DECK
Deckers Outdoor Corporation
$87.37
+0.15% 2026-10-20
Consumer DiscretionaryS&P 500
DECKSPY
1W
+4.0%
1M
+11.4%
3M
-15.4%
6M
-20.7%
YTD
-15.7%
1Y
-12.8%
Live chart
Loading live chart…
Grades vs sector
Momentum46th pct in sectorC
Momentum
46th pct in sector
12-1 return: -4.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth59th pct in sectorB-
Growth
59th pct in sector
Revenue growth (YoY): +5.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value75th pct in sectorB+
Value
75th pct in sector
Forward E/P: 9.7% · EBITDA/EV: 12.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability87th pct in sectorA-
Profitability
87th pct in sector
Profit margin: +18.4% · Return on equity: +42.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
RevisionsNot enough data yet–
Revisions
Not enough data yet
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.
Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Top 15rank 416 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % -14.1
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
New Highs Growthnot ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Conviction 20not in the current book
News
More newsIs Lululemon's Next Big Thing Already Here?
Trefis · Oct 19
What Has The Market Missed In Lululemon Stock's Drop?
Trefis · Oct 16
U.S. Small Cap Portfolio (DFAS) Sells $25.2 Million More Charles River on Wednesday
GuruFocus.com · Oct 16
Key stats
Market cap$11.9B
P/E (trailing)12.4
P/E (forward)10.5
52-week range77.20 – 122.29
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+5.7%
Dividend yield0.00%
Analyst consensusBuy (21)
Mean price target$116.81 (+34%)
Valuation and fundamentals
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
Looks undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +5 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 114%
▲Forward P/E vs sector10.5x vs median 13.4x
▲Piotroski F-score7/9
▲Net debt / EBITDA-1.2x
▲Analyst target+34% (21 analysts)
Discounted cash flow
Bear
$124
+42%
growth 5% · disc. 10.9% · term. 2.0%
Base
$187
+114%
growth 10% · disc. 9.9% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$269
+208%
growth 13% · disc. 8.9% · term. 3.0%
A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Today's price implies shrinking cash flows: about -3% a year for 10 years.
Implied
-3%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+34%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+14%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+15%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+17%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 1.1B, 9.9% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.12 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary
P/E (trailing)
cheaper
sector median 17.7× · 25th pct
12.4×cheaper
Forward P/E
cheaper
sector median 13.4× · 29th pct
10.5×cheaper
EV / EBITDA
cheaper
sector median 11.3× · 20th pct
7.7×cheaper
Price / sales
pricier
sector median 1.2× · 72nd pct
2.2×pricier
Price / book
pricier
sector median 2.8× · 72nd pct
5.2×pricier
FCF yield
cheaper
sector median 6.6% · 71st pct
9.4%cheaper
Forward EPS $8.34 vs trailing $7.07 (+18% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
57.8%
Operating margin
22.7%
FCF margin
20.2%
Net margin
18.4%
Return on equity
44.1%
Return on invested capital
121.0%
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.2×
Current ratio
2.7×
Interest cover
327.8×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.2×
Piotroski F-score 7/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved
Analysts
Mean target
$117
+34%
Analysts
21
Buy
Range
$70–$184
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $5.5B | $1.0B | $1.1B |
| 2025 | $5.0B | $966.1M | $958.4M |
| 2024 | $4.3B | $759.6M | $943.8M |
| 2023 | $3.6B | $516.8M | $456.4M |
| 2022 | $3.2B | $451.9M | $121.3M |
| 2021 | $2.5B | $382.6M | $564.0M |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +14.7%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-10-22 · after close · EPS est 1.79
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | 0.87 | 0.94 | +7.6% |
| 2026-05-21 | 0.83 | 0.96 | +15.2% |
| 2026-01-29 | 2.77 | 3.33 | +20.4% |
| 2025-10-23 | 1.58 | 1.82 | +14.9% |
| 2025-07-24 | 0.68 | 0.93 | +36.7% |
| 2025-05-22 | 0.61 | 1.00 | +65.1% |
| 2025-01-30 | 2.59 | 3.00 | +15.6% |
| 2024-10-24 | 1.24 | 1.59 | +28.3% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $1.0B | +5.7% |
| 2026-03-31 | $1.1B | – |
| 2025-12-31 | $2.0B | – |
| 2025-09-30 | $1.4B | – |
| 2025-06-30 | $964.5M | – |
Analyst actions
Raymond James
PT $105
2026-10-16 · main
Outperform → OutperformPT $105
Telsey Advisory Group
PT $105
2026-10-15 · main
Market Perform → Market PerformPT $105
BMO Capital
PT $70
2026-09-09 · init
→ UnderperformPT $70
Telsey Advisory Group
PT $105
2026-07-25 · main
Market Perform → Market PerformPT $105
Truist Securities
PT $105
2026-07-24 · main
Buy → BuyPT $105
Stifel
PT $133
2026-07-24 · main
Buy → BuyPT $133
Insider trades
None
–
None · None
SELL–
None
–
None · None
SELL–
None
–
None · None
SELL–
None
–
None · None
SELL–
None
–
None · None
SELL–
None
–
None · None
SELL–
None
–
None · None
SELL–
None
–
None · None
SELL–
None
–
None · None
SELL–
None
–
None · None
SELL–
None
–
None · None
SELL–
None
–
None · None
SELL–
Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 18:03:34 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
coteau
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.