CCK
Crown Holdings, Inc.
$114.17
-0.63% 2026-10-20
MaterialsS&P 400
CCKSPY
1W
+3.8%
1M
+4.6%
3M
-3.0%
6M
+11.1%
YTD
+12.0%
1Y
+22.4%
Live chart
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Grades vs sector
Momentum45th pct in sectorC
Momentum
45th pct in sector
12-1 return: +9.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth71st pct in sectorB
Growth
71st pct in sector
Revenue growth (YoY): +16.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value63rd pct in sectorB-
Value
63rd pct in sector
Forward E/P: 7.9% · EBITDA/EV: 11.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability74th pct in sectorB+
Profitability
74th pct in sector
Profit margin: +5.9% · Return on equity: +27.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
RevisionsNot enough data yet–
Revisions
Not enough data yet
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.
Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Top 15not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
New Highs Growthnot ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Conviction 20not in the current book
News
More newsEarnings Calendar and Analysis for This Week
Kiplinger · 4h ago
Crown (CCK) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Nasdaq · 9h ago
Why is Crown stock sliding after-hours today?
Investing.com · Oct 19
Key stats
Market cap$12.4B
P/E (trailing)15.9
P/E (forward)12.6
52-week range91.31 – 122.91
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+16.5%
Dividend yield1.14%
Analyst consensusBuy (14)
Mean price target$134.86 (+18%)
Valuation and fundamentals
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
Roughly fairly valued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +0 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 69%
•Forward P/E vs sector12.6x vs median 12.7x
▲Piotroski F-score7/9
•Net debt / EBITDA3.3x
▲Analyst target+18% (14 analysts)
Discounted cash flow
CyclicalValued on average-cycle margins
Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials profits swing with the business cycle, so one year's cash flow can be far above or below normal. Instead of the last 12 months' free cash flow (1.2B, a 9% margin), the DCF and reverse DCF use the average free-cash-flow margin over FY2016–FY2025 (10 years: 2.3%) times current revenue = 0.3B. On trailing cash flow the base case would be $284; on mid-cycle cash flow it is $35. Glossary
Bear
$-1
-101%
growth 2% · disc. 8.1% · term. 2.0%
Base
$35
-69%
growth 7% · disc. 7.1% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$99
-13%
growth 10% · disc. 6.1% · term. 3.0%
Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 2.3% average margin × current revenue = 0.3B (last 12 months: 1.2B at a 9% margin). On trailing cash flow the base case would be $284.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 14% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+14%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
n/a
FCF, last 5 yrs
+8%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
-2%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+6%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: mid-cycle free cash flow 0.3B, 7.1% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.56 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Materials
P/E (trailing)
cheaper
sector median 20.6× · 25th pct
15.9×cheaper
Forward P/E
cheaper
sector median 12.7× · 47th pct
12.6×cheaper
EV / EBITDA
cheaper
sector median 11.1× · 49th pct
11.0×cheaper
Price / sales
cheaper
sector median 1.4× · 36th pct
0.9×cheaper
Price / book
pricier
sector median 2.3× · 81st pct
4.3×pricier
FCF yield
cheaper
sector median 4.7% · 85th pct
9.7%cheaper
Forward EPS $9.08 vs trailing $7.17 (+27% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
10.3%
Operating margin
12.3%
FCF margin
9.0%
Net margin
5.9%
Return on equity
27.3%
Return on invested capital
14.6%
Net debt / EBITDA
3.3×
Current ratio
1.0×
Interest cover
4.1×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
2.2×
Piotroski F-score 7/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved
Analysts
Mean target
$135
+18%
Analysts
14
Buy
Range
$116–$155
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $12.4B | $738.0M | $1.1B |
| 2024 | $11.8B | $424.0M | $789.0M |
| 2023 | $12.0B | $450.0M | $660.0M |
| 2022 | $12.9B | $727.0M | $-36.0M |
| 2021 | $11.4B | $-560.0M | $89.0M |
| 2020 | $9.4B | $579.0M | $761.0M |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -1.5%.
Earnings
Next report: 2027-02-03 · during market · EPS est 1.78
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | 2.26 | 2.39 | +5.9% |
| 2026-07-20 | 2.16 | 2.49 | +15.3% |
| 2026-04-27 | 1.75 | 1.86 | +6.3% |
| 2026-02-04 | 1.70 | 1.74 | +2.2% |
| 2025-10-20 | 1.99 | 2.24 | +12.7% |
| 2025-07-21 | 1.87 | 2.15 | +14.7% |
| 2025-04-28 | 1.23 | 1.67 | +35.7% |
| 2025-02-05 | 1.51 | 1.59 | +5.3% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $3.7B | +16.5% |
| 2026-03-31 | $3.3B | – |
| 2025-12-31 | $3.1B | – |
| 2025-09-30 | $3.2B | – |
| 2025-06-30 | $3.1B | – |
Analyst actions
Wells Fargo
PT $126
2026-10-19 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-WeightPT $126
UBS
PT $116
2026-10-05 · main
Neutral → NeutralPT $116
JP Morgan
PT $121
2026-09-18 · up
Neutral → OverweightPT $121
RBC Capital
PT $135
2026-07-24 · main
Outperform → OutperformPT $135
Wells Fargo
PT $127
2026-07-22 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-WeightPT $127
UBS
PT $123
2026-07-22 · main
Neutral → NeutralPT $123
Recent dividends
2026-08-06: $0.350 · 2026-05-14: $0.350 · 2026-03-17: $0.350 · 2025-11-06: $0.260 · 2025-08-07: $0.260 · 2025-05-15: $0.260 · 2025-03-18: $0.260 · 2024-11-14: $0.250
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Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 18:08:31 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
coteauCoteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.