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DLTR

Dollar Tree
$125.31
-4.37% Oct 23 close
Consumer StaplesS&P 500 CompareTechnicals
Model valuationLeans undervaluedDCF base $232
1M3M6M1Y2Y
-14%0%+13%+27%+41%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 202652w high $141.2152w low $86.80
DLTRSPY
1W
+0.9%
1M
+10.7%
3M
+4.0%
6M
+20.8%
YTD
+1.9%
1Y
+24.5%

Health check

Quality
WeakAverageStrong
Average
Piotroski F-score 6 of 9
See the tests
  • ✓Positive net income
  • ✗Positive operating cash flow
  • ✓Return on assets improved
  • ✗Cash flow above net income
  • ✗Long-term debt / assets fell
  • ✓Current ratio improved
  • ✓No share dilution
  • ✓Gross margin improved
  • ✓Asset turnover improved

Computed by Coteau from the company's SEC filings (latest balance sheet Aug 1, 2026). Descriptive, not a forecast.

Live chart

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What they do

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada. The company offers consumable merchandise comprising everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health, personal care products. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia.

Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
65th percentile in sector
B
12-1 return: +15.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
73rd percentile in sector
B+
Revenue growth (YoY): +7.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
46th percentile in sector
C
Forward E/P: 6.4% · EBITDA/EV: 8.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
78th percentile in sector
B+
Profit margin: +8.0% · Return on equity: +46.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Systematic Models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
ranked 74 of 360 · Composite (0-1) 0.6
 Momentum Top 15
ranked 120 of 499 · 12-month momentum 34.1%
 Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
 New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
 Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
Dollar Store Stocks Slide as Selling Hits Discount Retail: Dollar Tree and Dollar General Drop 6%
24/7 Wall St. · 3h ago
Can ROST Sustain Double-Digit Comps Amid Tougher Comparisons?
Zacks · Oct 20

Key stats

52-week range$86.80 – $141.21
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +2 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 85%
•Piotroski F-score6/9
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.7x

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$143
+14%
growth 3% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$232
+85%
growth 8% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$354
+183%
growth 11% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Not enough data to run a reverse DCF.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-08-01). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Consumer Staples

P/E (trailing)
sector median 23.5×
 –
Forward P/E
sector median 14.5×
 –
EV / EBITDA
sector median 11.9×
 –
Price / sales
sector median 1.1×
 –
Price / book
sector median 3.1×
 –
FCF yield
sector median 6.5%
 –

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
35.1%
Operating margin
11.0%
FCF margin
11.0%
Net margin
8.0%
Return on equity
47.1%
Return on invested capital
31.3%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.7×
Current ratio
1.1×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.9×
Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✗ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✗ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

No analyst targets available.

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$19.4B$1.3B–
2025$17.6B$-3.0B–
2024$16.8B$-998.4M$2.7B
2023$15.4B$1.6B$1.6B
2022$26.3B$1.3B$1.4B
2021$25.5B$1.3B$2.7B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +8.0%.

Earnings

DLTR earningsNext report in 40 days
Next report
Wed Dec 2, 2026Before the open
EPS consensus$1.08
Revenue consensus–
Last 4 quarters · EPS vs estimate
Aug 27, 2026$2.70est $1.14+136.1%Above estimates
May 28, 2026$1.74est $1.54+12.9%Above estimates
Mar 16, 2026$2.56est $2.53+1.1%Above estimates
Dec 3, 2025$1.21est $1.08+11.8%Above estimates

In line = within 1% of the estimate.

Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed 2026-10-21 18:11:01 ET
24-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-0526-080.002.70
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
Insider trades
Stahl Stephanie
Director · 2026-09-04
Sell
$155.8K
Aflatooni Robert
Chief Information Officer · 2026-08-31
Sell
$315.0K
None
None · None
Sell
–
None
None · None
Sell
–
None
None · None
Sell
–
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None · None
Sell
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None
None · None
Sell
–

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:11:01 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Independent research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

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Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026