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CMC

Commercial Metals Company
$64.25
-0.62% Oct 21 close
MaterialsS&P 400 CompareTechnicals
-5%+7%+19%+31%+43%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
CMCSPY
1W
-1.6%
1M
+0.4%
3M
-5.6%
6M
-7.3%
YTD
-6.4%
1Y
+4.8%

Live chart

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What they do

Commercial Metals Company manufactures, recycles, and fabricates steel and metal products, and related materials and services in the United States, Poland, China, and internationally. It operates through three segments: North America Steel Group, Construction Solutions Group, and Europe Steel Group. The company processes and sells ferrous and nonferrous scrap metals.

Industrials · Metal Fabrication

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
36th percentile in sector
C-
12-1 return: +5.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
83rd percentile in sector
A-
Revenue growth (YoY): +25.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
79th percentile in sector
B+
Forward E/P: 10.3% · EBITDA/EV: 12.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
63rd percentile in sector
B-
Profit margin: +7.0% · Return on equity: +14.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
Where Did Nucor Stock's Gains Really Come From?
Trefis · Oct 21
Commercial Metals: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors
Nasdaq · Oct 19
Steel Dynamics Earnings Ahead: What Past Reactions Say About The Stock
Trefis · Oct 16
Commercial Metals Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
Nasdaq · Oct 15

Key stats

P/E (last 12 months)11.0
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)9.2
52-week range$55.97 – $84.87
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+25.7%
Dividend yield1.24%
Analyst consensusBuy (11)
Average analyst price target$78.00 (+21%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Roughly fairly valued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +0 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 122%
▲Forward P/E vs sector9.2x vs median 12.7x
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▲Analyst target+21% (11 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

CyclicalValued on average-cycle margins
Bear
$-17
-126%
growth 8% · disc. 12.9% · term. 2.0%
Base
$-14
-122%
growth 14% · disc. 11.9% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$-10
-116%
growth 17% · disc. 10.9% · term. 3.0%

Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 0.5% average margin × current revenue = 0.0B (last 12 months: 0.5B at a 5% margin). On trailing cash flow the base case would be $64.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Not enough data to run a reverse DCF.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (FY to 2026-08-31). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.53 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Materials

P/E (trailing)
sector median 20.6× · 10th pct
11.0×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 12.7× · 20th pct
9.2×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 11.1×
–
Price / sales
sector median 1.4×
–
Price / book
sector median 2.3×
–
FCF yield
sector median 4.7%
–

Forward EPS $6.98 vs trailing $5.86 (+19% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$895.5M
as of 2026-08-31
vs a year ago
+3%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.10×
coverage
24-11
25-02
25-05
25-08
25-11
26-02
26-05
26-08

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
18.6%
Operating margin
–
FCF margin
5.1%
Net margin
7.0%
Return on equity
14.0%
Return on invested capital
–
Net debt / EBITDA
–
Current ratio
2.3×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.6×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target
$78
+21%
Analysts
11
Buy
Range
$70–$85
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$9.4B$655.8M$479.1M
2025$7.8B$84.7M$312.2M
2024$7.9B$485.5M$575.4M
2023$8.8B$859.8M$737.4M
2022$8.9B$1.2B$250.3M
2021$6.7B$412.9M$44.3M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +2.2%.

Earnings

Next report: 2027-01-07 · before open · EPS est 1.71
25-0125-0325-0625-1026-0126-0326-0626-100.002.09
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-10-151.962.09+6.6%
2026-06-251.711.73+1.3%
2026-03-261.301.16-10.5%
2026-01-081.501.84+22.3%
2025-10-161.341.37+2.1%
2025-06-230.850.74-12.9%
2025-03-200.300.26-14.5%
2025-01-060.790.78-1.5%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-05-31$2.5B+22.9%
2026-02-28$2.1B–
2025-11-30$2.1B–
2025-08-31$2.1B–
2025-05-31$2.0B–
Rating changes
Reiterated
2026-10-20 · Barclays reiterated Equal-Weight on CMC
Reiterated
2026-10-19 · BMO Capital reiterated Market Perform on CMC
Reiterated
2026-10-19 · Morgan Stanley reiterated Overweight on CMC
Reiterated
2026-10-09 · JP Morgan reiterated Overweight on CMC
Reiterated
2026-10-06 · Wells Fargo reiterated Equal-Weight on CMC
Reiterated
2026-09-09 · JP Morgan reiterated Overweight on CMC

Third-party analyst actions, not Coteau's views. All rating changes

Recent dividends

2026-07-06: $0.200 · 2026-04-06: $0.200 · 2026-01-16: $0.180 · 2025-10-30: $0.180 · 2025-06-30: $0.180 · 2025-03-31: $0.180 · 2025-01-16: $0.180 · 2024-10-31: $0.180
Insider trades
Mcpherson John R
Director · 2026-08-13
Buy
$100.0K
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Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:23:18 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026