COTEAU Get App

DPZ

Domino's Pizza, Inc.
$316.31
+3.57% 2026-10-20
Consumer DiscretionaryS&P 500
-32%-20%-7%+5%+17%Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
DPZSPY
1W
+6.8%
1M
+7.5%
3M
-2.5%
6M
-13.3%
YTD
-22.8%
1Y
-23.6%

Live chart

Loading live chart…

What they do

Domino's Pizza, Inc. operates as a pizza company worldwide. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain. It offers pizzas under the Domino's brand name through company-owned and franchised stores.

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Grades vs sector

Momentum
23rd pct in sector
D
12-1 return: -23.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
46th pct in sector
C
Revenue growth (YoY): +3.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
36th pct in sector
C-
Forward E/P: 6.7% · EBITDA/EV: 6.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
77th pct in sector
B+
Profit margin: +12.0% · Return on equity: –
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Top 15
rank 445 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % -19.6
Momentum Blend
not in the current book
New Highs Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Conviction 20
not in the current book

News

More news
Building the Ultimate Game Night: Domino's® and Minecraft Dungeons II Team Up for a Block-Shaped Collaboration
PR Newswire · 5h ago
Coca-Cola’s KFC Win Is About More Than Soda
Barrons.com · Oct 19
Stocks making big moves this week: Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Frontdoor, Chipotle, Domino's, and Manhattan Associates
StockStory · Oct 16
Domino's Pizza Stock Is Waiting On One Answer
Trefis · Oct 16

Key stats

Market cap$10.4B
P/E (trailing)17.4
P/E (forward)15.3
52-week range282.00 – 442.35
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+3.4%
Dividend yield2.61%
Analyst consensusBuy (27)
Mean price target$356.48 (+13%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +1 (DCF counts double).
•DCF (base case)above the price by 2%
•Forward P/E vs sector15.3x vs median 13.4x
▲Piotroski F-score8/9
•Altman Z2.1 (grey)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-0.2x
•Analyst target+13% (27 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$206
-35%
growth -2% · disc. 10.0% · term. 2.0%
Base
$322
+2%
growth 3% · disc. 9.0% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$484
+53%
growth 6% · disc. 8.0% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 3% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+3%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+20%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+6%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+3%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+4%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.6B, 9.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-09-06). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.95 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary

P/E (trailing)
sector median 17.7× · 47th pct
17.4×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 13.4× · 62nd pct
15.3×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 11.3× · 35th pct
9.4×
cheaper
Price / sales
sector median 1.2× · 69th pct
2.1×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 2.8×
–
FCF yield
sector median 6.6% · 46th pct
6.1%
pricier

Forward EPS $20.64 vs trailing $18.15 (+14% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$17.3M
as of 2025-12-28
vs a year ago
-17%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.00×
coverage
22-01
23-01
23-12
24-12
25-12

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
40.0%
Operating margin
19.7%
FCF margin
12.5%
Net margin
12.0%
Return on equity
–
Return on invested capital
–
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.2×
Current ratio
0.5×
Interest cover
5.0×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.2×
Piotroski F-score 8/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 2.1 (grey zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$356
+13%
Analysts
27
Buy
Range
$257–$425
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$4.9B$601.7M$671.5M
2024$4.7B$584.2M$512.0M
2023$4.5B$519.1M$485.5M
2023$4.5B$452.3M$388.1M
2022$4.4B$510.5M$560.0M
2021$4.1B$491.3M$504.0M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +2.9%.

Earnings

Next report: 2027-02-22 · before open · EPS est 6.37
25-0225-0425-0725-1026-0226-0426-0726-100.005.38
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-10-134.394.60+4.8%
2026-07-204.174.07-2.4%
2026-04-274.274.13-3.3%
2026-02-235.385.35-0.6%
2025-10-143.964.08+3.0%
2025-07-213.953.81-3.6%
2025-04-284.074.33+6.3%
2025-02-244.914.89-0.4%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$1.2B+4.3%
2026-03-31$1.2B–
2025-12-31$1.5B–
2025-09-30$1.1B–
2025-06-30$1.1B–
Analyst actions
Citigroup
2026-10-14 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $308
Mizuho
2026-10-14 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $380
Wells Fargo
2026-10-14 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $320
Morgan Stanley
2026-10-14 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $345
RBC Capital
2026-10-14 · main
Sector Perform → Sector Perform
PT $320
Baird
2026-10-14 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $320

Recent dividends

2026-09-15: $1.990 · 2026-06-15: $1.990 · 2026-03-13: $1.990 · 2025-12-15: $1.740 · 2025-09-15: $1.740 · 2025-06-13: $1.740 · 2025-03-14: $1.740 · 2024-12-13: $1.510
Insider trades
Garcia Kelly E
EVP, Chief Tech & Data Ofcr · 2026-07-22
SELL
$1.2M
Garcia Kelly E
EVP, Chief Tech & Data Ofcr · 2026-07-22
SELL
$1.1M
Garcia Kelly E
EVP, Chief Tech & Data Ofcr · 2026-07-22
SELL
$374.8K
Garcia Kelly E
EVP, Chief Tech & Data Ofcr · 2026-07-22
SELL
$497.2K
Garcia Kelly E
EVP, Chief Tech & Data Ofcr · 2026-07-22
SELL
$442.3K
Garcia Kelly E
EVP, Chief Tech & Data Ofcr · 2026-07-22
SELL
$326.1K
Garcia Kelly E
EVP, Chief Tech & Data Ofcr · 2026-07-22
SELL
$93.7K
None
None · None
SELL
–
None
None · None
SELL
–

Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 18:08:48 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

COTEAU

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.