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DG

Dollar General Corporation
$134.19
+0.69% 2026-10-20
Consumer StaplesS&P 500
-10%+4%+19%+33%+47%Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
DGSPY
1W
+7.4%
1M
+10.2%
3M
+9.5%
6M
+9.2%
YTD
+3.0%
1Y
+28.5%

Live chart

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What they do

Dollar General Corporation, a discount retailer, provides various merchandise products in the southern, southwestern, midwestern, and eastern United States. It offers consumable products, including paper towels, bath tissues, paper dinnerware, trash and storage bags, disinfectants, and laundry products. The company also provides seasonal products comprising holiday items, toys, batteries, small electronics, greeting cards, stationery.

Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores

Grades vs sector

Momentum
77th pct in sector
B+
12-1 return: +22.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
62nd pct in sector
B-
Revenue growth (YoY): +5.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
43rd pct in sector
C
Forward E/P: 6.2% · EBITDA/EV: 8.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
58th pct in sector
B-
Profit margin: +3.9% · Return on equity: +19.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Top 15
rank 156 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % 25.1
Momentum Blend
not in the current book
New Highs Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Conviction 20
not in the current book

News

More news
WMT, TGT & DG Bet Big on Capital Spending to Drive Next Growth Wave
Zacks · Oct 19

Key stats

Market cap$29.6B
P/E (trailing)17.4
P/E (forward)16.1
52-week range95.11 – 158.23
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+5.2%
Dividend yield1.77%
Analyst consensusBuy (29)
Mean price target$142.83 (+6%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +3 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 74%
•Forward P/E vs sector16.1x vs median 14.5x
▲Piotroski F-score7/9
•Altman Z2.7 (grey)
•Net debt / EBITDA1.5x
•Analyst target+6% (29 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$139
+4%
growth -0% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$233
+74%
growth 5% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$362
+170%
growth 8% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price implies shrinking cash flows: about -2% a year for 10 years.
Implied
-2%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+22%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
-1%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+4%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+5%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 3.3B, 9.2% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-07-31). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.23 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Consumer Staples

P/E (trailing)
sector median 23.5× · 27th pct
17.4×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 14.5× · 59th pct
16.1×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 11.9× · 35th pct
9.9×
cheaper
Price / sales
sector median 1.1× · 34th pct
0.7×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 3.1× · 51st pct
3.2×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 6.5% · 82nd pct
11.2%
cheaper

Forward EPS $8.31 vs trailing $7.70 (+8% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
31.2%
Operating margin
5.6%
FCF margin
7.6%
Net margin
3.9%
Return on equity
18.3%
Return on invested capital
12.7%
Net debt / EBITDA
1.5×
Current ratio
1.2×
Interest cover
7.5×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.9×
Piotroski F-score 7/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 2.7 (grey zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$143
+6%
Analysts
29
Buy
Range
$90–$180
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$42.7B$1.5B$3.6B
2025$40.6B$1.1B$3.0B
2024$38.7B$1.7B$2.4B
2023$37.8B$2.4B$2.0B
2022$34.2B$2.4B$2.9B
2021$33.7B$2.7B$3.9B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +4.1%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-12-03 · before open · EPS est 0.93
24-1225-0325-0625-0825-1226-0326-0626-080.002.48
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-08-272.012.48+23.5%
2026-06-021.882.00+6.2%
2026-03-121.641.93+17.9%
2025-12-040.931.28+38.3%
2025-08-281.571.86+18.5%
2025-06-031.481.78+19.9%
2025-03-131.501.68+11.6%
2024-12-050.940.89-5.1%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-07-31$11.3B+5.2%
2026-04-30$10.8B–
2026-01-31$10.9B–
2025-10-31$10.6B–
2025-07-31$10.7B–
Analyst actions
Gordon Haskett
2026-10-06 · up
Hold → Buy
PT $140
HSBC
2026-09-24 · up
Hold → Buy
PT $160
Barclays
2026-09-08 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $151
Argus Research
2026-09-04 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $170
Guggenheim
2026-08-31 · reit
Buy → Buy
PT $140
Telsey Advisory Group
2026-08-28 · main
Market Perform → Market Perform
PT $140

Recent dividends

2026-10-06: $0.590 · 2026-07-07: $0.590 · 2026-04-07: $0.590 · 2026-01-06: $0.590 · 2025-10-07: $0.590 · 2025-07-08: $0.590 · 2025-04-08: $0.590 · 2025-01-07: $0.590
Insider trades
Reardon Kathleen A
EVP & Chief People Officer · 2026-09-03
SELL
$732.6K

Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 18:03:03 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

COTEAU

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.