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FDXF

FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc.
$107.95
-1.45% Oct 21 close
IndustrialsS&P 500 CompareTechnicals
1M3M6M1Y2Y
-29%-15%-2%+11%+25%May 27Oct 21Aug 8
FDXFSPY
1W
-0.7%
1M
-8.2%
3M
-27.7%
6M
–
YTD
–
1Y
–

Live chart

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What they do

FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc. provides less-than-truckload freight transportation services in the United States and internationally. The company offers FedEx Freight Priority services, including next-business-day service for shipments traveling up to 600 miles and second-business-day service for shipments traveling up to 1,600 miles and backed by a money-back service guarantee if published delivery commitments are not met.

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
Not enough data yet
–
12-1 return: –
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
26th percentile in sector
D+
Revenue growth (YoY): +4.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
22nd percentile in sector
D
Forward E/P: 4.5% · EBITDA/EV: 4.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
71st percentile in sector
B
Profit margin: +7.4% · Return on equity: +69.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
 Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
 Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
 New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
 Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
FedEx Freight (FDXF) Collects More per Shipment as Volume Shrinks, Can Margins Recover?
Insider Monkey · 21h ago
Earnings Preview: What To Expect From FedEx's Report
Barchart · Oct 12
FedEx Freight's Quarterly Earnings Preview: What You Need to Know
Barchart · Oct 12
The Margin Expansion Thesis for FedEx Freight Holding Company (FDXF)
Insider Monkey · Oct 09
FedEx Freight Holding Company (FDXF) Stock Looks Reasonable After Its 23% Slump
Simply Wall St. · Oct 09

Key stats

Market value$16.1B
P/E (last 12 months)24.6
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)21.0
52-week range$105.75 – $200.00
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+4.8%
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Analyst consensusBuy (14)
Average analyst price target$145.43 (+35%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -3 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 109%
▼Forward P/E vs sector21.0x vs median 17.1x
•Piotroski F-score4/9
▼Net debt / EBITDA4.1x
▲Analyst target+35% (14 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$-16
-115%
growth -0% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$-9
-109%
growth 5% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$0
-100%
growth 8% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 31% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+31%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
n/a
FCF, last 5 yrs
n/a
Revenue, last 3 yrs
n/a
Revenue, last 5 yrs
n/a
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.2B, 9.2% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (FY to 2026-05-31). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Industrials

P/E (trailing)
sector median 26.4× · 44th pct
 24.6×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 17.1× · 66th pct
 21.0×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 14.8× · 72nd pct
 19.4×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 2.1× · 44th pct
 1.8×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 3.5×
 –
FCF yield
sector median 4.5% · 9th pct
 1.0%
pricier

Forward EPS $5.15 vs trailing $4.38 (+18% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
–
Operating margin
6.1%
FCF margin
1.9%
Net margin
7.4%
Return on equity
–
Return on invested capital
10.6%
Net debt / EBITDA
4.1×
Current ratio
1.5×
Interest cover
9.5×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
0.3×
Piotroski F-score 4/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✗ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target
$145
+35%
Analysts
14
Buy
Range
$108–$200
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$8.8B$655.0M$167.0M
2025$8.9B$1.3B$1.5B
2024$9.4B$1.6B$1.5B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR –.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-29 · after close · EPS est 1.39
No EPS history available.

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2025-11-30$2.1B–
Rating changes
Reiterated
2026-10-08 · Stifel reiterated Hold on FDXF
Reiterated
2026-10-07 · Truist Securities reiterated Hold on FDXF
Reiterated
2026-10-05 · JP Morgan reiterated Overweight on FDXF
Reiterated
2026-09-29 · B of A Securities reiterated Buy on FDXF
Initiated
2026-09-10 · Bernstein started covering FDXF at Market Perform
Initiated
2026-09-08 · JP Morgan started covering FDXF at Overweight

Third-party analyst actions, not Coteau's views. All rating changes

Insider trades
None
None · None
Sell
–
None
None · None
Sell
–

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 17:58:03 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

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Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026