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DINO

HF Sinclair
$125.57
+0.21% Oct 21 close
EnergyS&P 400 Compare
1M3M6M1Y2Y
-12%+29%+70%+111%+152%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
DINOSPY
1W
-1.7%
1M
+14.9%
3M
+39.1%
6M
+114.0%
YTD
+178.9%
1Y
+153.5%

Live chart

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What they do

HF Sinclair Corporation operates as an independent energy company in the United States. It operates through five segments: Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants & Specialties, and Midstream. The company produces and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricant products, specialty chemicals, commodity and modified asphalt products, and others.

Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
96th percentile in sector
A+
12-1 return: +114.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
76th percentile in sector
B+
Revenue growth (YoY): +53.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
68th percentile in sector
B
Forward E/P: 11.6% · EBITDA/EV: 13.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
49th percentile in sector
C+
Profit margin: +6.1% · Return on equity: +19.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Held by 1 of 5 live models: New Highs Growth.

New Highs Growth
4.0% of the book · ranked 17 of 589
 HeldQuality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
 Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
 Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
 Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book
Why it's in the New Highs Growth #17 of 589

Qualified on Energy & Power, -8% from 52-week high, revenue +53% y/y, 12-1 momentum +100%. Ranked 17th of 589 at the 2026-09-30 rebalance.

What would knock it out: Drops out if it falls outside the top 25 at the next rebalance (Oct 30). In the latest preview (2026-10-20) it ranks 5th.

News

More news
Is HF Sinclair (DINO) Stock Outpacing Its Oils-Energy Peers This Year?
Zacks · 15h ago
3 US Refining Stocks To Watch As Higher Fuel Costs Keep Margins In Focus
Simply Wall St. · Oct 17
Is HF Sinclair Stock a Buy at Elevated Valuation Levels?
Zacks · Oct 16

Key stats

52-week range$44.83 – $128.23
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 56%
•Piotroski F-score6/9
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.1x

Discounted cash flow

CyclicalValued on average-cycle margins
Bear
$34
-73%
growth -10% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$55
-56%
growth -5% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$82
-35%
growth -2% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 3.3% average margin × current revenue = 1.0B (last 12 months: 2.3B at a 7% margin). On trailing cash flow the base case would be $126.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Not enough data to run a reverse DCF.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Energy

P/E (trailing)
sector median 17.7×
 –
Forward P/E
sector median 13.6×
 –
EV / EBITDA
sector median 8.1×
 –
Price / sales
sector median 2.2×
 –
Price / book
sector median 1.9×
 –
FCF yield
sector median 7.7%
 –

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
18.0%
Operating margin
8.3%
FCF margin
7.4%
Net margin
6.1%
Return on equity
18.6%
Return on invested capital
18.4%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1×
Current ratio
2.0×
Interest cover
14.7×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.5×
Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

No analyst targets available.

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$26.9B$579.0M$866.0M
2024$28.6B$177.0M$640.0M
2023$32.0B$1.6B$1.9B
2022$38.2B$2.9B$3.3B
2021$18.4B$558.3M$-318.4M
2020$11.2B$-601.4M$187.1M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -11.1%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-28 · before open · EPS est 7.74
24-1025-0225-0525-0725-1026-0226-0526-07-1.025.31
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-07-284.495.31+18.3%
2026-05-01-0.050.69+1411.0%
2026-02-180.451.20+165.2%
2025-10-301.862.44+30.9%
2025-07-311.081.70+57.8%
2025-05-01-0.41-0.27+34.7%
2025-02-20-0.84-1.02-21.1%
2024-10-310.330.51+54.1%
Insider trades
Myers Franklin
Director, CEO · 2026-08-11
Buy
$1.3M
Kunneman Dale
SVP and CHRO · 2026-08-05
Sell
$755.9K
None
None · None
Sell
–
None
None · None
Sell
–
None
None · None
Sell
–
None
None · None
Sell
–

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:11:24 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

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Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026