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CHRD

Chord Energy Corporation
$150.37
-1.22% Oct 21 close
EnergyS&P 400
-5%+17%+39%+61%+83%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
CHRDSPY
1W
+2.9%
1M
+7.8%
3M
+10.4%
6M
+13.5%
YTD
+66.8%
1Y
+75.9%

Live chart

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What they do

Chord Energy Corporation operates as an independent exploration and production company in the United States. The company engages in the acquisition, exploration, development and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the Williston Basin. It sells its products to refiners, marketers, and other purchasers that have access to pipeline and rail facilities.

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
73rd percentile in sector
B+
12-1 return: +54.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
94th percentile in sector
A
Revenue growth (YoY): +84.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
90th percentile in sector
A
Forward E/P: 11.9% · EBITDA/EV: 28.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
47th percentile in sector
C
Profit margin: +14.2% · Return on equity: +10.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
Chord Energy Q3 Performance Exceeds Market View
Nasdaq · Oct 19
Are Oils-Energy Stocks Lagging Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) This Year?
Zacks · Oct 19
1 Safe-and-Steady Stock on Our Buy List and 2 We Brush Off
StockStory · Oct 16

Key stats

Market value$8.2B
P/E (last 12 months)10.1
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)8.2
52-week range$84.25 – $157.06
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+84.1%
Dividend yield3.41%
Analyst consensusStrong Buy (17)
Average analyst price target$181.65 (+21%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +4 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 3530%
▲Forward P/E vs sector8.2x vs median 13.6x
•Piotroski F-score4/9
•Altman Z2.0 (grey)
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.3x
▲Analyst target+21% (17 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

CyclicalValued on average-cycle margins
Bear
$2,126
+1314%
growth 18% · disc. 8.0% · term. 2.0%
Base
$5,458
+3530%
growth 30% · disc. 7.0% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$12,326
+8098%
growth 38% · disc. 6.0% · term. 3.0%

Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 44.4% average margin × current revenue = 2.8B (last 12 months: 2.6B at a 41% margin). On trailing cash flow the base case would be $5,029.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price implies shrinking cash flows: about -23% a year for 10 years.
Implied
-23%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+2%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+18%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+10%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+20%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: mid-cycle free cash flow 2.8B, 7.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.47 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Energy

P/E (trailing)
sector median 17.7× · 17th pct
10.1×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 13.6× · 13th pct
8.2×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 8.1× · 3rd pct
3.3×
cheaper
Price / sales
sector median 2.2× · 25th pct
1.3×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 1.9× · 4th pct
1.0×
cheaper
FCF yield
sector median 7.7% · 96th pct
31.5%
cheaper

Forward EPS $18.33 vs trailing $14.86 (+23% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$45.6M
as of 2021-09-30
vs a year ago
-30%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.01×
coverage
19-12
20-03
20-06
20-09
20-12
21-03
21-06
21-09

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
71.3%
Operating margin
19.0%
FCF margin
40.9%
Net margin
13.4%
Return on equity
10.2%
Return on invested capital
8.4%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3×
Current ratio
1.2×
Interest cover
12.1×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
3.1×
Piotroski F-score 4/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 2.0 (grey zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$182
+21%
Analysts
17
Strong Buy
Range
$150–$228
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$4.9B$44.5M$2.0B
2024$5.3B$848.6M$2.1B
2023$3.9B$1.0B$1.8B
2022$3.6B$1.9B$1.9B
2021$1.6B$319.6M$914.1M
2019$1.9B$-128.2M$892.9M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +10.2%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-04 · during market · EPS est 5.57
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-080.006.52
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-08-056.526.44-1.2%
2026-05-053.494.56+30.8%
2026-02-251.241.28+3.6%
2025-11-042.292.35+2.8%
2025-08-061.881.79-4.6%
2025-05-063.544.04+14.3%
2025-02-252.813.49+24.4%
2024-11-063.783.41-9.9%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$2.2B+84.0%
2026-03-31$1.7B–
2025-12-31$1.2B–
2025-09-30$1.3B–
2025-06-30$1.2B–
Analyst actions
UBS
2026-10-20 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $197
Scotiabank
2026-10-15 · init
→ Sector Outperform
PT $192
Morgan Stanley
2026-10-15 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $178
Wells Fargo
2026-10-14 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $174
Truist Securities
2026-10-12 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $195
UBS
2026-10-06 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $193

Recent dividends

2026-08-20: $1.300 · 2026-05-20: $1.300 · 2026-03-12: $1.300 · 2025-11-19: $1.300 · 2025-08-21: $1.300 · 2025-05-21: $1.300 · 2025-03-11: $1.300 · 2024-11-27: $1.440

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 11:28:49 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

COTEAU

Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026