coteauBeta Get App

FOXF

Fox Factory Holding Corp.
$15.19
+2.70% Oct 20 close
Consumer DiscretionaryS&P 600 Compare
-43%-28%-13%+2%+17%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
FOXFSPY
1W
-15.5%
1M
-19.1%
3M
-16.9%
6M
-13.7%
YTD
-11.2%
1Y
-33.9%

Live chart

Loading live chart…

What they do

Fox Factory Holding Corp. designs, engineers, manufactures, and markets performance-defining products and systems in North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Powered Vehicles Group (PVG), Aftermarket Applications Group (AAG), and Specialty Sports Group (SSG) segments. The company offers powered vehicle products for off-road vehicles and trucks, side-by-sides, on-road vehicles with and without off-road capabilities.

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
31st percentile in sector
D+
12-1 return: -16.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
14th percentile in sector
D-
Revenue growth (YoY): -4.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
71st percentile in sector
B
Forward E/P: 10.1% · EBITDA/EV: 11.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
2nd percentile in sector
F
Profit margin: -20.4% · Return on equity: -36.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
Will Fox Factory Holding (FOXF) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
Zacks · Oct 20
GPC Q3 Earnings Miss Estimates on Automotive Margin Pressure
Zacks · Oct 20
GM Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on North America Strength
Zacks · Oct 20
Fox Factory Holding (FOXF) Loses 19.9% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why a Trend Reversal May be Around the Corner
Zacks · Oct 20
B. Riley Adjusts Fox Factory Price Target to $16 From $20, Maintains Neutral Rating
MT Newswires · Oct 20

Key stats

Market value$638.5M
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)11.6
52-week range$13.08 – $25.43
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)-4.5%
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Analyst consensusHold (6)
Average analyst price target$18.33 (+21%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 71%
•Forward P/E vs sector11.6x vs median 13.4x
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▼Altman Z1.4 (distress)
▲Analyst target+21% (6 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

CyclicalValued on average-cycle margins
Bear
$-0
-102%
growth -9% · disc. 12.3% · term. 2.0%
Base
$4
-71%
growth -4% · disc. 11.3% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$10
-34%
growth -1% · disc. 10.3% · term. 3.0%

Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 5.1% average margin × current revenue = 0.1B (last 12 months: 0.0B at a 1% margin). On trailing cash flow the base case would be $-8.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 6% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+6%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
-43%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+1%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
-3%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+11%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: mid-cycle free cash flow 0.1B, 11.3% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-07-03). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.41 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary

P/E (trailing)
sector median 17.7×
–
Forward P/E
sector median 13.4× · 36th pct
11.6×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 11.3×
–
Price / sales
sector median 1.2× · 19th pct
0.4×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 2.8× · 2nd pct
0.5×
cheaper
FCF yield
sector median 6.6% · 14th pct
2.0%
pricier

Forward EPS $1.31 vs trailing $-7.14. Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$1.5M
as of 2023-12-29
vs a year ago
–
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.00×
coverage
21-10
21-12
23-12

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
29.5%
Operating margin
-18.3%
FCF margin
0.9%
Net margin
-20.4%
Return on equity
-24.9%
Return on invested capital
-12.9%
Net debt / EBITDA
–
Current ratio
3.1×
Interest cover
-5.3×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
–
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✗ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 1.4 (distress zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$18
+21%
Analysts
6
Hold
Range
$16–$21
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$1.5B$-544.6M$27.0M
2025$1.4B$6.5M$87.8M
2023$1.5B$120.8M$131.9M
2022$1.6B$205.3M$143.4M
2021$1.3B$163.8M$8.3M
2021$890.6M$90.7M$25.8M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -2.9%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-05 · during market · EPS est 0.35
24-1025-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-080.000.55
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-08-060.180.37+107.5%
2026-05-070.080.18+119.5%
2026-02-260.150.20+33.3%
2025-11-060.550.23-57.9%
2025-08-070.440.40-8.5%
2025-05-080.220.23+7.0%
2025-02-270.280.31+8.8%
2024-10-310.420.35-16.7%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$358.1M-4.5%
2026-03-31$368.7M–
2025-12-31$361.1M–
2025-09-30$376.4M–
2025-06-30$374.9M–
Analyst actions
B. Riley Securities
2026-10-20 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $16
B of A Securities
2026-06-30 · down
Neutral → Underperform
PT $20
Roth Capital
2026-01-06 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $19
Stifel
2025-08-08 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $36
B. Riley Securities
2025-08-08 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $32
Truist Securities
2025-05-14 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $34

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 01:38:16 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

Free. Not investment advice. Unsubscribe anytime.

coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026