CF
Live chart
What they do
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. engages in the production of ammonia in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments. The company offers ammonia products; nitrogen products, such as granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate solution, and ammonium nitrate; diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, and nitric acid products.
For information only · Important disclosures
Grades vs sector
Momentum87th percentile in sectorA-
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth72nd percentile in sectorB+
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value85th percentile in sectorA-
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability95th percentile in sectorA
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
RevisionsNot enough data yet–
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.
News
More newsKey stats
Valuation and fundamentals
Valuation & fundamentals
Discounted cash flow
Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 21.1% average margin × current revenue = 1.6B (last 12 months: 1.9B at a 25% margin). On trailing cash flow the base case would be $263.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.53 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Materials
cheaper
cheaper
cheaper
pricier
pricier
cheaper
Forward EPS $11.30 vs trailing $13.48 (-16% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Backlog (remaining performance obligations)
Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).
Quality & financial health
Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years
Analysts
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $7.1B | – | $1.8B |
| 2024 | $5.9B | – | $1.8B |
| 2023 | $6.6B | – | $2.3B |
| 2022 | $11.2B | – | $3.4B |
| 2021 | $6.5B | – | $2.4B |
| 2020 | $4.1B | – | $922.0M |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -14.1%.
Earnings
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | 5.57 | 4.73 | -15.1% |
| 2026-05-06 | 2.66 | 2.89 | +8.7% |
| 2026-02-18 | 2.47 | 3.06 | +23.9% |
| 2025-11-05 | 2.07 | 2.19 | +5.6% |
| 2025-08-06 | 2.47 | 2.39 | -3.4% |
| 2025-05-07 | 1.50 | 1.98 | +31.6% |
| 2025-02-19 | 1.51 | 1.79 | +18.1% |
| 2024-10-30 | 1.16 | 1.55 | +34.3% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $2.2B | +17.6% |
| 2026-03-31 | $2.0B | – |
| 2025-12-31 | $1.9B | – |
| 2025-09-30 | $1.7B | – |
| 2025-06-30 | $1.9B | – |
Analyst actions
PT $110
PT $162
PT $115
PT $130
PT $123
PT $115
Recent dividends
Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 13:50:19 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.
Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026