
3M
+11.7%
6M
+18.5%
YTD
+12.9%
1Y
+30.3%

Live chart

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What they do

Maplebear Inc., doing business as Instacart, operates as a technology and enablement partner for the grocery industry in the United States and internationally. The company offers Instacart Marketplace which helps retailers serve customers' needs by supporting fulfillment options, shopping occasions, and categories. It also provides advertising solutions, including sponsored product ads, display ads, coupons, and brand pages.

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
70th percentile in sector
B
12-1 return: +17.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
85th percentile in sector
A-
Revenue growth (YoY): +14.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
53rd percentile in sector
C+
Forward E/P: 9.8% · EBITDA/EV: 5.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
69th percentile in sector
B
Profit margin: +12.0% · Return on equity: +16.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
1 Mid-Cap Stock to Target This Week and 2 Facing Headwinds
StockStory · Oct 12

Key stats

Market value$11.9B
P/E (last 12 months)27.5
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)10.3
52-week range$32.73 – $52.68
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+14.1%
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Analyst consensusBuy (29)
Average analyst price target$57.90 (+14%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +4 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 221%
▲Forward P/E vs sector10.3x vs median 14.5x
▲Piotroski F-score7/9
▲Altman Z7.4 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-1.2x
•Analyst target+14% (29 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$99
+94%
growth 8% · disc. 9.6% · term. 2.0%
Base
$163
+221%
growth 14% · disc. 8.6% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$259
+410%
growth 17% · disc. 7.6% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price implies shrinking cash flows: about -5% a year for 10 years.
Implied
-5%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+53%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
n/a
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+14%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
n/a
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 1.2B, 8.6% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.87 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Consumer Staples

P/E (trailing)
sector median 23.5× · 54th pct
27.5×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 14.5× · 16th pct
10.3×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 11.9× · 73rd pct
15.8×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 1.1× · 82nd pct
3.0×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 3.1× · 65th pct
5.1×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 6.5% · 78th pct
9.8%
cheaper

Forward EPS $4.90 vs trailing $1.83 (+168% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
72.6%
Operating margin
14.8%
FCF margin
29.5%
Net margin
12.0%
Return on equity
20.7%
Return on invested capital
29.5%
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.2×
Current ratio
2.3×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
2.6×
Piotroski F-score 7/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 7.4 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$58
+14%
Analysts
29
Buy
Range
$45–$77
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$3.7B$447.0M$910.0M
2024$3.4B$457.0M$623.0M
2023$3.0B$-1.6B$532.0M
2022$2.6B$428.0M$253.0M
2021$1.8B$-73.0M$-217.0M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +13.6%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-05 · during market · EPS est 0.63
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-080.000.97
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-08-060.540.45-16.6%
2026-05-050.890.83-6.4%
2026-02-120.920.97+5.3%
2025-11-100.790.51-34.7%
2025-08-070.380.41+6.9%
2025-05-010.720.50-30.6%
2025-02-250.710.50-29.8%
2024-11-120.610.43-29.8%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$1.0B+14.1%
2026-03-31$1.0B–
2025-12-31$992.0M–
2025-09-30$939.0M–
2025-06-30$914.0M–
Analyst actions
Wells Fargo
2026-10-05 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $56
Argus Research
2026-09-02 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $58
Rosenblatt
2026-09-01 · init
→ Neutral
PT $55
Citigroup
2026-08-10 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $58
Barclays
2026-08-07 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $77
Benchmark
2026-08-07 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $63
Insider trades
Blackwood-Kapral Lisa
Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-10-15
Sell
$149.5K
Fong Morgan
Chief Legal Officer · 2026-09-22
Sell
$35.3K
Fong Morgan
Chief Legal Officer · 2026-09-22
Sell
$792.0K
Blackwood-Kapral Lisa
Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-09-15
Sell
$142.0K
Laughton Mary Beth
Director · 2026-08-27
Sell
$515.2K
Fong Morgan
Chief Legal Officer · 2026-08-24
Sell
$217.0K
Fong Morgan
Chief Legal Officer · 2026-08-24
Sell
$701.8K
Rogers Chris
Director, President and CEO · 2026-08-19
Sell
$372.3K
Gupta Ravi
Director · 2026-08-19
Sell
$7.6M
Reuter Emily
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER · 2026-08-13
Sell
$1.3M
Rogers Chris
Director, President and CEO · 2026-08-07
Sell
$246.7K
Fong Morgan
Chief Legal Officer · 2026-07-22
Sell
$815.4K

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:01:57 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026