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CP

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited
$88.10
+0.88% Oct 21 close
Industrials Compare
-10%-1%+8%+18%+27%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
CPSPY
1W
+2.3%
1M
+1.7%
3M
-3.3%
6M
+7.5%
YTD
+20.4%
1Y
+17.2%

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What they do

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited owns and operates a transcontinental freight railway in Canada, the United States, and Mexico. The transports bulk commodities, including grain, coal, potash, fertilizers, and sulphur. The company also provides rail and intermodal transportation services through a network of approximately 20,000 miles serving business centers.

Industrials · Railroads

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

No sector grades for CP yet. Grades rank S&P 1500 stocks within their sector and refresh after each daily data run, so a stock outside that index or newly covered has none.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
How Will Union Pacific Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?
Trefis · 17h ago
How Will Norfolk Southern Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?
Trefis · 18h ago
Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
Zacks · 22h ago
CSX Stock And North American Rail Shares Facing A Diesel Margin Test
Simply Wall St. · Oct 18
Canadian Pacific Kansas City (TSX:CP) Could Be 12% Undervalued As Holiday Train Returns
Simply Wall St. · Oct 18

Key stats

Market value$77.4B
P/E (last 12 months)28.3
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)20.8
52-week range$68.42 – $96.90
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+12.6%
Dividend yield0.87%
Analyst consensusBuy (13)
Average analyst price target$99.11 (+12%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 15%
▲Piotroski F-score7/9
▼Altman Z1.8 (distress)
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.1x
•Analyst target+12% (13 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$45
-49%
growth 10% · disc. 11.4% · term. 2.0%
Base
$75
-15%
growth 16% · disc. 10.4% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$114
+30%
growth 20% · disc. 9.4% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 15% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+15%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
-5%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+14%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+20%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+14%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 2.4B, 10.4% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.22 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs sector

Forward EPS $4.24 vs trailing $3.11 (+36% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
–
Operating margin
36.8%
FCF margin
15.7%
Net margin
25.0%
Return on equity
8.3%
Return on invested capital
9.0%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1×
Current ratio
0.6×
Interest cover
12.7×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.4×
Piotroski F-score 7/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 1.8 (distress zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$99
+12%
Analysts
13
Buy
Range
$75–$106
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$15.1B$4.1B$2.2B
2024$14.5B$3.7B$2.4B
2023$12.6B$3.9B$1.7B
2022$8.8B$3.5B$2.6B
2021$8.0B$2.9B$2.2B
2020$7.7B$2.4B$1.1B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +19.6%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-28 · after close · EPS est 1.31
24-1025-0125-0425-0725-1026-0126-0426-070.001.35
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-07-291.241.27+2.3%
2026-04-291.071.04-2.6%
2026-01-281.351.33-1.2%
2025-10-291.111.10-0.6%
2025-07-301.131.12-1.3%
2025-04-301.051.06+1.3%
2025-01-291.241.29+4.1%
2024-10-231.010.99-1.8%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$4.2B+12.6%
2026-03-31$3.7B–
2025-12-31$3.9B–
2025-09-30$3.7B–
2025-06-30$3.7B–
Analyst actions
Citigroup
2026-10-07 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $102
Susquehanna
2026-10-02 · main
Positive → Positive
PT $98
Citigroup
2026-07-30 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $109
RBC Capital
2026-07-30 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $145
Evercore ISI Group
2026-07-30 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $99
Susquehanna
2026-07-14 · main
Positive → Positive
PT $106

Recent dividends

2026-09-25: $0.190 · 2026-06-26: $0.189 · 2026-03-27: $0.165 · 2025-09-26: $0.164 · 2025-06-27: $0.167 · 2025-03-28: $0.133 · 2024-12-27: $0.132 · 2024-09-27: $0.141

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:02:05 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026