DCH
Dauch Corporation
$4.86
+2.32% 2026-10-20
Consumer DiscretionaryS&P 600
DCHSPY
1W
-11.6%
1M
-17.5%
3M
-12.0%
6M
-17.8%
YTD
-24.2%
1Y
-14.1%
Live chart
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Grades vs sector
Momentum33rd pct in sectorC-
Momentum
33rd pct in sector
12-1 return: -15.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth100th pct in sectorA+
Growth
100th pct in sector
Revenue growth (YoY): +92.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value97th pct in sectorA+
Value
97th pct in sector
Forward E/P: 23.9% · EBITDA/EV: 17.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability6th pct in sectorF
Profitability
6th pct in sector
Profit margin: -2.0% · Return on equity: -15.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
RevisionsNot enough data yet–
Revisions
Not enough data yet
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.
Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Top 15not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
New Highs Growthnot ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Conviction 20not in the current book
News
More newsDauch Facing Softer-Than-Expected Ram Heavy-Duty Production, Inflationary Cost Pressure, BofA Says
MT Newswires · Oct 15
BofA Securities Adjusts Price Target on Dauch Corporation to $5 From $10
MT Newswires · Oct 15
Update: BofA Downgrades Dauch to Underperform From Buy, Adjusts Price Target to $5 From $10
MT Newswires · Oct 15
BofA Downgrades Dauch Corporation to Underperform, Price Target is $5
MT Newswires · Oct 15
Dauch Names Nathan Iles as CFO, Christopher May as Chief Administrative Officer
MT Newswires · Oct 12
Key stats
Market cap$1.2B
P/E (trailing)–
P/E (forward)4.2
52-week range4.59 – 9.25
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+92.4%
Dividend yield0.00%
Analyst consensusBuy (12)
Mean price target$8.55 (+76%)
Valuation and fundamentals
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +1 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 628%
▲Forward P/E vs sector4.2x vs median 13.4x
▼Piotroski F-score3/9
▼Altman Z0.9 (distress)
▼Net debt / EBITDA6.2x
▲Analyst target+76% (12 analysts)
Discounted cash flow
CyclicalValued on average-cycle margins
Automotive Parts & Equipment profits swing with the business cycle, so one year's cash flow can be far above or below normal. Instead of the last 12 months' free cash flow (-0.0B, a -0% margin), the DCF and reverse DCF use the average free-cash-flow margin over FY2016–FY2025 (10 years: 3.9%) times current revenue = 0.3B. On trailing cash flow the base case would be $–; on mid-cycle cash flow it is $35. Glossary
Bear
$7
+51%
growth 18% · disc. 13.7% · term. 2.0%
Base
$35
+628%
growth 30% · disc. 12.7% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$74
+1417%
growth 38% · disc. 11.7% · term. 3.0%
Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 3.9% average margin × current revenue = 0.3B (last 12 months: -0.0B at a -0% margin).
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 11% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+11%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
-18%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
-8%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+0%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+4%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: mid-cycle free cash flow 0.3B, 12.7% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.69 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary
P/E (trailing)
sector median 17.7×
–Forward P/E
cheaper
sector median 13.4× · 1st pct
4.2×cheaper
EV / EBITDA
cheaper
sector median 11.3× · 21st pct
7.9×cheaper
Price / sales
cheaper
sector median 1.2× · 3rd pct
0.1×cheaper
Price / book
cheaper
sector median 2.8× · 6th pct
0.8×cheaper
FCF yield
pricier
sector median 6.6% · 5th pct
-2.2%pricier
Forward EPS $1.15 vs trailing $-1.01. Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
10.9%
Operating margin
1.0%
FCF margin
-0.3%
Net margin
-2.0%
Return on equity
-11.0%
Return on invested capital
1.1%
Net debt / EBITDA
6.2×
Current ratio
1.4×
Interest cover
0.3×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
–
Piotroski F-score 3/9 · last two fiscal years
✗ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved
Altman Z-score 0.9 (distress zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.
Analysts
Mean target
$9
+76%
Analysts
12
Buy
Range
$5–$17
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $5.8B | $-19.7M | $155.1M |
| 2024 | $6.1B | $35.0M | $207.4M |
| 2023 | $6.1B | $-33.6M | $201.5M |
| 2022 | $5.8B | $64.3M | $277.5M |
| 2021 | $5.2B | $5.9M | $357.2M |
| 2020 | $4.7B | $-561.3M | $239.1M |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +0.2%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-11-09 · before open · EPS est 0.17
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | 0.16 | 0.32 | +99.2% |
| 2026-05-08 | -0.03 | 0.34 | +1153.6% |
| 2026-02-13 | -0.02 | 0.07 | +519.9% |
| 2025-11-07 | 0.12 | 0.16 | +37.4% |
| 2025-08-08 | 0.14 | 0.21 | +50.0% |
| 2025-05-02 | 0.06 | 0.09 | +40.5% |
| 2025-02-14 | -0.13 | -0.06 | +55.5% |
| 2024-11-08 | -0.03 | 0.20 | +757.9% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $3.0B | +92.4% |
| 2026-03-31 | $2.4B | – |
| 2025-12-31 | $1.4B | – |
| 2025-09-30 | $1.5B | – |
| 2025-06-30 | $1.5B | – |
Analyst actions
Stifel
PT $6
2026-10-19 · main
Hold → HoldPT $6
Barclays
PT $8
2026-10-09 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-WeightPT $8
UBS
PT $8
2026-10-07 · main
Buy → BuyPT $8
Jefferies
PT $7
2026-09-23 · down
Buy → HoldPT $7
TD Cowen
PT $10
2026-09-08 · up
Hold → BuyPT $10
Barclays
PT $9
2026-08-17 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-WeightPT $9
Recent dividends
2008-12-04: $0.020 · 2008-09-03: $0.020 · 2008-06-04: $0.150 · 2008-03-05: $0.150 · 2007-12-05: $0.150 · 2007-09-05: $0.150 · 2007-06-05: $0.150 · 2007-03-05: $0.150
Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 18:03:31 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
coteauCoteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.