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CDNA

CareDx, Inc.
$69.20
+3.16% 2026-10-20
Healthcare
-6%+85%+176%+268%+359%Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
CDNASPY
1W
+5.8%
1M
+28.6%
3M
+79.6%
6M
+233.8%
YTD
+267.3%
1Y
+354.7%

Live chart

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What they do

CareDx, Inc. provides solutions for improving outcomes for transplant patients and advancing organ health in the United States and internationally. The company provides AlloSure Kidney, a donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) solution for kidney transplant patients. It also offers HeartCare, which provides information about distinct biological processes, such as immune quiescence, active injury, acute cellular rejection.

Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

Grades vs sector

Momentum
Not enough data yet
–

Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
Not enough data yet
–

Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
Not enough data yet
–

Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
Not enough data yet
–

Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–

30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Top 15
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blend
not in the current book
New Highs Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Coteau Long Book
not in the current book

News

More news
CareDx to Report Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results on October 29, 2026
Business Wire · Oct 15
CareDx (CDNA) Stock Gets Fair Value Bump After Reimbursement And Analyst Target Changes
Simply Wall St. · Oct 09
Consumer Confidence Falls Amid Ongoing Geopolitical Tensions: 4 Picks
Zacks · Sep 30
CareDx (CDNA) Stock Jumps 13.0%: Will It Continue to Soar?
Zacks · Sep 25
CareDx +14% on Fresh $74 Analyst Price Target
TIKR · Sep 24

Key stats

Market cap$3.6B
P/E (trailing)33.3
P/E (forward)53.6
52-week range14.03 – 72.51
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+52.2%
Dividend yield0.00%
Analyst consensusBuy (6)
Mean price target$64.17 (-7%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -1 (DCF counts double).
•DCF (base case)above the price by 5%
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▲Altman Z21.0 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-3.0x
▼Analyst target-7% (6 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$40
-43%
growth 17% · disc. 14.0% · term. 2.0%
Base
$73
+5%
growth 29% · disc. 13.0% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$117
+69%
growth 36% · disc. 12.0% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 21% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+21%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
n/a
FCF, last 5 yrs
+5%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+6%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+15%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.1B, 13.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 2.38 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs sector

Forward EPS $1.29 vs trailing $2.08 (-38% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
21.4%
Operating margin
23.6%
FCF margin
20.0%
Net margin
24.2%
Return on equity
26.1%
Return on invested capital
200.6%
Net debt / EBITDA
-3.0×
Current ratio
4.6×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
0.8×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✗ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 21.0 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$64
-7%
Analysts
6
Buy
Range
$46–$80
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$379.8M$-21.4M$42.0M
2024$333.8M$52.5M$38.0M
2023$280.3M$-190.3M$-18.4M
2022$321.8M$-76.6M$-25.2M
2021$296.4M$-30.7M$-19.3M
2020$192.2M$-18.7M$33.4M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +5.7%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-29 · after close · EPS est 0.26
24-1125-0225-0425-0825-1126-0226-0426-070.000.37
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-07-300.230.37+59.5%
2026-04-280.130.34+161.5%
2026-02-240.230.12-47.1%
2025-11-040.140.28+97.6%
2025-08-060.120.10-18.0%
2025-04-300.070.10+46.4%
2025-02-260.150.18+22.0%
2024-11-040.010.14+1099.7%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$131.9M+52.2%
2026-03-31$117.7M–
2025-12-31$108.4M–
2025-09-30$100.1M–
2025-06-30$86.7M–
Analyst actions
Canaccord Genuity
2026-10-19 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $80
BTIG
2026-09-24 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $74
Canaccord Genuity
2026-09-02 · init
→ Buy
PT $65
BTIG
2026-08-06 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $60
HC Wainwright & Co.
2026-07-31 · reit
Neutral → Neutral
PT $46
BTIG
2026-07-16 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $45
Insider trades
Bickerstaff George
Director · 2026-08-05
SELL
$925.7K
Novack Jeffrey Adam
Secretary and General Counsel · 2026-08-05
SELL
$101.0K
Novack Jeffrey Adam
Secretary and General Counsel · 2026-08-05
SELL
$23.4K
Cournoyer Christine
Director · 2026-08-04
SELL
$751.0K
Goldberg Michael
Director · 2026-08-04
SELL
$2.1M
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Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 18:13:38 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

COTEAU

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.