EXE
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What they do
Expand Energy Corporation operates as an independent natural gas production company in the United States. The company engages in acquisition, exploration, and development of properties to produce oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. It holds interests in the Marcellus Shale in the northern Appalachian Basin in Pennsylvania; the Marcellus and Utica Shales in Ohio and West Virginia.
For information only · Important disclosures
Grades vs sector
Momentum6th percentile in sectorF
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth8th percentile in sectorD-
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value83rd percentile in sectorA-
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability65th percentile in sectorB
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
RevisionsNot enough data yet–
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Held by 1 of 5 live models: Coteau Long Book.
News
More newsKey stats
Valuation and fundamentals
Valuation & fundamentals
Discounted cash flow
Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 9.0% average margin × current revenue = 1.2B (last 12 months: 2.7B at a 20% margin). On trailing cash flow the base case would be $155.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.40 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Energy
cheaper
cheaper
cheaper
cheaper
cheaper
cheaper
Forward EPS $9.09 vs trailing $11.60 (-22% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Quality & financial health
Piotroski F-score 7/9 · last two fiscal years
Altman Z-score 2.7 (grey zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.
Analysts
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $12.1B | $1.8B | $1.8B |
| 2024 | $4.2B | $-714.0M | $8.0M |
| 2023 | $8.7B | $2.4B | $551.0M |
| 2022 | $11.7B | $4.9B | $2.3B |
| 2020 | $5.2B | $-9.7B | $22.0M |
| 2019 | $8.5B | $-308.0M | $1.6B |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +1.1%.
Earnings
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | 1.12 | 1.33 | +19.1% |
| 2026-04-28 | 3.63 | 3.83 | +5.4% |
| 2026-02-17 | 1.89 | 2.00 | +5.8% |
| 2025-10-28 | 0.85 | 0.97 | +14.2% |
| 2025-07-29 | 1.15 | 1.10 | -4.1% |
| 2025-04-29 | 1.87 | 2.02 | +8.0% |
| 2025-02-26 | 0.47 | 0.55 | +17.5% |
| 2024-10-29 | -0.06 | 0.16 | +371.4% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $3.0B | -19.7% |
| 2026-03-31 | $4.4B | – |
| 2025-12-31 | $3.3B | – |
| 2025-09-30 | $3.0B | – |
| 2025-06-30 | $3.7B | – |
Analyst actions
PT $120
PT $124
PT $138
PT $141
PT $127
PT $120
Recent dividends
Insider trades
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Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 11:29:10 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.
Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026